The World Bank Agriculture Cluster Development Project (P145037) REPORT NO.: RES59016 DOCUMENT OF THE WORLD BANK RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF AGRICULTURE CLUSTER DEVELOPMENT PROJECT APPROVED ON APRIL 9, 2015 TO REPUBLIC OF UGANDA AGRICULTURE AND FOOD EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA Regional Vice President: Victoria Kwakwa Country Director: Keith E. Hansen Regional Director: Iain G. Shuker Practice Manager/Manager: Shobha Shetty Task Team Leader(s): Joseph Oryokot, Jeehye Kim The World Bank Agriculture Cluster Development Project (P145037) I. BASIC DATA Product Information Project ID Financing Instrument P145037 Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Current EA Category Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Approval Date Current Closing Date 09-Apr-2015 30-Nov-2023 Organizations Borrower Responsible Agency Republic of Uganda Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The development objective is to raise on-farm productivity, production, and marketable volumes of selected agricultural commoditiesin specified geographic clusters. Summary Status of Financing (US$, Millions) Net Ln/Cr/Tf Approval Signing Effectiveness Closing Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed IDA-56110 09-Apr-2015 26-Sep-2016 23-Jan-2017 30-Nov-2023 150.00 147.60 .33 Policy Waiver(s) Does this restructuring trigger the need for any policy waiver(s)? No II. SUMMARY OF PROJECT STATUS AND PROPOSED CHANGES The World Bank Agriculture Cluster Development Project (P145037) 1. The Agriculture Cluster Development Project (ACDP) was approved by the Board on April 9, 2015, became effective on January 23, 2017, and was scheduled to close on March 31, 2022. The project was restructured for an 18 months no-cost extension in March 2022, extending the closing date from March 31, 2022, to September 30, 2023. The project closing date was subsequently extended to October 31, and November 30, 2023, to enable the Recipient to incorporate social risk management measures in project’s safeguards frameworks and instruments to ensure non- discrimination and inclusion in project operations. 2. The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to raise on-farm productivity, production, and marketable volumes of selected agricultural commodities in specified agricultural clusters. Despite an initial slow start to implementation, the project significantly improved its performance since the mid-term review and is currently on track to achieving all the PDO indicators as follows: • The total number of direct beneficiaries reached by the project stands at 461,514 of which 45 percent are women. This surpasses the target of 450,000 farm households with a goal of 50 percent being women. • Two of the five commodities (beans, cassava, coffee, maize, and rice) have surpassed target yields by 48 percent (rice) and 91 percent (coffee). The project is on track to achieve yield targets for the remaining three commodities. • Percent production of target commodities in project area has increased by between 51 percent (beans) and 149 percent (cassava) against targets of 50% across all commodities. • Percent increase in marketed commodities has surpassed the 300 percent mark for all five commodities against targets of 50 percent across all commodities. 3. After a slow start in the first six months of FY23, the project implementation picked up and made good progress. In Component 1: the percentage of farmers using improved agricultural technologies accessed through the e-voucher scheme stands at 42 percentage with a target of 65 percent. The area under improved technologies in the target clusters is 102,284 Ha with a target of 182,100 Ha. In Component 2: the number of participating households using post-harvest inputs stands at 304,668, exceeding the target of 300,000. Additionally, 85 percent of Area Commodity Co-operative Enterprises (ACCEs) have attained improved operating capacity, although the initial target was 100 percent. Among the five commodities considered, three of them have surpassed their targets for marketing. In rice marketed volume has increased by a remarkable 450 percent of the target, while in maize and coffee marketed volumes have increased by 230 percent, and 366 percent, respectively, surpassing the targets of 60 percent. All five selected commodities have surpassed their targeted profit ratios. A total of 119 ACCEs supported by the project have invested over US$ 5,000 in post-harvest handling and/or marketing facilities surpassing the target of 30, while up to 54,579 MT of additional volume of storage space has been created under the project surpassing the target of 45,000 MT. The project has also fixed a total of 224 road chokes (bottlenecks) surpassing the target of 100, with more road chokes still under rehabilitation. Component 3: The project completed all 18 pre-feasibility studies for irrigation schemes that were identified. However, the designs for the five prioritized irrigation schemes for rehabilitation and expansion in future investments are not yet completed. Component 4: A total of 670,436 farmers have been reached through ICT innovations surpassing the target of 444,000 farmers, while the level of satisfaction with ICT initiatives is at 54 percent and short of the targeted 90 percent. 