The World Bank
         Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)




                         Project Information Document (PID)

                         Concept Stage | Date Prepared/Updated: 17-Oct-2022 | Report No: PIDC34676




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         The World Bank
         Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)


  BASIC INFORMATION


  A. Basic Project Data OPS TABLE

  Country                                        Project ID                 Parent Project ID (if any)   Project Name
  Bangladesh                                     P179429                                                 Transmission Grid
                                                                                                         Enhancement &
                                                                                                         Modernization Project
                                                                                                         (P179429)
  Region                                         Estimated Appraisal Date   Estimated Board Date         Practice Area (Lead)
  SOUTH ASIA                                     Nov 24, 2023               Mar 29, 2024                 Energy & Extractives

  Financing Instrument                           Borrower(s)                Implementing Agency
  Investment Project Financing                   People's Republic of       Power Grid Company of
                                                 Bangladesh                 Bangladesh

   Proposed Development Objective(s)

    The project aims to enhance transmission capacity and reliability of the grid network, improve efficiency in grid
    operations and maintenance, and enable regional integration and evacuation of renewable energy generation.

    PROJECT FINANCING DATA (US$, Millions)

   SUMMARY-NewFin1

    Total Project Cost                                                                                                  680.00

    Total Financing                                                                                                     680.00
                             of which IBRD/IDA                                                                          450.00

    Financing Gap                                                                                                          0.00

   DETAILS     -NewFinEnh1




    World Bank Group Financing

       International Development Association (IDA)                                                                      450.00

          IDA Credit                                                                                                    450.00

    Non-World Bank Group Financing

       Counterpart Funding                                                                                              230.00
          Borrower/Recipient                                                                                            230.00


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            The World Bank
            Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)




     Environmental and Social Risk Classification                             Concept Review Decision
     High                                                                     Track II-The review did authorize the preparation to
                                                                              continue



     Other Decision (as needed)


     B. Introduction and Context

     Country Context

       1. Bangladesh has made rapid social and economic progress in recent decades and reached lower middle-income
       status in 2015. Annual GDP growth averaged close to six percent since 2000. Strong labor market gains contributed
       to a sharp decline in poverty, with the national poverty rate falling from 48.9 to 24.5 percent between 2000 and 2016,
       while extreme poverty declined from 34.3 to 13.0 percent.1 However, the pace of poverty reduction slowed in recent
       years even as growth accelerated, particularly in urban areas and in the west of the country. Annual consumption
       growth of the bottom 40 percent (1.2 percent) trailed that of the overall population (1.6 percent) from 2010 to 2016.

       2. While growth rebounded in FY21 and FY22, significant new headwinds emerged. Real GDP growth rebounded
       as pandemic-related restrictions were progressively lifted in FY21, accelerating to an estimated 7.2 percent in FY22 as
       private consumption and investment growth strengthened. Exports rose by 31.3 percent (y-o-y), buoyed by a gain in
       readymade garment (RMG) market share in Europe and the United States. However, the economy faces new
       headwinds. Inflation rose to 7.5 percent in as of July 2022 from 5.3 percent a year ago following a global surge in
       commodity prices, prompting the BB to raise the main policy rate by 100 basis points. The current account deficit
       widened as imports rose, exacerbated by a decline in official remittances inflows. A series of import suppression
       measures were subsequently adopted, including rolling electricity blackouts, reductions in liquified natural gas (LNG)
       imports, and reduced business and market hours. The overall balance of payments deficit rose to US$ 5.4 billion in
       FY22, and gross foreign exchange reserves declined to US$ 36.5 billion by September 2022.

       3. Bangladesh faces a high level of vulnerability to the effects of climate change. The Global Climate Risk Index
       ranks Bangladesh as the world’s seventh most-affected country in 2000-20192. Rising temperatures leading to more
       intense and unpredictable rainfalls during the monsoon season and the already high probability of catastrophic
       cyclones are expected to further increase resulting in increased tidal inundation. Flooding in Bangladesh is a near-
       constant phenomenon, recurring with varying magnitude and intensity, affecting a greater population than any other
       natural hazard. Floods and riverbank erosion in Bangladesh affect about one million people annually and can be
       substantially higher3. Once every three to five years, up to two-thirds of Bangladesh is inundated by floods.4



 1 Household Income and Expenditure Surveys, 2000/01 and 2016/17.
 2 German watch (2021) Global Climate Risk Index 2021.
 3 World Bank: Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
 4
   The World Bank: Climate Risk and Adaptation Country Profile (Bangladesh)


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              The World Bank
              Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)


     Addressing these climate risks will support sustainable economic development, ensuring that the vulnerable
     populations are not left behind.
   Sectoral and Institutional Context

        4. Institutionally, the Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resource (MPEMR) in Bangladesh has the
        responsibility for the power sector. The vertically integrated Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) under
        the MPEMR has been partially unbundled, starting in 1978. In 1994, the Government launched a power sector reform
        program under which the Power Grid Company of Bangladesh (PGCB) was created as the transmission entity, which
        also includes the National Load Dispatch Center, along with separate distribution and generation companies.
        Currently, 51 percent of total grid-connected power is generated by public sector plants operated by BPDB, other
        corporatized generation companies and a joint venture, 44 percent by private sector, and the remaining 5 percent
        through power import.

