The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892) Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Serbia | Health, Nutrition & Population Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2020 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 27-Nov-2023 | ISR58702 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Health, Republic of Serbia Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 26-May-2020 Effectiveness Date: 10-Dec-2020 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 17-May-2022 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 14-Mar-2022 Original Closing Date: 31-May-2022 Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2025 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to respond to the threat posed by COVID-19 and to strengthen the national health system for public health preparedness in Serbia. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Emergency COVID-19 Response:(Cost $98.03 M) Component 2: Implementation Management and Monitoring and Evaluation:(Cost $1.97 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The progress in project implementation and the likelihood of achieving the project’s development objectives remain moderately satisfactory. Of the five key results towards achieving the development objectives, the following four have achieved their end-of-project targets: (i) isolation capacity has been strengthened in 50 acute health care facilities (target: 36); (ii) the Government of Serbia adopted personal and community non-pharmaceutical interventions (target: Yes); (iii) capacity for providing emergency medical care has been improved in 65 percent of primary health care centers (target: 50%); and (iv) there are six designated laboratories with COVID-19 diagnostic equipment, test kits and reagents (target: 5). The remaining indicator (laboratory capacity strengthening related to dealing with pathogens requiring Bio Safety Level 3 (BSL-3)) is on track to be achieved by the Project closing date of June 30, 2025. Out of 11 intermediate results indicators, nine have achieved their end-of-project target values, while remaining two (platform for citizen engagement and establishing a BSL-3 laboratory) are on track to be achieved by the Project closing date. 11/27/2023 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892) MPA Program Development Objective MPA PDO Table The Program Development Objective is to prevent, detect and respond to the threat posed by COVID-19 and strengthen national systems for public health preparedness MPA Table Multiphase Programmatic Approach (MPA) Status MPA Table Body Sustained efforts continue to be made to advance the implementation of the 87 MPA operations. After a great deal of activity (restructurings and disbursements) processed at the end of FY23 when several operations were restructured just before or on June 30, 2023, the past three months have seen a slower period of disbursements. The overall level of disbursements is being affected by three main reasons: (i) low disbursements in six countries, (ii) pausing of disbursements in two other countries – Afghanistan, and Myanmar, and (iii) processing of refunds to the project accounts at this late stage of project implementation. In addition, (i) a large refund from the UN to the project account of the Myanmar operation was processed in late March due to the inability to implement the project, and (ii) the amounts of Loans and Credits denominated in SDRs and Euros have been affected because of fluctuations between the SDRs and Euros against the US dollar. As of November 16, 2023, 88 MPA-projects had been approved with a total commitment of US$4.27 billion. One operation (Guatemala) was cancelled in mid-September 2021, at the request of the Government. Total disbursements as of November 16, 2023, amount to US$3.97 billion or 93% of overall commitments. This amount does not include disbursements under MPA-V operations which are reported together with AF-V operations. Ten operations closed by the end of CY22 and nine operations closed on June 30, 2023. While there are thirteen (13) operations with closing dates by the end of CY23, there are plans for some projects to process extensions so this number will change. As with the Mid Term Review (MTR) issued on March 25, 2023, no individual COVID-19 MPA operation will need an ICR. Only one ICR will be prepared upon completion of the SPRP COVID-19 MPA Program, which closes on December 31, 2025. The Global ICR will be based on final ISRs packages prepared by country operations’ teams. A template for the final ISR was issued by OPCS on March 21, 2023. Several operations have/are preparing final ISR packages. The overall conclusion of the MTR was that: (i) the COVID-19 MPA Program embodied a rapid, innovative approach to new lending for human health response; (ii) the COVID-19 MPA has been successful, notwithstanding considerable uncertainty and multiple constraints in the early stages of the pandemic; (iii) the Bank’s emergency response was remarkably swift in the most vulnerable countries facing human capital losses and development setbacks; and (iv) notwithstanding the challenges, the MPA is on track to achieve its PrDO, “prevent, detect and respond to the threat posed by COVID-19 and strengthen national systems for public health preparedness.“ Seventy-three (73) country projects or 86 percent of projects approved have reached 70-100+ percent disbursement (reasons for >100% disbursements relate to fluctuations between the Euro and the SDR against the US$). Out of the 73 operations, 63 operations or 86 percent have disbursed 90+ percent of commitments. Out of the 73 operations, 49 operations or 67 percent are fully disbursed and ten (10) operations have disbursed 95-99 percent of commitments. There are four operations with disbursements of 50 percent or less. Out of these four operations, one operation has disbursed 35 percent (AFW), two operations in EAP have disbursed 46-48 percent and one operation in SAR has disbursed 49 percent. The projects are benefitting about 3.7 billion people or 50% of the global population. When countries with AF-V operations are counted, the projects are benefitting about 4.1 billion of 51 percent of the global population. This is because some countries that do not have a parent project have AF-V operations. All projects approved are disbursing. Operations in ECA and MNA are fully disbursed. In other regions, disbursements have reached: (i) LAC 97 percent, (ii) SAR 95 percent, (iii) EAP 87 percent, (iv) AFW 85 percent, and (v) AFE 79 percent. Disbursements for EAP operations are being