The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA | Tunisia | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | Requesting Unit: MNC01 | Responsible Unit: SMNUR IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2021 | Team Leader(s): Dina Nirina Ranarifidy, Mihasonirina Andrianaivo Seq No: 5 | ARCHIVED on 28-Jul-2023 | ISR56613 | Created by: Dina Nirina Ranarifidy on 29-May-2023 | Modified by: Dina Nirina Ranarifidy on 18- Jul-2023 Program Development Objectives PDO Table Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) To strenghten Tunisia’s disaster risk management and financing, and to enhance the protection of the targeted population and assets from disaster and climate-related events. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions The World Bank conducted an implementation support mission in Tunis from May 15 to 19, 2023. A year and a half into implementation, the Program has entered a maturity phase with effective coordination mechanisms in place and the achievement of initial results in all four pillars of the Program. Key results include the improvement of the meteorological Vigilance map, the strengthening of real-time hydrological data collection activities and flood warning systems, and dissemination of the report on financial exposure to disasters in Tunisia. Based on the progress thus far, the Program is on track to achieve its PDO by the current closing date. Since effectiveness, EUR 10,3 million have been disbursed (Program’s advance). Immediate next steps include the verification of the results achieved in year 1 (approximately € 4,686,609) by the Court of Accounts (Independent Verification Agency) and the effective implementation of the Program’s Grievance Redress Mechanism at the local level. The next implementation support mission is tentatively scheduled in November 2023. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P173568 IBRD-92170 Effective USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 10.84 37.38 22% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P173568 IBRD-92170 Effective 11-Mar-2021 03-Jun-2021 14-Dec-2021 30-Jun-2027 30-Jun-2027 7/28/2023 Page 1 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) DLI Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % for DLI ID DLI Type Description Coc DLI Amount Status Coc DLI Loan: IBRD92170-001 DLI 1.1 - Cumulative Value 1.1 Regular EUR 8,260,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Works of Sele DLI 1.2 - # Selected Urban 1.2 Regular EUR 6,195,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Flood Risk Re DLI 2.1 - INM org chart 2.1 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 approved by Borr DLI 2.2 - Data exchange 2.2 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 protocols teste DLI 2.3 - Draft regulations 2.3 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 finalized & DLI 2.4 - Data regulations 2.4 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 exchange to s DLI 3.3i - SYCOHTRAC 3.3i Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 and all other exist DLI 3.4 - Carte de 3.4 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Vigilence expanded DLI 3.1i - The 3.1i Regular EUR 619,500.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Meteorological Alert MAP DLI 3.2 - Climate & 3.2 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 hydrometeorological DLI 3.5 - Impact-based 3.5 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 forecast & risk-b DLI 3.6 - Carte de 3.6 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Vigilence improved DLI 4.1 - 4.1 Regular Hyrdrometeorological EUR 1,239,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 commercia DLI 4.2 - 4.2 Regular Hyrdrometeorological EUR 1,239,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 commercia DLI 5.1 - Adopted DRF 5.1 Regular EUR 2,374,750.00 Not Achieved 0.00 strategy-Council o DLI 5.2 - Legal provisions- 5.2 Regular EUR 2,478,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 fin arrangeme DLI 5.3i - Communication 5.3i Regular EUR 206,500.00 Not Achieved 0.00 compain dedicat DLI 6.1i - Public private 6.1i Regular EUR 206,500.00 Not Achieved 0.00 steering DLI 6.2 Actuarial model & 6.2 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 insurance is o DLI 6.3 - 100% natural 6.3 Regular EUR 2,891,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 catastrophe insu 7/28/2023 Page 2 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) DLI 7.1 - Approved 7.1 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 regulatory act-perman DLI 7.2i - permanent 7.2i Regular EUR 413,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 resilience structur DLI 7.3 - DRM 7.3 Regular EUR 826,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 prerogatives in the JORT DLI 7.4 - Regulatory & 7.4 Regular EUR 413,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 institutional ref DLI 3.1ii - Hydrological 3.1ii Regular EUR 619,500.00 Not Achieved 0.00 collection DLI 3.3ii - The Borrowers 3.3ii Regular EUR 413,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Dams telemetry DLI 5.3ii - Coverage of 5.3ii Regular EUR 3,097,500.00 Not Achieved 0.00 public Financing DLI 6.1ii - Financial 6.1ii Regular EUR 206,500.