        5. In the last decade, the Government’s prioritization of generation and electrification has allowed Bangladesh to
        make impressive progress in increasing access to electricity and power generation capacity, an achievement which
        must now be followed by investments in the reliability of electricity supply. Total installed generation capacity has
        increased from 6GW in 2010 to 22.5 GW in 2022 and in the same period, the average peak demand increased from
        6GW to the current average peak demand of 12 GW in the country. Annual per capita electricity consumption (which
        was one of the lowest in the world in 2010) has also more than tripled to 608 Kilowatt hours (Kwh) in 2022. Due to
        this rapid growth of system demand, a considerable number of grid substations and transmission lines are presently
        overloaded contributing to unreliable electricity supply in major load centers. This poses a major challenge for the
        expansion of medium-size enterprises with export potential. As significant industrialization is expected to take place
        after completion of some of the major infrastructure projects in the country, a steeper increase in power demand is
        anticipated.5In addition, the increasing vulnerability of Bangladesh to climate change and natural hazards renders
        investments in climate resilient power infrastructure a central condition of safe, affordable and reliable electricity. To
        meet this future demand and ensure quality and uninterrupted electricity supply, the expansion of a climate resilient
        transmission network is mandatory6.

        6. As electricity supply in Bangladesh is still heavily reliant on fossil fuels, targeted grid expansion efforts are
        required to increase Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) penetration and to facilitate electricity trade with hydro-rich
        countries. In 2021, only 2% (0.5 GW) emanated from Variable Renewable Energy (VRE). However, only about 0.14 GW
        of VRE was grid installed with a dispatchable capacity of 0.1 GW due to grid constraints7. If Bangladesh is to meet its
        15% generation target of electricity from renewable energy sources (RES) by 20418 and make progress towards
        decarbonizing its energy system, it must invest in grid expansion schemes to provide the required evacuation corridor
        for the potential 6GW of VRE under the Business-as-Usual scenario by 2041. In addition, as Bangladesh plans to import
        about 11GW of electricity from the Bangladesh-Bhutan-India-Nepal-Sri Lanka (BBINS) region by 2041, building multiple
        corridors is being considered for electricity imports through cross-border interconnections. The Northern part of




 6 This is particularly the case for the Project area as explained in section Project Context – A. Concept – 1. Description.
 7 Grid reliability study for integration of renewable energy into the national grid of Bangladesh (September 2021), Power Division, GoB
 8 According to its Power System Master Plan (PSMP2016).



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             The World Bank
             Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)


        Bangladesh is predominantly the expected area of regional interconnectivity to enable Bangladesh to benefit from
        power trade9 with hydro-rich countries like Nepal and Bhutan.

        7. Bangladesh’s transmission system mainly consists of 400 kilo-Volt (kV), 230 kV and 132kV systems; one 400kV
        Back-to-Back HVDC system has been implemented, through which 1,160 megawatt (MW) power is being imported
        from India every day. The country has about 13,889 circuit km of transmission lines and about 73,484 GWh of power
        was wheeled through the transmission network during the FY 2020-21. Transmission loss of the network has come
        down to 3.05 percent in 2020-21 from 4.24 percent in 2000-01. The country is vertically divided by the rivers Jamuna
        and Padma. The Western and Eastern part of Bangladeshi network is interconnected by two 230kV double circuit lines.

        8. PGCB, the sole authority of the transmission network in the country, undertook several development projects
        to improve the network condition. To achieve the Government of Bangladesh (GoB) target of increasing power
        generation to 40 giga-watt (GW) by 2030, further investment of about USD2.5 billion in enhancing and strengthening
        the network is currently under consideration. The Eighth (8th) Five Year Plan (2020-2025) of the government clearly
        prioritized the importance of developing transmission network to achieve the real benefits of the generation
        expansion program through further development of transmission infrastructures which is also expected to reduce
        transmission and distribution losses. The proposed project is a step towards achieving that target and will address the
        need for network improvement in the important commercial routes in the Central, Southern and Northern Regions of
        the country.

