The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Rogun Hydropower Project (P178819) Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Rogun Hydropower Project (P178819) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Tajikistan | Energy & Extractives Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2023 | Seq No: 2 | ARCHIVED on 30-Oct-2023 | ISR58287 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, Project Management Group for Energy Facilities Construction Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 12-Jan-2023 Effectiveness Date: 11-May-2023 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 02-Dec-2024 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2026 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2026 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objectives are to strengthen Rogun HPP Project’s financial and commercial frameworks, enhance its environmental and social sustainability, improve the transparency, and support establishment of Rogun HPP Project’s benefit sharing program Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Development of macroeconomically sustainable financing plan and a commercial framework for Rogun HPP project:(Cost $4.80 M) Component 2: Improvement of the dam safety:(Cost $4.00 M) Component 3: Strengthening of E&S framework and benefit sharing aspects of Rogun HPP Project:(Cost $7.00 M) Component 4: Strengthening of institutional capacity of Rogun PMG and Rogun JSC:(Cost $4.20 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The financing for the Rogun TA was approved by the World Bank Board of Executive Directors on January 12, 2023, and was declared effective on May 11, 2023. Implementation of the main activities under the TA is progressing as planned: (i) Two panels of experts (Dam Safety, and Environmental and Social) are fully mobilized and conducted their forth mission in Sep-Oct 2023; (ii) update the E&S instruments to be aligned with the World Bank’s Environmental and Social Framework (ESF) is being prepared; (iii) update to the Overall Implementation Plan is being prepared; and (iv) support to prepare Power Purchase Agreements is in the process. 10/30/2023 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Rogun Hydropower Project (P178819) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social High High High Stakeholders Substantial Substantial Substantial Other Substantial Substantial Substantial Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Development of a sustainable financing plan and a commercial framework IN01354428 ►The Government adopts a macroeconomically sustainable and financially viable plan for completing construction of Rogun HPP Project (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 05-Apr-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Dec-2023 This indicator will measure the progress with development and adoption of a macroeconomically sustainable financing plan. The macroeconomic sustainability means that the financing plan would not create risks of debt distress for the country taking into account the proposed annual capital expenditures Comments: and financing terms for those expenditures. The financing plan is expected to be completed by December 2023. IN01354446 ►PPAs are signed for sale of Rogun HPP Project’s electricity in the amount to make the financing plan viable (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 10/30/2023 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Rogun Hydropower Project (P178819) Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 05-Apr-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Dec-2023 This indicator will measure the progress with establishment of adequate commercial framework for Rogun HPP Project. The Government is in the process of negotiation of the term sheets for Power Purchase Comments: Agreements (PPA) with counterparts in major export countries (Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan) and the terms sheets are expected to be signed by end-December 2023. Improvement of environmental and social framework and benefit sharing aspects of Rogun HPP Project IN01354429 ►Rogun HPP Project has functioning dam safety as well as environmental and social POEs (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 05-Apr-2023 17-Oct-2023 28-Feb-2023 This indicator will measure the progress with ensuring functional dam safety and E&S Comments: POEs. Two panels are fully mobilized and conducted their forth mission in Sep-Oct, 2023. IN01354447 ►The environmental and social instruments of Rogun HPP Project comply with the requirements of the World Bank’s Environmental and Social Framework (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 05-Apr-2023 17-Oct-2023 28-Feb-2024 An international E&S consultant (WSP) has been hired to update the E&S Instruments to update the E&S instruments of the Rogun HPP Project in compliance with the Environmental and Social Framework of the Comments: World Bank. Update of the E&S document is in advance stage and the ESIA is expected to be finalized and disclosed by end-Oct, 2023. Improvement of transparency of Rogun JSC and strengthening of capacity of the Rogun PMG IN01354430 ►The summary information on existing and future contracts and financing plan for completion of construction of Rogun HPP Project are publicly disclosed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 05-Apr-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Mar-2023 Update of the project implementation schedule is expected to be updated by Nov 2023 and the updated financing plan to be completed by end of December 2023. Comments: IN01354448 ►Rogun HPP Project’s community benefit sharing program is launched (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 