The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) REPORT NO.: RES47652 RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF THE SUPPORTING EDUCATION REFORM IN TARGETED CIRCUITS APPROVED ON OCTOBER 14, 2015 TO THE REPUBLIC OF ECUADOR December 2, 2021 EDUCATION LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN Regional Vice President: Carlos Felipe Jaramillo Country Director: Marianne Fay Regional Director: Luis Benveniste Practice Manager/Manager: Emanuela Di Gropello Task Team Leader: Ciro Avitabile The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS CD Country Director GOE Government of Ecuador IMF International Monetary Fund INEVAL National Institute of Evaluation (Instituto Nacional de Evaluación) ISR Implementation Status and Results Report MEF Ministry of Economy and Finance (Ministerio de Economia y Finanzas) MINEDUC Ministry of Education (Ministerio de Educacion) PDO Project Development Objective PIU Project Implementation Unit RVP Regional Vice President SNP National Secretariat for Planning (Secretaria Nacional de Planificacion) VAT Value Added Tax WASH Water, Sanitation and Hygiene The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) BASIC DATA Product Information Project ID Financing Instrument P152096 Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Current EA Category Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Approval Date Current Closing Date 14-Oct-2015 31-Dec-2021 Organizations Borrower Responsible Agency Republic of Ecuador Ministry of Education,INEVAL Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to increase enrollment in early education and improve the persistence rate in lower secondary education and upper secondary education in the targeted circuits. OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO Summary Status of Financing (US$, Millions) Net Ln/Cr/Tf Approval Signing Effectiveness Closing Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed IBRD-85420 14-Oct-2015 28-Jan-2016 09-Feb-2016 31-Dec-2021 125.30 48.30 77.00 Policy Waiver(s) Does this restructuring trigger the need for any policy waiver(s)? No The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) I. PROJECT STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING 1. This Restructuring Paper (RP) seeks approval of the Regional Vice President (RVP) for a Level II Restructuring of the Supporting the Education Reform in Targeted Circuits Project (P152096), Loan No. 89120-DO. Ecuador has been severely affected by the COVID-19 crisis with large repercussions on its education sector in a context where education outcomes were already weak. The new Government, which came on board in May 2021, is committed to respond to this unprecedented crisis and has featured the re-opening of schools as one of its top priorities. The proposed restructuring responds to a request of the Government of Ecuador to adapt the project to the new pandemic context and to ensure that it achieves its development objective in view of the new context and delays in implementation. The restructuring will entail the following changes: (i) an extension of the Project's closing date from December 31, 2021 to December 31, 2022 resulting in 24 months of cumulative extension; (ii) a reallocation of Loan proceeds between disbursement categories; (iii) the inclusion of activities under Subcomponent 1.1. in a new government-financed infrastructure investment project, in place of the original government-financed investment project, which is approaching its end in December 2021, and (iv) changes to the results framework. There will be no changes to the Project Development Objective (PDO), which remains achievable with the restructuring, and there are no changes in the safeguards categories or in the loan amount. 2. Ecuador has been severely affected by the COVID-19 crisis and schools have been closed for an extended period of time, with potentially catastrophic effects on learning. The health and economic costs of COVID-19 in Ecuador have been dramatically large. The country has recorded more than 524,000 COVID-19 cases, with about 33,000 people dead. During the year 2020, GDP per capita fell by almost 8 percentage points, and extreme poverty rose by almost 30 percentage points. In order to contain the spread of the COVID-19 virus, Ecuadorian authorities ordered schools to close in March 2020, leaving approximately 5.1 million learners at home. Since then, schools have been fully closed for 40 weeks and partly closed for an additional 35 weeks. While actual data on learning losses are not available, World Bank simulations suggest that, assuming a 13-month school closure, Learning Adjusted Years of Schooling may decrease from 8.7 to 7 years. 3. School reopening is moving ahead, after receiving a big boost from the massive vaccination campaign. Since September 2020, the Ministry of Education (MoE) has worked relentlessly to enable school reopening. The return to in-person learning has been gradual, voluntary, and in full compliance with biosafety norms. In the year 2021, Ecuador achieved the goal of vaccinating more than 80 percent of the population and teachers were among the prioritized categories, which has further increased the level of trust in the reopening process. As of November 2021, more than 50 percent of the schools have reopened, and about 18 percent of the students benefit from some type of in-person learning. Infection rates among students and teachers have been remarkably low (0.007 percent and 0.022 percent, respectively). A broader-scale and safer school reopening will need additional support. 