4. The project has achieved 99.78 percent disbursement, but the utilization rate stands at 83.4 percent due to the project facing budget constraints in FY23. Progress towards achieving the PDO is rated as Satisfactory, while implementation progress is Moderately Satisfactory. Performance on financial management, procurement management, and overall safeguards management are rated as Moderately Satisfactory. Financial Management The World Bank Agriculture Cluster Development Project (P145037) 5. There are no pending audit reports nor outstanding fiduciary or safeguard issues. The quarterly Interim Financial Reports have been submitted on time and quality of these reports is satisfactory and meets Bank standards. The external audit has been conducted in line with International Audit Standards. Audit reports have been submitted on time as indicated in the Financing Agreement, and the reports were unqualified with no major reservations. Previous Restructuring 6. The project has been restructured six times. The first Level 2 restructuring was undertaken in November 2016, to modify the effectiveness condition related to the appointment of an electronic Voucher Management Agency(e- VMA). The second Level 2 restructuring took place in July 2018 and it involved several key changes, including: (i) reorganizing project components and activities to simplify technical design and realigning it with then-current sector strategies and priorities; (ii) revising the sequence of project activities within components and synchronizing implementation between them; and (iii) making changes to institutional and implementation arrangements to streamline decision-making processes and improve implementation performance. The third Level 2 restructuring followed the mid-term review (MTR) mission of October 2019, with the primary objective of accelerating implementation pace. The fourth Level 2 restructuring was undertaken in March 2022 in response to the Government’s request for an extension of the project closing date by 18 months to account for the 21-month delay in project effectiveness and the COVID-19 impact on implementation, and to reallocate project proceeds in a manner that would better achieve the PDO. The fifth Level 2 restructuring for one month was undertaken in September 2023 to ensure that the proposed measures under the social risk management framework with respect to non- discrimination and inclusion are incorporated in the project’s operations to allow for processing the six-month extension request. This was necessitated by the signing into law of the Anti-Homosexuality Act (AHA). The recent sixth Level 2 restructuring for one month was undertaken in October 2023. As in the fifth Level 2 restructuring, this was to ensure that the proposed measures under the social risk management framework with respect to non-discrimination and inclusion were incorporated in the project’s operations. This process has not yet been finalized. Rationale for Restructuring 7. This Level 2 restructuring is being undertaken to: (a) enable the project to complete on-going activities and contractual commitments that were curtailed by the inadequate budget space provided in the FY23 national budget; (b) reallocate project proceeds by categories to allow reporting of expenditure by activity; and (c) ensure that the proposed measures under the social risk management framework with respect to non-discrimination and inclusion are incorporated in the project’s post-closure third party monitoring (TPM). 8. While the project has successfully disbursed 99.8 percent of project funds, due to budget limitations in FY23 explained above there are substantial unutilized project funds in the project accounts as of July 20, 2023, totaling US$ 23.12 million (UGX 85.25 bn). In the fiscal year 2024, the Government has appropriated adequate budget space of UGX 85.7 bn to the project for completion of on-going activities and contractual commitments. These include the following: i. Completion of 46 on-going rehabilitation works contracts on 345 priority road choke points identified in 1,118 km of community farm access roads in the 57 project districts, to enhance farmers access to agricultural markets. All these contracts are signed, and works are on-going at various stages of implementation. The total outstanding balance of these contracts is Ush. 30.30 bn. (equivalent to USD 8.19 million). ii. Completion of rehabilitation work on the National Seed Laboratory at Kawanda with an outstanding contracted balance at Ush. 1.46bn (equivalent to USD 395,554). iii. Completion of the construction of storage facilities, connection of power supply, and installation of equipment and machinery