10/30/2023 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Rogun Hydropower Project (P178819) Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 05-Apr-2023 17-Oct-2023 30-Apr-2024 Hiring of an international consultant is progressing and the consultant to be hired by Nov 2023. Comments: Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Development of macroeconomically sustainable financing plan and a commercial framework for Rogun HPP IN01354450 ►Update of Rogun HPP Project implementation schedule is completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 28-Mar-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Jan-2023 This indicator will measure the progress with revision of the Rogun HPP Project implementation schedule to ensure that annual financing requirements are not exceeding the thresholds of annual financing that Comments: can be allocated without creating public debt distress. The inception report is currently under the Bank review and to be finalized by end-Dec, 2023. IN01354456 ►Electricity market analysis is completed and the PPAs for sale of Rogun electricity are drafted (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 28-Mar-2023 17-Oct-2023 30-Apr-2023 This indicator will measure the progress with preparation of long-term contracts for sale of Rogun electricity. Those contracts will then be negotiated by the Government and Rogun JSC with main buyers Comments: in export and domestic markets. The term sheets to the PPAs are expected to be signed with governments of Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan by end of Dec, 2023. Improvement of the dam safety IN01354451 ►Dam safety POE, with composition and qualifications acceptable to the Bank, is hired (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 28-Mar-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Jan-2023 The Recipient hired a functioning dam safety POE. The DSPoE are fully mobilized and had conducted Comments: their forth mission in Sep, 2023. 10/30/2023 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Rogun Hydropower Project (P178819) Strengthening of E&S framework and benefit sharing aspects of Rogun HPP Project IN01354452 ►E&S POE, with composition and qualifications acceptable to the Bank, is hired and retained (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 28-Mar-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Jan-2023 The E&S POE are fully mobilized and functioning. Comments: IN01354454 ►Update of E&S instruments of Rogun HPP Project is completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 28-Mar-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Dec-2024 The update of E&S documents for Rogun HPP Project in compliance with the requirements of the World Comments: Bank's ESF is progressing well and the ESIA update to be finalized and disclosed by end-Oct, 2023 IN01354457 ►Preparation of Rogun HPP Project community benefit sharing program is completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 28-Mar-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Jan-2024 This indicator will measure the progress with preparation of the community benefit sharing program. Hiring of an international consultant to design the BSP is progressing and the contract is expected to be awarded Comments: by Nov 2023. Strengthening of institutional capacity of Rogun PMG and Rogun JSC IN01354449 ►Rogun PMG is strengthened with project management, procurement, FM, and E&S experts (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 31-Oct-2022 05-Apr-2023 17-Oct-2023 01-Feb-2023 This indicator will measure the progress with strengthening of Project implementation capacity of Rogun PMG. The project coordinator, FM, procurement and an international E&S staff have been hired including one local E&S specialist. The Rogun PMG is in the process of hiring (i) one probity officer to review the Comments: procurement aspects of Lot 3A (re-tender) and Lot 4 (new tender); (ii) one international advisor on occupational health and safety; (iii)one international contract management adviser; (iii) one senior procurement officer; and (iv) two local senior engineers; IN01354453 10/30/2023 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Rogun Hydropower Project (P178819) ►Increase in the number of women taking on permanent jobs at Rogun PMG at technical and managerial levels (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 5.00 3.00 3.00 10.00 Date 17-Oct-2023 28-Mar-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Dec-2024 This indicator will measures the progress with efficiency of gender activities under the Project. Rogun PMG hired three local female specialists: one procurement specialist, one FM specialist and one Comments: translator; IN01354455 ►Percentage of citizens who believe that the Project has established effective engagement processes (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target To be established during Value to be yet determined to be yet determined At least 65 percent 2022 survey Date 31-Mar-2023 28-Mar-2023 17-Oct-2023 31-Dec-2026 This indicator will measure the progress with improvement of citizen engagement. The number to be Comments: determined during next E&S mission which is planned in Feb 2024. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P178819 IDA-E1460 Effective USD 15.00 15.00 0.00 1.00 14.40 6.5% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P178819 IDA-E1460 Effective 12-Jan-2023 18-Jan-2023 11-May-2023 31-Dec-2026 31-Dec-2026 Cumulative Disbursements 10/30/2023 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Technical Assistance for Financing Framework for Rogun Hydropower Project (P178819) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 10/30/2023 Page 7 of 7