The World Bank                                                                                        Implementation Status & Results Report
         Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892)



Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892)


 EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Serbia | Health, Nutrition & Population Global Practice |
 IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2020 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 27-Nov-2023 | ISR58702 |


 Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Health, Republic of Serbia



 Key Dates


  Key Project Dates

   Bank Approval Date: 26-May-2020                                             Effectiveness Date: 10-Dec-2020
   Planned Mid Term Review Date: 17-May-2022                                   Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 14-Mar-2022
   Original Closing Date: 31-May-2022                                          Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2025
 pdoTable

 Project Development Objectives

  Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document)
  The Project Development Objective is to respond to the threat posed by COVID-19 and to strengthen the national health system for public health
  preparedness in Serbia.

  Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective?
  No


 Components Table

 Name
 Component 1: Emergency COVID-19 Response:(Cost $98.03 M)
 Component 2: Implementation Management and Monitoring and Evaluation:(Cost $1.97 M)

 Overall Ratings

 Name                                                                        Previous Rating                           Current Rating

 Progress towards achievement of PDO                                         Moderately Satisfactory                  Moderately Satisfactory
 Overall Implementation Progress (IP)                                        Moderately Satisfactory                  Moderately Satisfactory
 Overall Risk Rating                                                         Substantial                              Substantial


 Implementation Status and Key Decisions

  The progress in project implementation and the likelihood of achieving the project’s development objectives remain moderately
  satisfactory. Of the five key results towards achieving the development objectives, the following four have achieved their end-of-project targets: (i)
  isolation capacity has been strengthened in 50 acute health care facilities (target: 36); (ii) the Government of Serbia adopted personal and
  community non-pharmaceutical interventions (target: Yes); (iii) capacity for providing emergency medical care has been improved in 65 percent of
  primary health care centers (target: 50%); and (iv) there are six designated laboratories with COVID-19 diagnostic equipment, test kits and reagents
  (target: 5). The remaining indicator (laboratory capacity strengthening related to dealing with pathogens requiring Bio Safety Level 3 (BSL-3)) is on
  track to be achieved by the Project closing date of June 30, 2025. Out of 11 intermediate results indicators, nine have achieved their end-of-project
  target values, while remaining two (platform for citizen engagement and establishing a BSL-3 laboratory) are on track to be achieved by the Project
  closing date.



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         The World Bank                                                                                       Implementation Status & Results Report
         Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892)




 MPA Program Development Objective


 MPA PDO Table
 The Program Development Objective is to prevent, detect and respond to the threat posed by COVID-19 and strengthen national systems for public
 health preparedness

 MPA Table
 Multiphase Programmatic Approach (MPA) Status

 MPA Table Body
 Sustained efforts continue to be made to advance the implementation of the 87 MPA operations. After a great deal of activity (restructurings and
 disbursements) processed at the end of FY23 when several operations were restructured just before or on June 30, 2023, the past three months
 have seen a slower period of disbursements. The overall level of disbursements is being affected by three main reasons: (i) low disbursements in six
 countries, (ii) pausing of disbursements in two other countries – Afghanistan, and Myanmar, and (iii) processing of refunds to the project accounts at
 this late stage of project implementation. In addition, (i) a large refund from the UN to the project account of the Myanmar operation was processed
 in late March due to the inability to implement the project, and (ii) the amounts of Loans and Credits denominated in SDRs and Euros have been
 affected because of fluctuations between the SDRs and Euros against the US dollar.

 As of November 16, 2023, 88 MPA-projects had been approved with a total commitment of US$4.27 billion. One operation (Guatemala) was
 cancelled in mid-September 2021, at the request of the Government. Total disbursements as of November 16, 2023, amount to US$3.97 billion
 or 93% of overall commitments. This amount does not include disbursements under MPA-V operations which are reported together with AF-V
 operations. Ten operations closed by the end of CY22 and nine operations closed on June 30, 2023. While there are thirteen (13) operations with
 closing dates by the end of CY23, there are plans for some projects to process extensions so this number will change.

 As with the Mid Term Review (MTR) issued on March 25, 2023, no individual COVID-19 MPA operation will need an ICR. Only one ICR will
 be prepared upon completion of the SPRP COVID-19 MPA Program, which closes on December 31, 2025. The Global ICR will be based on final
 ISRs packages prepared by country operations’ teams. A template for the final ISR was issued by OPCS on March 21, 2023. Several operations
 have/are preparing final ISR packages. The overall conclusion of the MTR was that: (i) the COVID-19 MPA Program embodied a rapid,
 innovative approach to new lending for human health response; (ii) the COVID-19 MPA has been successful, notwithstanding considerable
 uncertainty and multiple constraints in the early stages of the pandemic; (iii) the Bank’s emergency response was remarkably swift in the most
 vulnerable countries facing human capital losses and development setbacks; and (iv) notwithstanding the challenges, the MPA is on track to achieve
 its PrDO, “prevent, detect and respond to the threat posed by COVID-19 and strengthen national systems for public health preparedness.“