   Relationship to CPF

        9. The proposed operation is aligned with the draft World Bank Group’s (WBG) Bangladesh Country Partnership
        Framework (CPF) 2023-2027 by making investments in key infrastructures that would directly supports the CPF’s
        objective of increased sustainable and productive use of natural capital to facilitate green growth and energy
        transition. More specifically this operations seeks to contribute to addressing objective 9, in the Bangladesh CPF
        outcomes through the following pathways: a sustainable development pathway that is resilient to disasters and
        climate change by enabling more renewable energy penetration into the energy mix, the improvement of delivery of
        electricity services by strengthening power transmission infrastructure and improve gid reliability for better supply-
        demand linkage, which is expected to facilitate higher levels of economic activity and poverty reduction in rural areas.
        Finally, the proposed operation will also support the CPF objective 9 of regional power interconnectivity through the
        development of regional power interconnection hub with India that would have the capacity to evacuate potential
        hydro power from neighboring countries such as India, Bhutan and Nepal, which would create opportunities to
        facilitate the implementation of a regional power pool.

  C. Proposed Development Objective(s)

        10. The project aims to enhance transmission capacity and reliability of the grid network, improve efficiency in grid
            operations and maintenance, and enable regional integration and evacuation of renewable energy generation.

  Key Results (From PCN)

        11. The PDO-level results indicators are:
            a. Increase in transformation capacity (Megavolt Ampere or MVA)
            b. Reduction of the number of forced outages per substation per year (Percent)

 9 Bangladesh has the potential to benefit about USD1.3 billion per annum (pa) from a flow of electricity from the region of about 16.7 TWh pa.



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         The World Bank
         Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)


          c. Grid integration enabled for large-scale renewable energy (Megawatt)
          d. Improvement in operations and maintenance practices (Yes/No)
          e. People provided with new or improved electricity services (Number)

     12. Intermediate indicators are:
         a. Transmission lines constructed (ckm)
         b. Number of new substations installed or upgraded (Number)
         c. Geographical Information system (GIS) infrastructure developed (Yes/No)
         d. Emergency Restoration System (ERS) procured (Yes/No)
         e. Power System protection software procured and deployed (Yes/No)
         f. Increase in number of female staff hired in technical roles (Percent)

  D. Concept Description

     13. The proposed project is the continuation of Bank’s support to PGCB in improving reliability of the transmission
     network, facilitating regional import and integrating renewable energy into the national grid. The project will involve
     construction of 3 new 400kV and 5 new 230kV substations with a total capacity of 17,400MVA. The project will also
     capture the upgradation of 4 existing substations, construction of 274ct-km of 400kV of new transmission lines and
     95ct-km of 230kV transmission lines. The activities under the project are largely distributed across the Southern,
     Central and Northern Regions of the country. With the added lines and substations, the system will be able to respond
     to the increasing electricity demand, improve reliability and support economic growth in the project areas. It will help
     provide evacuation corridor for new generation plants (including renewable energy-based generation) – expected to
     be financed mostly by the private sector – by removing transmission bottlenecks and enabling better access to the
     end-use market. The project will also facilitate regional power import, enhance grid resilience and introduce grid
     digitization.

     14. The proposed USD680 million (IDA USD450 million) operation is comprised of the following main components:

     Component 1– Enhancement and modernization of Transmission system (IDA USD435 million): This component
     will involve building transmission network infrastructures in central, southern and northern regions of the country
     and improve efficiency in grid operations and maintenance.

          Sub-component 1 – Grid enhancement for improving reliability in central region (IDA USD330 million): This sub-
          component will cover the construction and upgradation of the required transmission lines and substations to
          establish 400kV ring network for Dhaka region and improve system reliability. Electricity demand in this area is
          significantly increasing due to the growing development activities. Currently about 35 to 40 percent of generated
          electricity is consumed in Dhaka city and electricity demand of this area is forecasted to be tripled by 2041 (PSMP-
          2016). The activities under this component are to (i) construct three (3) new 400 kV high-capacity transmission
          rings, one (1) new 400/230/132kV substation and four (4) new 230/132 kV substations; and (ii) upgrade four (4)
          existing 230/132 kV substations.

          Sub-component 2 – Grid enhancement for enabling renewable energy integration in the southern region (IDA
          USD68 million): This sub-component will address the future demand of the southern region and ensure
          transmission facilities for evacuation of renewable energy generation in that area. Demand of electricity in Barisal
          and Patuakhali will go up as significant industrialization is expected to take place in that area after completion of
          some of the major infrastructure projects namely the Padma Multipurpose Bridge project and Payra Port. The


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         The World Bank
         Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)


          activities under this component are to construct one (1) new 400/230/132 kV substation and one (1) new
          230/132kV substation.