4. In this context, this restructuring constitutes an invaluable opportunity to help the Government respond swiftly to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. The restructuring will support the completion of all viable school rehabilitations, which were delayed, as well as 36 additional schools to make them ready for reopening. This will help the country with its much-needed return to schooling and learning, notably by providing safer and higher quality learning environments and reducing commuting times for children. By supporting enrollment in preschool and reducing school dropout (the PDO of the Project), these interventions will also contribute to achieve project milestones in the remaining months. 5. Following the change in administration, significant improvements in coordination across institutions are expected to ensure a smoother implementation. The transition from the previous administration was well The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) organized and key education investments have been maintained. The new administration's five lines of work are broadly aligned with the Project activities, and school reopening is one of the main priorities. The role of the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) and the National Secretariat for Planning in the last months has been crucial for the continuity of the Projects' activities, and coordination among the MEF, the Planning Secretariat and the line Ministry has been strong. Specifically, MEF and the Planning Secretariat have supported MINEDUC’s request for Project extension, approved sufficient budgetary space for the Project to be implemented in 2022, and approved a new government investment project for activities under subcomponent 1.11. The PIU has been strengthened to guarantee timely delivery of the civil works. A. PROJECT STATUS 6. The Project was approved by the Board of Directors in October 2015, in the amount of US$178 million, and became effective in February 2016. The PDO is to increase enrollment in early education and improve the persistence rate in lower secondary education and upper secondary education in the targeted circuits. The Project has two components. Component 1, Improving school services in targeted circuits, has 4 subcomponents: subcomponent 1.1 Infrastructure, Equipment and Furniture for school Hubs; subcomponent 1.2 Professional Development for Teachers and Principals; subcomponent 1.3 Academic Management System at School Level; and subcomponent 1.4 Services for Students with disabilities and Special Education. Component 2, Strengthening Planning, Management and Evaluation Capacity at the Ministry of Education (MINEDUC), has two subcomponents: subcomponent 2.1 Management and Information Systems; and subcomponent 2.1 Management, Monitoring and Specific Studies/Impact Evaluation. 7. The Project has had three restructurings: The first restructuring included a partial loan cancellation of US$40 million (December 2019); the second allowed financing of Valued Added Tax (VAT) with loan proceeds (March 2020); and the third included a partial loan cancellation in the amount of US$12.7 million (August 2020). The current Project amount is US$125.3 million. 8. Progress towards achievement of the Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Overall Implementation Progress were downgraded to Moderately Unsatisfactory in the latest Implementation Status and Results Report (latest ISR) given slower than expected progress in the implementation of the Project since October 2020. Delays in the contracting of civil works were further exacerbated by the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Project disbursement rate as of November 30, 2021, stood at 39 percent (US$48.3 million of the total amount of US$125.3 million). Disbursements are expected to accelerate following the signing of the civil works’ contracts, expected for December 2021. The overall risk of the Project remains substantial. 9. Subcomponent 1.1: Infrastructure, Equipment and Furniture for Schools Hubs. This Subcomponent seeks to finance the construction of 6 new schools, the rehabilitation of 9 schools, and the equipment and furniture needed for these schools to operate. In terms of the six new infrastructures, civil works for four new schools are completed while one school has 77 percent progress. Two out of the nine rehabilitation have failed bidding processes (and therefore ware canceled), and seven are in the contractual phase. 1 The government of Ecuador requires that all activities within the Project subcomponents are registered under a national investment project. The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) 10. Significant progress was achieved in the Subcomponents 1.2, 1.4, and 2.2 starting in May 2021. Specifically, the development of in-service teacher training on mathematics and language has been contracted, as well as the soft skills’ training for teachers (the training of the first cohort will take place by December 2021) (Subcomponent 1.2). The study on the relevance of technical baccalaureate has been hired (Subcomponent 1.4). The contract of a qualitative study to evaluate the effect of the construction of Millennium Schools, as well as the baseline data collection for the teaching at the right level program, and the contract for the design of a national policy for evaluation, were awarded (Subcomponent 2.2a). The agreement between the National Institute of Evaluation (Instituto Nacional de Evaluación, INEVAL) and MINEDUC was signed, and all the prioritized evaluations are expected to be completed by the end of December of 2021. 