for value-addition for the remaining 143 of the 358 beneficiary farmer producer organizations (Area- based Commodity Cooperative Enterprises (ACCEs) under the project’s Matching Grants Scheme, with an outstanding balance of Ush. 5.54bn (equivalent to USD 1.498 million). The World Bank Agriculture Cluster Development Project (P145037) iv. Completing payments for e-voucher Management Agency costs, and arrears to agro-input dealers that supplied agro-inputs to farmers under the e-voucher subsidy program with an outstanding balance of Ush. 2,151,508,892 (equivalent USD 581,489). v. Completion of investment studies for agricultural water management, including feasibility studies, detailed engineering designs and environmental and social impact studies for five (5) identified irrigation schemes, and completion of establishing 49 smallholder coffee irrigation models at Ush. 4,760,924,990 (equivalent USD 1.287 million). vi. Deployment, and operation and maintenance of ICT platforms developed under the project in participating districts, including the National Food and Agricultural Statistics System (NFASS), e-extension system, mobile soil testing application, and the e-markets platform. This is valued at Ush 581 million equivalent to USD 157,047. vii. Providing support to on-going key project activities including end-of-project impact evaluations, PCU operations, the rollout of the National Food and statistics system to 57 districts and undertaking start-up activities for the Uganda Climate Smart Agricultural Transformation Project (UCSATP). All these are valued at Ush. 23.45bn (equivalent to USD 6.17 million). The risks of closing the project now are as follows: a. The project will not achieve its intended results. b. Over 112,855 farmers that belong to project established cooperatives who have contributed the equivalent of US$10,140,000 of their own funds to the matching grant scheme provided by the project will not be able to utilize those agro-processing facilities that were not completed, because the project’s financial obligations to the farmers will not have been met. This will be a heavy investment loss for the smallholder farmers from which, they are unlikely to recover economically. c. Incomplete infrastructure will limit continued smallholder access to markets, inputs, and services. These include 121 road chokes spread over 310 Km of roads under rehabilitation; the National Seed Laboratory currently under rehabilitation, and agro-processing and value addition infrastructure all valued at US$ 10.4 million. d. In addition to reputational risks, efforts to incorporate non-discrimination and inclusion measures currently being finalized will not be possible without the extension. This will be a lost opportunity to strengthen the principle of non-discrimination and inclusion in the use of project provided facilities. e. Due to undocumented expenditures and uncompleted contracts and activities, the liability to the Government of Uganda is USD 38,387,597.92 as the amount reported in the Designated Account (comprising of USD 18.28 million of on-going contracts and activities, and USD 20.11 million of undocumented payments). The proposed reallocation of project proceeds that is being requested in the restructuring paper is to enable the project team to submit eligible expenditure documentation to ensure an orderly loan closure, given that the project has disbursed 99.77%. This will not be possible if the project closing date is not extended. 9. In view of the serious budget constraints that the Uganda Government faced in FY23, it will not be able to complete these on its own. The six-month extension requested is critical for completion of all the on-going activities and strengthen safeguards compliance for the sustainable use of these facilities (investments). 10. The proposed restructuring will entail extending the project closing date by six months from the current closing date of November 30, 2023, to May 31, 2024, and reallocation of project proceeds between disbursement categories as per the Table below. The World Bank Agriculture Cluster Development Project (P145037) III. DETAILED CHANGES LOAN CLOSING DATE(S) Original Revised Proposed Proposed Deadline Ln/Cr/Tf Status Closing Closing(s) Closing for Withdrawal Applications 30-Sep-2023, 31-Oct- 2023, 30-Sep-2023, IDA-56110 Closed 31-Mar-2022 31-Jan-2024 31-May-2024 31-Oct-2023, 30-Nov- 2023 REALLOCATION BETWEEN DISBURSEMENT CATEGORIES Current Current Actuals + Proposed Disbursement % Ln/Cr/TF Expenditure Allocation Committed Allocation (Type Total) Category Current Proposed IDA-56110- eVouchers Pt 1a 43,987,420.00 31,059,091.01 44,740,441.28 100.00 100.00 001 Trg Pt1b& 1c(i) Currency: Gds,Ncs,Cs,Tr,O XDR 25,695,643.00 25,704,012.26 25,808,265.94 100.00 100.00 c,prt1cii,2a,3,4 Wrks,Cs,OC 16,866,937.00 9,834,282.18 16,051,739.78 100.00 100.00 under part 2(c) Matching Grants 19,850,000.00 12,513,809.44 19,799,553.00 100.00 100.00 Pt 2(b)(ii) Total 106,400,000.00 79,111,194.89 106,400,000.00