affected by low disbursements in three country projects that have disbursed between 46 and 56 percent. AFE lower disbursements compared to other regions are a result of low disbursements under two operations, which have disbursed 55- 11/27/2023 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892) 66 percent respectively. In the case of AFW low overall disbursements are a result of low disbursements under one operation (35 percent). Retroactive Financing (RF) represents 20 percent of commitments. SAR has the highest percentage of RF at 37 percent, followed by ECA at 18 percent. Direct Payment (DP) disbursements represent 22 percent of commitments. EAP has the highest level of disbursements using DP – 80 percent, followed by AFW at 38 percent. IDA continues to represent 40 percent while IBRD represents 60 percent of disbursements. Streamlined procedures, delegated approvals, coupled with flexible project design and intensified efforts by counterparts and Bank teams have contributed to the progress. Implementation is being guided by Bank teams working in parallel with other health related projects, including Additional Financing operations which have supported vaccine procurement and deployment efforts. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Substantial Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Substantial Substantial Substantial Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other Moderate Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes To respond to the threat posed by COVID-19 in Serbia IN01366096 ►Number of acute health care facilities with isolation capacity (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 6.00 50.00 50.00 36.00 Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 IN01366098 ►Personal and community non-pharmaceutical interventions adopted by the GOS (Yes/No, Custom) 11/27/2023 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 Comments: IN01366099 ►National laboratory capacity strengthened for surveillance, detection and research related to pathogens requiring Bio Safety Level 3, such as West Nile virus, SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 28-Jul-2022 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 31-Aug-2023 IN01366100 ►Percentage of PHC centers with improved capacity for providing emergency medical care (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 65.00 65.00 50.00 Date 28-Jul-2022 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 31-Aug-2023 To strengthen the national health system for public health preparedness in Serbia IN01366097 ►Number of designated laboratories with COVID-19 diagnostic equipment, test kits, and reagents (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 6.00 5.00 Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Emergency COVID-19 Response IN01366102 ►Proportion of health staff trained in infection prevention and control per MOH-approved protocols (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 90.00 90.00 70.00 Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 IN01366104 ►Number of designated laboratories with staff trained to conduct SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis (Number, Custom) 11/27/2023 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 6.00 5.00 Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 IN01366106 ►Coordinated disease surveillance systems in place in the public health sector for COVID-19 laboratories (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 IN01366107 ►Physical distancing communication messages targeting vulnerable populations (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 12.00 12.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 IN01366108 ►Number of CT scanners with average age <10 years per 1 million population (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 7.00 15.00 15.00 13.00 Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 IN01366109 ►Percentage of Primary Health Care Facilities with newly installed X-ray machines (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 39.00 39.00 30.00 Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 IN01366110 ►Number of laboratory(ies) upgraded to biosafety level 3 (BSL-3) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Date 23-Apr-2021 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 31-May-2022 IN01366111 ►Number of health care facilities with ICUs equipped with new beds supported by the Project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 11/27/2023 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892) Value 0.00 46.00 46.00 45.00 Date 26-May-2021 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 31-May-2022 Component 2: Implementation Management and Monitoring and Evaluation IN01366101 ►Percentage of health facilities (a) establishing a digital feedback platform, (b) utilizing it to actively obtain feedback from communities, and (c) providing feedback from Govt. on actions taken (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Date 01-Jan-2020 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 29-Apr-2022 A platform has been developed as an integral part of the MoH’s eHealth portal. The platform has the ability to obtain feedback from communities on every PHC facility, as well as a built in function to facilitate feedback loop from the facilities. However, at the moment, as the MoH is planning to overhaul the entire Comments: eHealth portal, the CE platform is still on hold. The PCU is following up closely with the Digital Health Sector (Department) of the MoH and discuss options for getting the platform functional as soon as possible. IN01366103 ►Percentage of grievances successfully addressed (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 90.00 Date 23-Apr-2021 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 31-May-2022 IN01366105 ►Percentage of vulnerable population/beneficiaries of government free meal program receiving COVID-19 hygiene kits (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 70.00 Date 23-Apr-2021 01-May-2023 13-Nov-2023 31-May-2022 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P173892 IBRD-91200 Effective USD 100.00 100.00 0.00 81.79 16.04 84% Key Dates (by loan) 11/27/2023 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P173892 IBRD-91200 Effective 26-May-2020 29-May-2020 10-Dec-2020 31-May-2022 30-Jun-2025 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 03-Aug-2021 ,Level 2 Approved on 24-Feb-2022 ,Level 2 Approved on 04-Oct-2022 ,Level 2 Approved on 20-Jun-2023 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 11/27/2023 Page 7 of 7