11. Subcomponent 2.2 which entailed a number of evaluation activities has not progressed, and their prioritization by government remains pending. The government of Ecuador requires that all activities within the Project subcomponents are registered under a national investment project. The investment project covering the evaluation activities planned for INEVAL ended on December 21, 2020, and a new investment project “Strengthening of the Evaluation Model of the National Education System” was approved in February 2021. However, this investment project has not been prioritized by the National Secretariat of Planning. This action would need to be completed to start with the contractual processes required to hire all INEVAL activities. 12. The Borrower is in compliance with the Loan covenants related to financial information. There are no outstanding audits and moreover, all the audit reports for this project were considered satisfactory to the Bank. The financial management rating according to the latest ISR is Moderately Satisfactory. B. RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING 13. The restructuring will allow the project to better address the challenges created by COVID-19 while pursuing the original development objective of the project. The Government of Ecuador’s request for the project extension responds to some of the challenges posed by school reopening in the context of COVID-19, as students need to reduce commuting times in order to minimize their health risks and the opportunity costs for their families. For this reason, the government has decided to rehabilitate schools that had long been closed. The restructuring will support this new priority by reallocating the loan’s proceeds from activities that are no longer priority (e.g. some of the INEVAL activities) to the rehabilitation of 36 new schools. The project’s extension will also allow the completion of several rehabilitation processes that could not be completed in 2021. These changes are aligned with the Project’s PDO and will contribute to the achievement of the PDO indicators, as increased school availability, driven either by the completion of the remaining planned rehabilitations or the new school interventions, will deter students from dropping out and will reduce the cost of attending preschool education. 14. Despite challenges over the last 18 months, the implementation outlook is now much more favorable. A number of factors contributed to slow implementation in 2020 and 2021, including a failed migration to a new financial management platform at the end of 2020 and the resulting inability to confirm budgetary allocation for the project, frequent staff rotations, and numerous lay-offs in government agencies. Nonetheless, most public servants are now working in a hybrid work modality or have returned to work in-person, more than 80 percent of the population has been vaccinated, and civil works have resumed. The new authorities are fully committed to the Project and have provided strong implementation support. At the government level, MEF, MINEDUC, and Planifica are working very closely. There have been many improvements at the Project implementation level, and staffing of the PIU has been strengthened. The full staff at MINEDUC has been hired since October 2020, and today the PIU is very familiar with policies and project implementation. Performance of the PIU is satisfactory and is expected to remain The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) satisfactory through the extended implementation period. MINEDUC hired five new infrastructure specialists in 2021 and will employ ten additional staff in 2022 to guarantee closer supervision of civil works at the local level. Contracts for the seven rehabilitation works are ready for signature, and the bidding process for the reopening interventions is ready to be launched. Table 1 below shows the detailed timeline for the civil works, where most of the rehabilitations are on track to be completed by the Fall of 2022. Given the improved conditions described above, the Bank team and MINEDUC agree on the feasibility of this timeline. Table 1 – Timeline for civil works 15. An implementation support mission took place between June 22 and 24, 2021 to confirm the priorities and content of the restructuring. The participants included Minister Maria Brown, the technical teams of MINEDUC, MEF, and the National Secretariat for Planning, the Project Implementation Unit (PIU), and the World Bank. As a result of the mission, the Government requested: (i) to change the WB loan closing date to December 31, 2022, to ensure the launch and completion of the infrastructure works originally planned under the Project; and (ii) the reallocation of resources assigned to the two bidding processes declared null (out of the total 9 bidding processes for school rehabilitation works) under Component 1, and the cancellation of specific activities under Component 2. With this reallocation, the Project would finance post-Covid-19 interventions to enable a prompt reopening of 36 schools. 