          Sub-component 3 – Grid Enhancement for Enabling Renewable Energy Integration and Facilitation of Regional
          Import in Northern Region (IDA USD22 million): This sub-component will build one (1) new 400/230 kV substation
          at Parbatipur to facilitate regional power interconnection with India in the future to transport power from/to
          neighboring countries like Bhutan and Nepal through the Indian grid. This 400kV substation is planned to be a key
          hub to facilitate grid connected RE integration to the rest of the grid from the Northern region power corridor.
          Furthermore, since there is no 400kV substation in that part of the country, the introduction of Parbatipur 400kV
          substation would help in improving the voltage profile in the Northern part allowing better quality of power flow
          to and from Dhaka and other areas, where the loads are concentrated.
          Sub-component 4: Grid Modernization and Digitization (IDA USD15 million): This component will have provisions
          for the following activities that is expected to improve the efficiency of operations and maintenance practices of
          the implementing agency. The proposed activities are:

          i.   Installation of Emergency Restoration System (ERS) for 400 kV voltage levels in selected project areas to
               reduce downtime in restoring damaged towers due to natural disasters and improve grid resilience.
          ii. Procurement of (a) Protection Coordination Software to improve operations of PGCB and (b) additional live
               line maintenance tools which are critical equipment to restore line outages at minimal outage duration
               without shutting down the entire circuits.
          iii. Deployment of Geographical Information System (GIS) infrastructure to inculcate best practice to enhance
               system planning and operational activities within PGCB. This is also intended to tie into an integrated planning
               system across the generation, transmission and distribution sectors in Bangladesh.

     15. In addition to these proposed works above, and subject to the satisfactory assessment by the implementing
     agency, Component 1 could cover a broader scope aimed at decarbonizing the grid by addressing key constraints to
     the optimal dispatch of the current grid connected VRE capacity (135 MW ≈ 0.14GW).

    Component 2 (USD15 million) – Institutional support, capacity development and project implementation.

     16. The World Bank plans to enhance its long-term engagement with PGCB through additional support and
     technical assistance. Component 2 would therefore cover several aspects, some of which will be further discussed
     during project preparation:

          i.     Provision for capacity development and training for PGCB officials in the areas of power system investment
                 planning, system analysis and operations as well as environment and social compliance.
          ii.    Reactive Power Management (RPM) study and implementation, which will be carried out in two phases. Phase
                 1 would cover the RPM study of Bangladesh grid and determine the optimal grid location of the Static Var
                 Compensators (SVC) and the implementation of the outcome of the studies would be covered in phase 2.
          iii.   Credit Rating assessment of PGCB and the development of a financial model for PGCB to understand their
                 investment needs and the cost of borrowing and of financing from different sources to help them decide on
                 the alternate market-based borrowing options.
          iv.    Integration of PGCB’s Maintenance Management Systems and Fixed Asset register works currently being
                 undertaken in an on-going project.
          v.     Support the implementing agency (PGCB) in project implementation through hiring of dedicated consultants
                 (implementation support, independent procurement, etc.)


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           The World Bank
           Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)




     Legal Operational Policies                                                          Triggered?
     Projects on International Waterways OP 7.50                                         No
     Projects in Disputed Areas OP 7.60                                                  No

     Summary of Screening of Environmental and Social Risks and Impacts
     .
 The total estimated land requirement for all eight (three 400kV and five 230kV) sub-stations is expected to be within 60
 acres. The Project will try to use government land (if available) or vacant private land (fallow or one-crop lands are usually
 used) may be acquired, which will cause loss of land for owners and may cause temporary impacts on owners, tenants
 and/or sharecroppers due to loss of crops and trees. No physical displacement is expected.

 Most of the expected impacts are likely to occur during the construction phases, mainly: generation of solid waste, air
 pollution and noise, disruption of traffic, etc. The TL construction may also cause disturbance of ROW soils and vegetation
 through the movement of people and vehicles along the ROW and access roads.



 .
     CONTACT POINT


     World Bank
     Mohammad Anis, Anthony Granville
     Senior Energy Specialist


     Borrower/Client/Recipient
     People's Republic of Bangladesh




     Implementing Agencies

     Power Grid Company of Bangladesh
     Golam Kibria
     Managing Director
     md@pgcb.gov.bd




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         The World Bank
         Transmission Grid Enhancement & Modernization Project (P179429)


  FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT
  The World Bank
  1818 H Street, NW
  Washington, D.C. 20433
  Telephone: (202) 473-1000
  Web: http://www.worldbank.org/projects



  APPROVAL

   Task Team Leader(s):                    Mohammad Anis, Anthony Granville

  Approved By
  APPROVALTBL
  Practice Manager/Manager:

  Country Director:                       Dandan Chen                            19-Nov-2022



   Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here. Please delete this note when
   finalizing the document.




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