 Seventy-three (73) country projects or 86 percent of projects approved have reached 70-100+ percent disbursement (reasons for >100%
 disbursements relate to fluctuations between the Euro and the SDR against the US$). Out of the 73 operations, 63 operations or 86 percent have
 disbursed 90+ percent of commitments. Out of the 73 operations, 49 operations or 67 percent are fully disbursed and ten (10) operations have
 disbursed 95-99 percent of commitments. There are four operations with disbursements of 50 percent or less. Out of these four operations, one
 operation has disbursed 35 percent (AFW), two operations in EAP have disbursed 46-48 percent and one operation in SAR has disbursed 49
 percent. The projects are benefitting about 3.7 billion people or 50% of the global population. When countries with AF-V operations are
 counted, the projects are benefitting about 4.1 billion of 51 percent of the global population. This is because some countries that do not have
 a parent project have AF-V operations. All projects approved are disbursing. Operations in ECA and MNA are fully disbursed. In other regions,
 disbursements have reached: (i) LAC 97 percent, (ii) SAR 95 percent, (iii) EAP 87 percent, (iv) AFW 85 percent, and (v) AFE 79
 percent. Disbursements for EAP operations are being affected by low disbursements in three country projects that have disbursed between 46 and
 56 percent. AFE lower disbursements compared to other regions are a result of low disbursements under two operations, which have disbursed 55-



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            The World Bank                                                                                     Implementation Status & Results Report
            Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892)



 66 percent respectively. In the case of AFW low overall disbursements are a result of low disbursements under one operation (35
 percent). Retroactive Financing (RF) represents 20 percent of commitments. SAR has the highest percentage of RF at 37 percent, followed by ECA
 at 18 percent. Direct Payment (DP) disbursements represent 22 percent of commitments. EAP has the highest level of disbursements using DP –
 80 percent, followed by AFW at 38 percent. IDA continues to represent 40 percent while IBRD represents 60 percent of disbursements.

 Streamlined procedures, delegated approvals, coupled with flexible project design and intensified efforts by counterparts and Bank teams have
 contributed to the progress. Implementation is being guided by Bank teams working in parallel with other health related projects, including Additional
 Financing operations which have supported vaccine procurement and deployment efforts.




  Risks


 Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool


  Risk Category                                              Rating at Approval              Previous Rating               Current Rating

  Political and Governance                                   Moderate                       Moderate                     Moderate
  Macroeconomic                                              Substantial                    Moderate                     Moderate
  Sector Strategies and Policies                             Moderate                       Moderate                     Moderate
  Technical Design of Project or Program                     Moderate                       Moderate                     Moderate
  Institutional Capacity for Implementation and
                                                             Moderate                       Moderate                     Moderate
  Sustainability
  Fiduciary                                                  Substantial                    Substantial                  Substantial
  Environment and Social                                     Substantial                    Substantial                  Substantial
  Stakeholders                                               Moderate                       Moderate                     Moderate
  Other                                                      Moderate                       Moderate                     Moderate
  Overall                                                    Substantial                    Substantial                  Substantial



  Results


 PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes



   To respond to the threat posed by COVID-19 in Serbia

    IN01366096
    ►Number of acute health care facilities with isolation capacity (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                             6.00                         50.00                        50.00                      36.00

    Date                              01-Jan-2020                  01-May-2023                  13-Nov-2023               29-Apr-2022

    IN01366098
    ►Personal and community non-pharmaceutical interventions adopted by the GOS (Yes/No, Custom)



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           The World Bank                                                                                   Implementation Status & Results Report
           Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892)




                                      Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                             No                          Yes                         Yes                       Yes

    Date                              01-Jan-2020                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023               29-Apr-2022


   Comments:

   IN01366099
   ►National laboratory capacity strengthened for surveillance, detection and research related to pathogens requiring Bio Safety Level 3, such
   as West Nile virus, SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV (Yes/No, Custom)

                                      Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                             No                          No                          No                        Yes

    Date                              28-Jul-2022                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023               31-Aug-2023

    IN01366100
    ►Percentage of PHC centers with improved capacity for providing emergency medical care (Percentage, Custom)

                                      Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                             0.00                        65.00                       65.00                     50.00

    Date                              28-Jul-2022                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023               31-Aug-2023



   To strengthen the national health system for public health preparedness in Serbia

    IN01366097
    ►Number of designated laboratories with COVID-19 diagnostic equipment, test kits, and reagents (Number, Custom)

                                      Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                             0.00                        6.00                        6.00                      5.00

    Date                              01-Jan-2020                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023               29-Apr-2022