16. On August 3, 2021, the World Bank received a formal request from the MEF to extend the Project closing date from December 31, 2021, to December 31, 2022. However, the approval of a new national infrastructure investment project was required to process the extension of the PARECF Project. The extension was approved by the National Secretariat for Planning only on October 26, 2021. This was followed by a new formal request from MEF on November 16, 2021 to extend the Project closing date from December 31, 2021 to December 31, 2022. II. DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES 17. The specific changes proposed in this restructuring are:  Components and costs: o Reopening interventions were included in subcomponent 1.1 o The following activities from component 2 and amounting US$5.4 million will be canceled and the resources will be reallocated to school reopening interventions: school improvement plans, an impact The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) evaluation of the school improvement plans, and evaluation of a graduate level training, and some of the INEVAL assessments. o Resources from two infrastructure rehabilitations with failed bidding processes and amounting US$8 million will be reallocated to school reopening interventions. o Resources from teacher training activities and amounting US$2.3 million will be reallocated to equipment and furniture of the intervened schools. o The production of episodes for radio and television under Tele-educacion will be canceled and resources reallocated to the new “First Public School in Distance Modality” initiative. o Some of the activities to develop an education management information system (EMIS) were canceled.  Reallocation between Disbursement Categories: Resources from Category 2 in the amount of US$4.8 million and from Category 3 in the amount of US$4.0 million will be reallocated to Category 1.  Results framework: PDO Indicators 1 and 2 as well as IRIs 1,6,8,12 and 13 were updated.  Loan closing dates: Change in the Project's closing date from December 31, 2021, to December 31, 2022, for a cumulative extension of 24 months.  Disbursement Estimates: updated to reflect change in the closing date (see datashet for updated disbursement estimates).  Implementation schedule: updated to reflect change in the closing date. 18. This restructuring includes a reallocation of resources between components for US$5.4 million due to canceled activities. Specifically, resources will be reallocated from Component 2 (Subcomponent 2.2) to Component 1 (Subcomponent 1.1 - school reopening interventions). The canceled activities include the implementation of school improvement plans and the impact evaluation of such intervention; an assessment of a graduate-level teacher training (US$1.4 million); and standardized assessments under INEVAL (US$4.0 million). These activities were canceled due to significant delays during the contracting process, partly due to the need to adapt contents to the new COVID-19 reality. The cancelation of assessments will impact the intermediate indicator 12 (i.e., IRI12 - share of the evaluation conducted in a given period). Table 2 – Status of INEVAL’s Activities 19. In addition, the restructuring includes the reallocation of resources within Component 1 in the amount of US$ 10.3 million. The resources originally planned for rehabilitation works in José María Velasco Ibarra and 23 de Junio (US$8.0 million under Subcomponent 1.1) and for which the bidding process was declared null, will be assigned to school reopening interventions under Subcomponent 1.1. In addition, the resources initially planned for some of The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) the teacher training activities (subcomponent 1.2) will also be assigned to Subcomponent 1.1 (US$2.3 million) and will be invested in equipment and furniture for the intervened schools. 20. The production of episodes for radio and television, which is one of the tele-educacion activities, will be canceled. Although the contract to produce episodes for radio and television was awarded to the Ibero-American Institute for Natural and Cultural Heritage - IPANC, the contract could not start due to the lack of budget certifications for this activity. In addition, recent changes in the National Communication Law require adjustments to the educational content for television and radio programs. Given this and considering that authorities did not contemplate this teeleducacion activity as a main priority, MINEDUC decided to cancel the external production of episodes for radio and television and reallocate the resources from this activity to the new “First Public School in Distance Modality” initiative (also under subcomponent 1.4). The purchase of equipment for the in-house development of educational content for television and radio remains a tele-education activity. MINEDUC will broadcast the in-house developed content in the ongoing national television programs to reach students in isolated communities. Ecuador is currently providing daily schedules in television to all grade levels. 21. Some of the activities to develop an education management information system (EMIS) were cancelled. The canceled modules were expected to take more than 12 months, exceeding the Project’s remaining lifetime. These included institutional school management, supply management, project management, and students' academic performance. The business intelligence module, which supports the decision-making process by analyzing key performance indicators, was finalized successfully. 