The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) SOUTH ASIA | Pakistan | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | Requesting Unit: SACPK | Responsible Unit: HSASP IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2021 | Team Leader(s): Amjad Zafar Khan, Melis U. Guven Seq No: 5 | ARCHIVED on 10-Sep-2023 | ISR57658 | Created by: Amjad Zafar Khan on 23-Aug-2023 | Modified by: Amjad Zafar Khan on 06-Sep- 2023 Program Development Objectives PDO Table Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) To support the development of a more adaptive social protection system that will contribute to any future crisis-resilience among poor and vulnerable households Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Crisis Resilient Social Protection program became effective on March 29, 2021. It is a 4-year, $600 million Program for Results operation with a $ 5 million Technical Assistance component. The program has three (3) result areas focusing on; a) Building a crisis resilient delivery system; b) Establishing a Hybrid Social Protection (SP) system for resilience of poor against future crisis; c) Protecting human capital through demand-side education and health initiatives for children. The recent mid-term review (MTR) noted good progress towards achievement of most results ahead of the program’s closing date, as elaborated in the results section below. There are, however, delays in the design for the Hybrid Social Protection system and the new payment system which require attention. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P174484 IDA-68550 Effective USD 600.00 600.00 0.00 557.60 3.16 99% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P174484 IDA-68550 Effective 25-Mar-2021 26-Mar-2021 29-Mar-2021 30-Jun-2025 30-Jun-2025 Program Action Plan Action Description Reporting on the compliance of the Bank ACG. 9/10/2023 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems BISP Recurrent Yearly Completed Completion Measurement Annual reporting by the BISP to the Bank Comments The report is due by end of June every year. Action Description Update of Social Mobilization policy and stakeholder consultations. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 6 - 9 months of Environmental and Social BISP Other program Completed Systems implementation Completion Measurement Policy ratified; proceeds of consultations BISP is developing a Beneficiary Outreach Strategy through the support of GiZ. Bank’s social safeguards team will Comments review its Table of Contents to assess if it meets the requirement agreed under the CRISP ESCP. Action Description GRM improvement and implementation Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social BISP Recurrent Semi-Annually In Progress Systems Completion Measurement GRM document, appointment of E&S specialists and semi-annual reports on GRM implementation Comments GRM report covers Jan to Jun and Jul to Dec periods Action Description Training on E-waste Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 6 - 9 months of Environmental and Social BISP, EPAs Other program Delayed Systems implementation Completion Measurement Proceedings of trainings Comments Expected to completed by September 30, 2022 Action Description Approval of design and Implementation Plan for multi-entry, localized, access (MELA) system by BISP board Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical BISP Due Date 30-Jun-2022 Completed Completion Measurement Approved Minutes of the Board, Design document & implementation plan for MELA 9/10/2023 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) Comments Action Description Approval of protocols for updating socioeconomic scoring algorithm by the Board Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical BISP Due Date 30-Jun-2023 In Progress Completion Measurement Approved Minutes of the Board. Protocol document Comments Action Description Approval of operational design and the implementation plan for the hybrid social protection scheme by BISP Board Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical BISP Due Date 30-Jun-2022 Delayed Completion Measurement Approved Minutes of the Board, Design document for hybrid SP program Comments The design is still being finalized and will be shared by end of August 2022 Action Description Approval of an evidence-based strategy for a possible scaled up hybrid SP program by BISP Board Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical BISP Due Date 28-Jun-2024 Not Yet Due Completion Measurement Approved Minutes of the Board, Strategy paper for hybrid SP program Comments Action Description Electronic File Management System Implemented Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems BISP Due Date 28-Jun-2024 Completed Completion Measurement Filing system will be operational and fiduciary record accessed electronically Comments Board’s approval of revised data sharing protocols incorporating a section to reflect recommendations of the data Action Description sharing protocols review referred to under Part 2(a)(i) of the Project [related to security, privacy and protection of personal data] Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 9/10/2023 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) Technical BISP Due Date 23-Jun-2022 Completed Completion Measurement Data protocols approved by the board Comments Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Low Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Low Low Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Moderate Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Building Crisis-Resilient Delivery Systems IN01336193 ►Number of households with NSER data updated through MELA mechanism (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 15,000.00 2,116,945.00 50,000.00 Date 01-Dec-2020 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This result represents the progression in rollout of the dynamic update mechanism. Comments Developing Innovative Hybrid Social Protection Mechanisms IN01336192 ►Number of hybrid scheme beneficiaries receiving eligible matching contributions (Number, Custom) 9/10/2023 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 150,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This result represents the rollout and expansion of the hybrid SP scheme Comments Protecting human capital in the early and primary school years IN01336194 ►Number of beneficiaries in the nutrition sensitive CCT (Nashonuma) Program paid against compliance with the conditionalities in two consecutive quarters (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 160,548.00 338,314.00 100,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This result depicts the expansion and coverage of the health CCT program Comments IN01336195 ►Number of beneficiaries in WeT program paid against compliance with the conditionalitities in two consecutive quarters. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,100,000.00 1,834,621.00 3,203,000.00 3,000,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This result reflects the expansion of the WeT Taleem program and ensures compliance of conditionalities of Comments the program Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Result Area 1: Building Crisis-Resilient Delivery Systems IN01336226 ►Number of Districts where at least one MELA access point is functional in each Tehsil (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 156.00 157.00 120.00 Date 03-Dec-2020 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This result reflects rollout of dynamic update program across districts Comments IN01336229 ►Number of safety net beneficiaries being paid through the beneficiary centric payment mechanism (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 5,000,000.00 Date 08-Dec-2020 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 Comments This result shows adoption and expansion of the new payment system 9/10/2023 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) IN01336232 ►Number of Government programs exchanging information with NSER through data exchange interface per signed data sharing agreements (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2.00 6.00 6.00 Date 