The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) SOUTH ASIA | Pakistan | Agriculture and Food Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 17 | ARCHIVED on 08-Sep-2023 | ISR57517 | Implementing Agencies: Agriculture Department, The Islamic Republic of Pakistan Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 20-Mar-2015 Effectiveness Date: 21-Aug-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 03-Dec-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 29-Apr-2019 Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2021 Revised Closing Date: 30-Sep-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the Project is to improve irrigation water management at tertiary and field level in Sindh. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component A: Community Water Infrastructure Improvement:(Cost $120.20 M) Component B: Promotion and Installation of High Efficiency Irrigation Systems:(Cost $65.80 M) Component C: Improved Agriculture Practices:(Cost $24.40 M) Component D: Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation, and Strategic Studies:(Cost $31.70 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project has reached full disbursement. At the time of the mission, the balance in the designated account was PKR 618.76 billion (equivalent to US$ 2.61 million, i.e., 1.4% of the project’s total US$ 184.4 million IDA share). The work plan and budget for the remaining period of the project has been reviewed during the mission. It is planned that the remaining balance of IDA funds will be fully utilized, and all project’s commitments fulfilled. All PDO indicators have now reached or exceeded their targets. Despite these encouraging results, the Project’s overall rating remains "Moderately Satisfactory" due (i) to the high risk that all necessary rehabilitation works on flood-damaged project interventions may not be completed before project closure, thereby resulting in a downward revision 9/8/2023 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) of two results framework indicators, and (ii) to the limited results achieved on the high efficiency irrigation system (HEIS) component (final targets in number of beneficiaries and area equipped were met at 27% and 33% only). The massive flooding that has affected Sindh Province in the summer 2022 has caused extensive damage to many of the project's interventions. These damages jeopardize the PDO results. It was agreed in December 2022 to fix them without delay incorporating build-back- better measures. Full assessment of the damages was completed in April 2023. A total of US$7.018 million in counterpart funds has been approved and released for the financing of the rehabilitation of these infrastructures. The project team was urged to take the necessary ad hoc measures to complete all rehabilitation works by the project closing date. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic -- Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies -- Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program -- Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Moderate Moderate Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Indicator-1 IN01331384 ►Water courses with an increase in water course conveyance efficiency of at least 15%. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 5,562.00 5,793.00 5,500.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 9/8/2023 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) Indicator-2 IN01331385 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,086,274.00 2,201,883.00 2,000,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 This indicator has been revised to align with the Project Appraisal Document (PAD) and the methodologies for estimating indicators were revised to produce robust results for the final evaluation. Comments: Some results have been slightly adjusted downward. IN01331387 of which female (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 48.00 48.00 25.00 Indicator-3 IN01331381 ►Water users provided with new/improved irrigation and drainage services (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 219,826.00 229,874.00 210,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 This indicator has been revised to align with the Project Appraisal Document (PAD) and the methodologies for estimating indicators were revised to produce robust results for the final evaluation. Comments: Some results have been slightly adjusted downward. IN01331386 of which female (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 24.10 25.30 25.00 Indicator-4 IN01331382 ►Increase in cropping intensity (CI) in watercourse areas. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 28.00 29.30 20.00 Date 03-Jan-2017 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 Calculated on a sample of WCs improved in previous years – Baseline CI was 115%, current CI is Comments: estimated at 147.5%. 9/8/2023 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) Indicator-5 IN01331383 ►Increase in cropping intensity (CI) through HEIS (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 59.00 59.00 50.00 Date 01-Jan-2018 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 Calculated on a sample of HEIS schemes established in previous years, for row crops only (orchards CI Comments: remains 100%) – Baseline CI was 115%, current CI is estimated at 183%. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component A: Community Water Infrastructure Improvement IN01331388 ►Improved watercourses that are fully functional (including a functioning Watercourse Association). (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 5,873.00 60,140.00 5,500.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 IN01331392 ►Operational Water Users Associations created and/or strengthened. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 5,873.00 6,040.00 5,500.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 IN01331395 ►Farmers benefitting from improved watercourses. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 211,428.00 217,440.00 198,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 This indicator has been revised to align with the Project Appraisal Document (PAD) and the methodologies for estimating indicators were revised to produce robust results for the final evaluation. Comments: Some results have been slightly adjusted downward. IN01331399 of which female. (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 9/8/2023 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) Value 0.00 21.30 21.30 25.00 IN01331400 ►Total command area of improved WC. (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 731,189.00 751,980.00 550,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 IN01331403 ►Area provided with irrigation and drainage services. (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 735,308.00 756,646.00 564,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 This indicator includes WC improvements and on-farm HEIS establishment (IRI 4 + IRI 9). The phrasing of indicators in the RF has been made consistent with the PAD and the methodologies for estimating Comments: indicators have been reviewed. IN01331406 ►People (households) having access to the shelters. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 216,800.00 216,800.00 106,650.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 IN01331407 of which female-headed households. (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Component B: Promotion and Installation of High Efficiency Irrigation Systems (HEIS) IN01331389 ►Farmers provided with HEIS. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 635.00 707.00 2,600.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 PAD target for female is set at 25% of total Comments: IN01331394 of which female. (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 9/8/2023 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) Value 0.00 70.00 9.90 25.00 IN01331396 ►Area established under HEIS. (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 4,119.00 4,666.00 14,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 Demonstration plots have been included. The phrasing of indicators in the RF has been made consistent Comments: with the PAD and the methodologies for estimating indicators have been reviewed. IN01331398 ►Households provided with HEIS in kitchen gardens. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,100.00 15,100.00 10,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 IN01331402 of which female. (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 9,730.00 14,730.00 10,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 IN01331405 of which female-headed households. (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3,513.00 7,103.00 5,000.00 Component C: Improved Agriculture Practices IN01331390 ►Area covered by laser levelling. (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 553,859.00 617,067.00 160,256.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 The value and units for this indicator were updated for accuracy. Comments: IN01331393 ►Area covered by deep ripping. (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 9/8/2023 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) Value 0.00 35,480.00 47,020.00 106,837.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 The value and units for this indicator were updated for accuracy. Comments: IN01331397 ►Farmers trained on improved agronomic practices and technologies. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 48,493.00 51,500.00 37,500.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 IN01331401 of which female. (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 18.30 18.70 20.00 IN01331404 ►Area under improved agronomic practices. (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 68,400.00 70,858.00 52,500.00 Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 Component D: Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation IN01331391 ►Essential staff for project management fully operational and retained during project live, incl. 100 field teams. (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 01-Jan-2016 30-Nov-2022 31-Jul-2023 30-Sep-2023 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P145813 IDA-56040 Effective USD 187.00 187.00 0.00 184.41 0.00 100% 9/8/2023 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report PK Sindh Irrigated Agriculture Productivity Enhancement Project (P145813) Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P145813 IDA-56040 Effective 20-Mar-2015 09-Jul-2015 21-Aug-2015 31-Dec-2021 30-Sep-2023 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 11-Nov-2021 ,Level 2 Approved on 10-Nov-2022 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 9/8/2023 Page 8 of 8