22. This restructuring will require a reallocation across the disbursement categories. Resources from Category 2 in the amount of US$4.8 million and from Category 3 in the amount of US$4.0 million will be reallocated to Category 1, reflecting the cancellation of activities under Component 2 and the need to cover costs required to conduct interventions for schools reopening. The resources initially planned for some of the teacher training activities under subcomponent 1.2 for US$2.3 million will remain in disbursement category 2, as they will now fund investments in equipment and furniture, which are also under category 2. 23. The restructuring will also include minor revisions to the Project’s Results Framework. Given the available information and considering that the Project Results framework was revised in the last restructuring (factoring in the effects of the fiscal crisis and the pandemic), the targets for PDO indicators 1 and 2 will have minor revisions to reflect the reduction in the number of rehabilitations. 24. Available real data for 2020 for PDO1 (enrollment in early education in the targeted circuits) shows an enrollment of 7,568 students (vs. 8,396 in 2019 and the projection of 7,710 for 2020). This data reflects the enrollment at the beginning of the school year, that is, the enrollment in May 2020 for the coastal regime and September 2020 for the highland region. As the school closure took place in March 2020, the data on enrollment for the coastal region may not reflect entirely the negative shock of the pandemic. Considering the average growth rate, the target for the year 2021 was revised to 7,435 (compared to the original target of 7,710). The end target for the year 2022 was established at 7,474, considering: (i) the average growth rate, and (ii) the rehabilitation of 4 schools that provide initial education services. 25. Similarly, the targets for PDO indicator 2 (persistence rate from lower through upper secondary education), have been revised. Available real data for 2020 shows a persistence rate of 79.95 percent compared to the projection of 78.11 percent. This indicator is calculated as the percentage ratio between the number of students in the 3rd year of high school in the period (t), divided by the number of enrolled students in 8th grade (t-5). Even though The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) there was a decrease in the numerator compared to 2019, this drop was smaller than the target for 2020. The positive trend of the indicator may be due to: (i) government measures (such as the replacement of the exit examination for projects or portfolios), which may have facilitated the transition between grades, and (ii) the fact that the targets were revised in the last restructuring and the effects of the pandemic factored in. Given the results in 2020, the target for the year 2021 will remain at 76.65 percent. The end target for the year 2022 was set at 77.29 percent. 26. The following Intermediate Results Indicators (IRI) will be updated due to: (i) the cancellation of two school rehabilitations under component 1; (ii) the cancellation or revision of scope of activities under component 2; and (iii) the addition of school reopening interventions (more details are provided in the results framework). a) IRI 1: Percentage of students from the targeted circuits attending targeted public schools that receive infrastructure and equipment in compliance with MINEDUC's standards b) IRI 6: Students benefiting from direct interventions to enhance learning c) IRI 8: Enrollment in early education in the targeted circuits (3-years old) d) IRI 12: Share of evaluations conducted in a given time period e) IRI 13: Number of episodes produced for the Teleeducacion platform (deleted) 27. Based on the existing information currently available, the proposed restructuring does not require an update to existing safeguards instruments for the Project. The Overall Safeguards Rating according to the latest ISR is “satisfactory”. Due to the nature of the expected works that will take place in the new identified schools, the Environmental and Social impacts should not be different from those established at the beginning of project and detailed in the existing environmental and social instruments. The Project has already delivered and disclosed the following documents during Project preparation: Environmental and Social Management Framework (disclosed on March 01, 2015), Resettlement Policy Framework (August 12, 2015), Indigenous Peoples Planning Framework (July 01, 2015). Additionally, the Project has developed site-specific Environmental and Social Management Plans for each educational unit that requires a bidding process. 