03-Dec-2020 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This result ensures the initiation and expansion of the NSER data sharing with other Comments institutions/organizations. IN01336234 ►Regular meetings of a national governance structure of the NSER with effective representation of the provinces per the regulations (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 The indicator will operationalize a provincially representative governance structure that is empowered to Comments take decisions regarding NSER. The notified regulations reflecting governing body’s authority and conduct of regular meetings per the regulations will operationalize this. IN01336236 ►Pilot survey approach tested for collecting additional data to improve targeting for climate related disasters (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 31-Dec-2020 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 The indicator will capture the readiness for a more focused/localized categorical or geographic sub targeting Comments mechanism in case of a climate related disaster. IN01336238 ►Number of flood emergency affected families from the bottom two quintiles, identified and provided support using the updated National Socio Economic Registry (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,800,000.00 2,800,000.00 1,000,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 The indicator will test the enhancement of the NSER dynamic update mechanism during the flood Comments emergency response. It will demonstrate the effectiveness of the updated NSER data as the sole household welfare based targeting mechanism to identify beneficiary families. Result Area 2: Developing Innovative Hybrid Social Protection Mechanisms IN01336227 ►BISP Board has approved operational design and the implementation plan for the hybrid social protection scheme (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 9/10/2023 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) This intermediate indicator will capture the formal approval of operational design and the decision to rollout Comments the hybrid social protection scheme IN01336230 ►Functional beneficiary registry and platform for management of the hybrid SP scheme (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This result reflects the readiness for launch of the Hybrid SP program Comments Results Area 3: Protecting human capital in the early and primary school years IN01336228 ►Number of districts that are implementing WeT CCT program (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 50.00 160.00 160.00 150.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 Indicator reflects the expansion of the CCT program across the country and will be met if at least one cycle Comments of compliance monitoring has been completed for the children of the respective district IN01336231 ►Cumulative number of ever enrolled children in the WeT Program (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 3,200,000.00 8,445,942.00 10,015,000.00 9,000,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This indicator provides an understanding on number of children (gender disaggregated) benefitting overall Comments from the WeT program since its inception. It also depicts the pace of expansion from the stock that has already benefitted. IN01336233 ►No of districts in Federally administered areas where Nutrition CCT program has been initiated. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 21.00 21.00 20.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 This result is considered achieved when the first cycle of payment in these districts is completed. This Comments reflects the expansion of the nutrition CCT program. IN01336235 ►Number of girls receiving bonuses or other completion incentives for transition to secondary school (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 136,650.00 180,584.00 1,300,000.00 Date 08-Dec-2020 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 9/10/2023 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) The result is deemed to have been met if the compliance data for these children against this conditionality has been verified and bonuses disbursed accordingly. It ensures incentive to girls to transition to secondary Comments school to continue their education. IN01336237 ►No of ever enrolled children in Waseela e Taleem program who have completed primary education (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 500,000.00 801,614.00 937,242.00 2,000,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 30-Jun-2025 Result is achieved when specified number of WeT children graduate from primary education. It ensures that Comments a certain number of children in the program actually graduate from primary school. Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 Number of households with NSER data updated through MELA mechanism (Intermediate Outcome, 50.00, 100%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 15,000.00 2,116,945.00 50,000.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 2 Number of hybrid scheme beneficiaries receiving eligible matching contributions (Outcome, 10.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 150,000.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 3 Number of safety net beneficiaries being paid through the beneficiary centric payment mechanism (Outcome, 40.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 5,000,000.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2022 04-Aug-2022 -- Comments ►DLI 4 Number of beneficiaries in the nutrition sensitive CCT (Nashonuma) Program paid against compliance with the conditionalities in two consecutive quarters (Outcome, 80.00, 100%) 9/10/2023 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 160,548.00 338,314.00 100,000.00 Date -- 30-Jun-2022 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 5 Number of beneficiaries in WeT program paid against compliance with the conditionalities in two consecutive quarters. (Outcome, 100.00, 100%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 1,100,000.00 1,834,621.00 3,203,000.00 3,000,000.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 6 Number of girls receiving bonuses or other completion incentives for transition to secondary school (Outcome, 50.00, 20%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 136,650.00 180,584.00 1,300,000.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 7 Number of Districts where at least one MELA access point is functional in each Tehsil (Intermediate Outcome, 30.00, 100%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 156.00 157.00 120.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 8 Number of Government programs exchanging information with NSER through data exchange interface per signed data sharing agreements (Intermediate Outcome, 40.00, 100%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 2.00 2.00 6.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments 9/10/2023 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pakistan Crisis-Resilient Social Protection (CRISP) (P174484) ►DLI 9 Functional beneficiary registry and platform for management of the hybrid SP scheme (Intermediate Outcome, 5.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value No No No Yes Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 10 Number of districts in Federally administered areas where Nutrition CCT program has been initiated. (Intermediate Outcome, 60.00, 100%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 21.00 21.00 20.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 11 Number of ever enrolled children in WeT program who have completed primary education (Outcome, 50.00, 40%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 500,000.00 801,614.00 937,242.00 2,000,000.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 12 Number of flood emergency affected families from the bottom two quintiles, identified and provided support using the updated National Socio Economic Registry (Outcome, 80,000,000.00, 100%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4/FY25 Value 0.00 2,800,000.00 2,800,000.00 1,000,000.00 Date -- 31-Jan-2023 04-Aug-2023 -- Comments 9/10/2023 Page 10 of 10