 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components



   Component 1: Emergency COVID-19 Response

    IN01366102
    ►Proportion of health staff trained in infection prevention and control per MOH-approved protocols (Percentage, Custom)

                                      Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                             0.00                        90.00                       90.00                     70.00

    Date                              01-Jan-2020                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023               29-Apr-2022

    IN01366104
    ►Number of designated laboratories with staff trained to conduct SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis (Number, Custom)


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           The World Bank                                                                                  Implementation Status & Results Report
           Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892)




                                     Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                            0.00                        6.00                        6.00                      5.00

    Date                             01-Jan-2020                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023              29-Apr-2022

    IN01366106
    ►Coordinated disease surveillance systems in place in the public health sector for COVID-19 laboratories (Yes/No, Custom)

                                     Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                            No                          Yes                         Yes                       Yes

    Date                             01-Jan-2020                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023              29-Apr-2022

    IN01366107
    ►Physical distancing communication messages targeting vulnerable populations (Number, Custom)

                                     Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                            0.00                        12.00                       12.00                     10.00

    Date                             01-Jan-2020                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023              29-Apr-2022

    IN01366108
    ►Number of CT scanners with average age <10 years per 1 million population (Number, Custom)

                                     Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                            7.00                        15.00                       15.00                     13.00

    Date                             01-Jan-2020                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023              29-Apr-2022

    IN01366109
    ►Percentage of Primary Health Care Facilities with newly installed X-ray machines (Percentage, Custom)

                                     Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                            0.00                        39.00                       39.00                     30.00

    Date                             01-Jan-2020                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023              29-Apr-2022

    IN01366110
    ►Number of laboratory(ies) upgraded to biosafety level 3 (BSL-3) (Number, Custom)

                                     Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                            0.00                        0.00                        0.00                      1.00

    Date                             23-Apr-2021                 01-May-2023                 13-Nov-2023              31-May-2022

    IN01366111
    ►Number of health care facilities with ICUs equipped with new beds supported by the Project (Number, Custom)

                                     Baseline                    Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target




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           The World Bank                                                                                         Implementation Status & Results Report
           Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892)




    Value                              0.00                         46.00                           46.00                     45.00

    Date                               26-May-2021                  01-May-2023                     13-Nov-2023               31-May-2022



   Component 2: Implementation Management and Monitoring and Evaluation

   IN01366101
   ►Percentage of health facilities (a) establishing a digital feedback platform, (b) utilizing it to actively obtain feedback from communities, and
   (c) providing feedback from Govt. on actions taken (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                     Actual (Previous)               Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              0.00                         0.00                            0.00                      70.00

    Date                               01-Jan-2020                  01-May-2023                     13-Nov-2023               29-Apr-2022
                                       A platform has been developed as an integral part of the MoH’s eHealth portal. The platform has the
                                       ability to obtain feedback from communities on every PHC facility, as well as a built in function to facilitate
                                       feedback loop from the facilities. However, at the moment, as the MoH is planning to overhaul the entire
   Comments:                           eHealth portal, the CE platform is still on hold. The PCU is following up closely with the Digital Health
                                       Sector (Department) of the MoH and discuss options for getting the platform functional as soon as
                                       possible.

    IN01366103
    ►Percentage of grievances successfully addressed (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                     Actual (Previous)               Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              0.00                         100.00                          100.00                    90.00

    Date                               23-Apr-2021                  01-May-2023                     13-Nov-2023               31-May-2022

   IN01366105
   ►Percentage of vulnerable population/beneficiaries of government free meal program receiving COVID-19 hygiene kits (Percentage,
   Custom)

                                       Baseline                     Actual (Previous)               Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              0.00                         100.00                          100.00                    70.00

    Date                               23-Apr-2021                  01-May-2023                     13-Nov-2023               31-May-2022



 Performance-Based Conditions



 Data on Financial Performance


 Disbursements (by loan)

 Project       Loan/Credit/TF     Status      Currency        Original      Revised     Cancelled      Disbursed       Undisbursed              % Disbursed


 P173892       IBRD-91200         Effective   USD              100.00        100.00          0.00            81.79            16.04                      84%


 Key Dates (by loan)


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           The World Bank                                                                           Implementation Status & Results Report
           Serbia Emergency COVID-19 Response Project (P173892)




 Project        Loan/Credit/TF    Status      Approval Date   Signing Date   Effectiveness Date   Orig. Closing Date      Rev. Closing Date

 P173892        IBRD-91200        Effective   26-May-2020     29-May-2020    10-Dec-2020          31-May-2022             30-Jun-2025


Cumulative Disbursements




  Restructuring History


  Level 2 Approved on 03-Aug-2021 ,Level 2 Approved on 24-Feb-2022 ,Level 2 Approved on 04-Oct-2022 ,Level 2 Approved on 20-Jun-2023


  Related Project(s)


 There are no related projects.




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