28. The procurement plan will be updated by December 21, 2021 to take into account the new procurement processes that will result from the reallocation of funds proposed in this restructuring. III. SUMMARY OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Results Framework ✔ Components and Cost ✔ Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Disbursement Estimates ✔ Implementation Schedule ✔ Implementing Agency ✔ The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) DDO Status ✔ Project's Development Objectives ✔ PBCs ✔ Cancellations Proposed ✔ Disbursements Arrangements ✔ Overall Risk Rating ✔ Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ EA category ✔ Legal Covenants ✔ Institutional Arrangements ✔ Financial Management ✔ Procurement ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ Economic and Financial Analysis ✔ Technical Analysis ✔ Social Analysis ✔ Environmental Analysis ✔ IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_COMPONENTS_TABLE COMPONENTS Current Current Proposed Proposed Cost Action Component Name Component Name Cost (US$M) (US$M) Component 1: Improving Component 1: Improving school 114.60 Revised school services in Targeted 120.00 services in Targeted Parishes Parishes Component 2: Strengthening Component 2: Strengthening Planning, Management and Planning, Management and 14.70 Revised 9.30 Evaluation Capacity at Evaluation Capacity at MINEDUC MINEDUC TOTAL 129.30 129.30 The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_LOANCLOSING_TABLE LOAN CLOSING DATE(S) Original Revised Proposed Proposed Deadline Ln/Cr/Tf Status Closing Closing(s) Closing for Withdrawal Applications IBRD-85420 Effective 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2022 30-Apr-2023 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_REALLOCATION _TABLE REALLOCATION BETWEEN DISBURSEMENT CATEGORIES Financing % Current Allocation Actuals + Committed Proposed Allocation (Type Total) Current Proposed IBRD-85420-001 | Currency: USD Current Expenditure Category: GO,CW,CS&TR- Part 1(a)(i) MINEDUC -Inclusive of iLap Category Sequence No: 1 VAT 88,426,807.00 28,038,649.00 97,264,998.00 100.00 100.00 Current Expenditure Category: GO,CS,NCS,OP&TR-P.1&2,except P.1(a)(i) & iLap Category Sequence No: 2 P.2(b)(v)-MINEDUC-InclusiveVAT 27,662,910.00 12,210,696.36 22,855,305.00 100.00 100.00 Current Expenditure Category: GO,CS,NSC,OP&SAC- P.2(b)(v) MINEDUC-INEVAL- iLap Category Sequence No: 3 InclusiveVAT 9,210,283.00 2,340,171.99 5,179,697.00 100.00 100.00 Total 125,300,000.00 42,589,517.35 125,300,000.00 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_DISBURSEMENT_TABLE DISBURSEMENT ESTIMATES Change in Disbursement Estimates Yes Year Current Proposed 2016 4,297,860.00 4,297,860.00 2017 0.00 0.00 The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) 2018 8,600,000.00 8,600,000.00 2019 24,400,000.00 24,400,000.00 2020 11,000,000.00 11,000,000.00 2021 52,000,000.00 0.00 2022 25,002,140.00 77,002,140.00 . The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) . Results framework COUNTRY: Ecuador Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits Project Development Objectives(s) The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to increase enrollment in early education and improve the persistence rate in lower secondary education and upper secondary education in the targeted circuits. Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 Increase enrollment in early education in the targeted circuits Enrollment in early education in the targeted 7,396.00 7,611.00 8,396.00 7,568.00 7,435.00 7,474.00 circuits (Number) Rationale: Given the available information and considering that the Project Results framework was revised in the last restructuring (factoring in the effects of the fiscal crisis and the pandemic), the targets for PDO indicators 1 and 2 will have minor revisions to reflect the reduction in the number of rehabilitations. Available real data for Action: This indicator has 2020 for the PDO1, enrollment in early education in the targeted circuits, shows an enrollment of 7,568 compared to the projection of 7,710. Considering the been Revised average growth rate, the target for the year 2021 was revised to 7,435 compared to the original target of 7,710 for that year. The end target for the year 2022 was established at 7,474, considering the average growth rate and considering that four of the seven rehabilitations that do not provide initial education services will provide these services as a result of the rehabilitations. Improve the persistence rate in lower and upper secondary education in the targeted circuits The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 Persistence rate from lower through upper 75.72 79.19 79.28 79.68 80.70 79.95 76.65 77.29 secondary education (Percentage) Rationale: Available real data for 2020 for the PDO2, persistence rate from lower through upper secondary education, shows a persistence rate of 79.95% compared to the projection of 78.11%. Analysis of the enrollment reveals a decrease in the numerator for 2020 (number of students in the 3rd year/last year of high school) Action: This indicator has compared to the previous period (2019). However, this drop is less than the goal set for 2020. The positive trend of the indicator may be due to good access of this been Revised age group to the online platform and digital resources; the fact that they can work independently in virtual modality; and considering they may have the incentive to finish high school. Given the positive results in 2020, the target for the year 2021 will remain at 76.65 percent. The end target for the year 2022 was established at 77.29%. PDO Table SPACE Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 Component 1: Improving school services in Targeted Circuits Percentage of students from the targeted circuits attending targeted public schools that receive 1.89 2.38 3.36 5.11 6.33 16.04 infrastructure and equipment in compliance with MINEDUC's standards (Percentage) The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 Rationale: Action: This indicator has This indicator has been revised to reflect the decrease in the number of rehabilitations. From the original nine rehabilitations, two were canceled due to failed been Revised bidding processes. Number of teachers that have received in-service training (of which % 0.00 0.00 0.00 2,127.00 2,127.00 2,127.00 2,127.00 2,627.00 female) (Number) (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has This indicator was revised only to change the end date to December 30, 2022 been Revised Number of teachers that have completed graduate-level studies in 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 463.00 463.00 selected subjects (of which % of female) (Number) (Number) Percentage of the teachers in public schools who received the ICT kit 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 and use it to register information (Percentage) (Percentage) Number of surveys on beneficiary communities’ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 satisfaction in the The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 targeted circuits regarding: (i) the process of social management and (ii) the results of the implemented new school “hubs.” (Number) (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has This indicator was revised only to change the end date to December 30, 2022 been Revised Students benefiting from direct interventions to 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,174.00 4,789.00 5,012.00 6,783.00 21,624.00 enhance learning (CRI, Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has This indicator has been updated to reflect the reduction in the number of rehabilitations. From the original 9 rehabilitations, two were canceled due to failed been Revised bidding processes. Students benefiting from direct interventions to 0.00 0.00 0.00 587.00 2,362.00 2,500.00 3,390.00 10,812.00 enhance learning - Female (CRI, Number) The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 Rationale: Action: This indicator The indicator has been updated to reflect the reduction in the number of civil works. From the original 9 rehabilitations, two were canceled due to failed bidding has been Revised processes. Completion of special education standards No Yes (Yes/No) Action: This indicator has Rationale: been Marked for This activity has been marked for deletion. Deletion Enrollment in early education in the targeted 5,265.00 4,544.00 3,321.00 2,757.00 2,351.00 2,175.00 circuits (3-years old) (Number) Rationale: Available real data for 2020 for shows an enrollment of 2,757 (vs. 3,321 in 2019 and the projection of 2,888 for 2020). This data reflects the enrollment at the beginning of the school year, that is, the enrollment in May 2020 for the coastal regime and September 2020 for the highland region. As the school closure took Action: This indicator has place in March 2020, the data on enrollment for the coastal region may not reflect entirely the negative shock of the pandemic. Considering the average growth been Revised rate, the target for the year 2021 was revised to 2,351. The end target for the year 2022 was established at 2,175, considering (i) the average growth rate and (ii) the rehabilitation of 4 schools that provide initial education services. Approved criteria for selection of schools benefiting from Yes Yes reopening interventions (Yes/No) The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 Rationale: Action: This indicator is This indicator has been included to reflect the inclusion of reopening intervention as part of the activities under subcomponent 1.1 New Component 2: Strengthening Planning, Management and Evaluation Capacity at MINEDUC Number of implementation phases 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 completed of the new EMIS (Number) (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has Four modules from the EMIS have been canceled. The canceled modules are (i) institutional school management, (ii) supply management, (iii) project been Revised management, and (iv) students' academic performance. The business intelligence module, was finalized successfully. Number of studies financed with Project funds to study the Project's impact on 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 equity, quality and coverage (Number) (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has This indicator was revised only to change the end date to December 30, 2022 been Revised Number of public schools that offer adaptive computer assisted 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 learning to their students (Number) (Number) The World Bank Supporting Education Reform in Targeted Circuits (P152096) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 Number of evaluations and pilots conducted in a 0.00 6.00 given time period (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has Due to the reduction in the number of assessments to be conducted by INEVAL, this indicator has been revised. been Revised Number of episodes produced for the Teleducacion platform 0.00 100.00 600.00 (television and radio) (Number) Action: This indicator has Rationale: been Marked for The teleducacion activity has been canceled, therefore this indicator has been marked for deletion. Deletion IO Table SPACE Click here to enter text.