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Exposure database DLI 7.2ii - Decree 7.2ii Regular EUR 413,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 establishing DRM Loan: COFNC2080-001 DLI 1.1 - Cumulative Value 1.1 Regular EUR 8,000,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Works of Sele DLI 1.2 - # Selected Urban 1.2 Regular EUR 6,000,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Flood Risk Re DLI 2.1 - INM org chart 2.1 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 approved by Borr DLI 2.2 - Data exchange 2.2 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 protocols teste DLI 2.3 - Draft regulations 2.3 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 finalized & DLI 2.4 - Data regulations 2.4 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 exchange to s DLI 3.1i - The 3.1i Regular EUR 600,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Meteorological Alert MAP DLI 3.1ii - Hydrological 3.1ii Regular EUR 600,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 collection DLI 3.2 - Climate & 3.2 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 hydrometeorological DLI 3.3i - SYCOHTRAC 3.3i Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 and all other exist DLI 3.3ii - The Borrowers 3.3ii Regular EUR 400,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Dams telemetry DLI 3.4 - Carte de 3.4 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Vigilence expanded DLI 3.5 - Impact-based 3.5 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 forecast & risk-b 7/28/2023 Page 3 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) DLI 3.6 - Carte de 3.6 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Vigilence improved DLI 4.1 - 4.1 Regular Hyrdrometeorological EUR 1,200,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 commercia DLI 4.2 - 4.2 Regular Hyrdrometeorological EUR 1,200,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 commercia DLI 5.1 - Adopted DRF 5.1 Regular EUR 2,300,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 strategy-Council o DLI 5.2 - Legal provisions- 5.2 Regular EUR 2,400,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 fin arrangeme DLI 5.3i - Communication 5.3i Regular EUR 200,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 compain dedicat DLI 5.3ii - Coverage of 5.3ii Regular EUR 3,000,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 public Financing DLI 6.1i - Public private 6.1i Regular EUR 200,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 steering DLI 6.1ii - Financial 6.1ii Regular EUR 200,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Exposure database DLI 6.2 Actuarial model & 6.2 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 insurance is o DLI 6.3 - 100% natural 6.3 Regular EUR 2,800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 catastrophe insu DLI 7.1 - Approved 7.1 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 regulatory act-perman DLI 7.2i - permanent 7.2i Regular EUR 400,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 resilience structur DLI 7.2ii - Decree 7.2ii Regular EUR 400,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 establishing DRM DLI 7.3 - DRM 7.3 Regular EUR 800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 prerogatives in the JORT DLI 7.4 - Regulatory & 7.4 Regular EUR 400,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 institutional ref FEF NOT DISBURSABLE 8 Regular EUR 100,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 CATEGORY Program Action Plan Action Description Program Operation Manual (POM) shall be adopted by the Recipient in a manner satisfactory to the WB. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 5 days after Technical PMU Other Completed Effectiveness Completion Measurement POM document shared with task team and approved. Comments 7/28/2023 Page 4 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Action Description Preparation of annual capacity building/training plan for the NMHS providers and report on the implementation. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status INM, MARHP 3 months after Technical (DGRE and Other Delayed effectiveness DGBGTH) (i) Annual capacity building/training plans prepared and approved. Completion Measurement (ii) Report on capacity building/training plan implementation prepared and approved. The WB team has completed the capacity assessment of INM, is finalizing it for DGRE and is finalizing the report, Comments which is expected to be completed by December 2022. The capacity building/training plan for DGBGTH has been prepared and approved. Strengthen the capacity of the Governance Unit within the different ministries involved to enable these institutions to Action Description conduct the annual inspections and internal audit missions (for example, training and staffing) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status MOF /INM / MEH / 6 Months after Fiduciary Systems Other Delayed MT effectiveness. Completion Measurement Training is provided to the Governance Units. An integrated capacity-building plan was consolidated by PCU in December 2022 and will be implemented starting Comments July 2023. Action Description Preparation and implementation of an annual capacity building/training plan for the PMU and the Resilience Unit. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 6 months after Technical PMU Other Completed effectiveness Completion Measurement Annual capacity building plan implemented. A capacity-building plan has been prepared by PMU with inputs from the operational teams. The capacity-building Comments plan was submitted to CIPS for approval and its implementation begun in June 2023. Stakeholders working group established, with Terms of Reference (ToR) and composition/designated focal points, for Action Description each project site for the development, testing and validation of MH-IBF-EWS, involving Hydromet Service Providers, ONPC, LG, NGO Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 4 INM, MARHP (DGRE and Report within 2 weeks Technical Other In Progress DGBGTH), ONPC, after each meeting LG. 7/28/2023 Page 5 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) (i) Letter from the GoT confirming establishment of the Early Waning System Committee, including ToR and Completion Measurement composition/focal points designated. (ii) Regular meetings of the Early Warning System Committee are held. Two international exchange sessions were organized in Q1 2023 on EWS; draft ToRs were prepared and discussed Comments with pillar II group and later on with pillar IV working group to ToRs for the EWS Committee expected to be finalized and approved by June 23 Action Description Preparation of a technical note detailing the composition, structure and function of the national DRM platform. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 1 year after Technical PMU Other Completed effectiveness Completion Measurement Technical note finalized. The working group met regularly to advance with the deliverables for Y2 and Y3. A concept note on the proposed Comments overall risk governance system has been drawn up by the Pillar IV committee, detailing DRM platform roles and responsibilities Preparation of an organigram, operating procedures and of the regulatory text creating the Permanent Resilience Action Description Structure. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 1 year after Technical PMU Other Delayed effectiveness The concept note on the risk governance system details the organization chart, operating procedures and role of the Completion Measurement SPR. Details to be reflected in the draft decree currently being finalized by the Pillar IV Technical Committee The working group has been meeting to advance with the deliverables for Y2 and Y3. A training session on risk Comments governance was organized during the November 22 mission, during which members agreed on the main vision for institutional reform. Creation of a multi-stakeholder working group to support reforms on decentralization of DRM prerogative, and the Action Description preparation of the Action Plan to pursue and deepen the reforms of the normative and institutional framework for DRM in the country Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 7 Coordination Unit/; 2 years after Technical Other Completed ME (DGEQV) effectiveness Completion Measurement Regular meetings of the working group are held; recommendations for regulatory revisions are made. A multisectoral working group led by UCP has been set up. Discussions will focus on the decentralization of DRM Comments after the objectives related to the creation of the permanent structure for resilience and the national platform have been achieved. 7/28/2023 Page 6 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Action Description Preparation of the draft decree establishing the national DRM platform. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status PMU, Permanent 2 years after Technical Other Not Yet Due Resilience Structure effectiveness. Draft decree finalized. Completion Measurement The form, prerogatives, role and mode of operation of the Platform are described in the concept note on the risk Comments governance system prepared by the Pillar IV technical working group. A draft decree is currently being drawn up. Maintenance and equipment of the Permanent Resilience Structurewith the adequate human resources and financial Action Description resources increasing regularly as per the text establishing its creation, and online DRM portal created and regularly updated. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 3 years after Technical MOF,ME (DGEQV) Other Not Yet Due effectiveness. (i) Contracts signed. (ii) Budget increased annually (15% increase from Y1 to Y3 (baseline=Coordination Unit budget); 20% increase from Completion Measurement Y1 to Y4; 25% increase from Y1 to Y5. (iii) An online DRM portal is created and regularly updated. Comments Progress pending the creation of the Permanent Resilience Unit. Action Description Preparation of draft of decrees specifying the decentralization of DRM prerogatives. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 3 years after Technical PMU; ME (DGEQV) Other Not Yet Due effectiveness. Completion Measurement Draft decrees finalized. A multisectoral working group led by UCP, involving over 20 institutions has been set up. An Action Plan and Comments milestones were defined. Action Description Organization of high-level meetings of the National DRM Platform. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 4 years after Technical PMU Other Not Yet Due effectiveness. 7/28/2023 Page 7 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) At least 2 annual meetings of the Platform gathering 75% of the members nominated in the creation decree Completion Measurement organized. Comments Pending creation of the Permanent Resilience Unit. Monitor all program expenditures under ADEB and send monthly situations with the Program Financial Management Action Description Specialist within DGASGP (Coordination Unit). Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status MEH, MARHP, No later than 30 days Fiduciary Systems Other In Progress MOF, MT after Effectiveness. Completion Measurement Extraction from ADEB shared with the Program Financial Management Specialist. Program expenditure is executed via ADEB following the expenditure chain circuit. As of May 20, 2023, Comments approximately 989,943 euros have been paid out. Total commitments amount to euros 17,890,155. Strengthen the capacity of the Governance Unit within the different ministries involved to enable these institutions to Action Description conduct the annual inspections and internal audit missions (for example, training and staffing). Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status MOF, MARHP, 6 Months after Fiduciary Systems Other Delayed MEH, MT effectiveness Completion Measurement Training is provided to the Governance Units. Not implemented - PCU has encouraged focal points to coordinate with their ministries in order to trigger inspection Comments missions and verify training needs. Develop an electronic integrated financial management and procurement tool to facilitate the monitoring of Program Action Description fiduciary implementation (Excel file). Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 6 Months after Fiduciary Systems PMU (DGASGP) Other Completed effectiveness Completion Measurement Integrated Fiduciary management tool (Excel file) deployed at the level of all implementing agencies. Tool developed. PCU has prepared an Excel spreadsheet that combines procurement and financial management, Comments listing all stages of procurement and the amounts committed and paid. This table is regularly updated by PCU. Conduct bi-annual inspections and internal audit missions covering procurement, financial, and technical aspects for Action Description each implementing agency of the program. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Good Governance Other 1 Year After In Progress Unit, CGF effectivenss and thereafter throughout 7/28/2023 Page 8 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Program implementation Inspections and reviews of the Program activities by implementing agency submitted within the specified period to the Completion Measurement coordination Unite/RU and the World Bank. PCU encouraged the focal points to coordinate with their ministries in order to trigger inspection missions and verify Comments training needs. Action Description Inclusion of the annual plan and budget of the Program in the draft Finance Law to be submitted to Parliament. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status CGAB, PMU 1 year after Fiduciary Systems Other Not Yet Due (DGASGP) Effectiveness Completion Measurement Program Budget lines identified in the national budget. Comments The technical teams will prepare their budgets for the year 2024 Prepare and implement the relevant environmental and social assessments/plans including E&S Data sheet, Action Description ESIA/ESMP and, as applicable RAP, as part of the technical studies for flood reduction investments, and hydromet structures. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social PMU Recurrent Yearly Completed Systems E&S assessments/plan prepared and implemented, reviewed by WB environmental and social standards team and Completion Measurement published under terms of reference acceptable to the WB and prior to the carrying out of any construction works. E&S assessments and plans prepared as part of the Program are not subject to prior review by the WB, but they Comments must nevertheless comply with the E&S rules set out in the E&S Manual as prepared by PCU. Action Description Designation of E&S focal points and GRM responsible in the PMU. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social No later than 30 days PMU Other Completed Systems after Effectiveness. Completion Measurement Focal points designated under terms of reference acceptable to the World Bank Comments The PMU has designated focal points for E&S and GRM. Preparation and implementation of training modules and technical assistance program in E&S management of Action Description projects. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social 2 Months after PMU Other Delayed Systems Effectiveness. 7/28/2023 Page 9 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Completion Measurement Validation and implementation of a capacity building program to strengthen the skills of selected project staff. The capacity-building plan for the program's operational teams has been consolidated by the PCU. The first training Comments courses on E&S were organized by the PCU in June 2023. Action Description Establishment of a grievance redress mechanism (GRM). Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social 1 year after PMU Other Delayed Systems Effectiveness. Completion Measurement System in place and operational. The grievance register expected to be set up in municipalities affected by work under DR 1 from July 2023, with Comments monitoring from GRM FP. A digital system for filing complaints will also be available on the program website in early 2024 Preparation of an Environmental and Social Technical Manual (ESTM), filling the gaps identified in the ESSA and Action Description defining the E&S procedures that will be applied to the activities of the first three results areas. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social 2 Months after PMU Other Completed Systems Effectiveness. Completion Measurement ESTM prepared under terms and conditions acceptable to the World Bank. ESTM prepared by PCU and approved by the World Bank team in November 2022, disseminated by PCU to all Comments operational teams. Action Description Recruitment of E&S consultant in order to support the PMU in the E&S management of projects. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social 2 Months after PMU Other Completed Systems Effectiveness. Completion Measurement E&S consultant designated under terms of reference acceptable to the World Bank A first tender was launched in November 2022 by PCU for the competitive selection of an E&S consultant but was Comments unsuccessful. After revision of the terms of reference, the tender was expected to be relaunched in June 2023. Establishment of a system for exchanging information and validating documents relating to E&S management (E&S Action Description data sheet ESIA, ESMP, E&S monitoring reports) resettlement and complaint management between Coordination Unit and OTs Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social 2 months after PMU Other Completed Systems Effectiveness 7/28/2023 Page 10 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Completion Measurement System in place and operational. Integration of the documents proposed on the Environmental and Social Information Exchange System as annexes to Comments the ESTM. Preparation of simplified technical guides for: • Management of Environmental and social impacts; • Public consultations ; Action Description • Land acquisition and involuntary resettlement • Grievance redress mechanism Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social 6 Months after PMU Other Completed Systems Effectiveness Completion Measurement Technical guides acceptable to the Bank adopted and integrated as an Annex to the POM. Comments Simplified technical guides were prepared and annexed to the ESTM. Development and implementation of a capacity building plan for DHU, based on a diagnosis of needs and on the Action Description findings of the NFRMP. Capacity building areas could include, amongst others, the prioritization of investments and their programming. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 1 2 years after Technical PMU, DHU Other In Progress effectivess Completion Measurement Plan validated and first round of trainings implemented. DHU shared a capacity building plan in May 2023 based on internal discussions within DHU and with the Ministry of Comments Equipment. Ongoing procurement process. NMHS Providers Technical Committee established with Terms of Reference (ToR) and composition/designated focal Action Description points, to strengthen institutional coordination and implementation of cross-cutting activities. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 2 INM, MARHP 2 months after Technical (BPEH, DGRE and Other Completed effectiveness DGBGTH) (i) Letter from the GoT confirming establishment of the Hydromet Service Providers Technical Committee, including Completion Measurement ToR and composition/focal points designated. (ii)Regular meetings of the Hydromet Service Providers Technical Committee take place. Comments 7/28/2023 Page 11 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Substantial Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Substantial Substantial Substantial Stakeholders Substantial Moderate Moderate Other Substantial Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Improving Flood Risk Reduction in Urban Areas IN01304536 ►Number of people covered by urban flood risk reduction infrastructure supported by the Program - disaggregated by sex (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 90,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 16-Nov-2022 19-May-2023 30-Jun-2027 Direct beneficiaries of urban flood risk reduction infrastructure investments implemented by DHU under the Comments PforR. Enhancing Disaster Preparedness IN01304537 ►Number of people reached by Multi-Hazards Impact-Based Forecasts and Early Warning Services - disaggregated by sex. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 200,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 01-Oct-2021 19-May-2023 30-Jun-2027 Direct beneficiaries of MH-IBF-EWS in selected vulnerable areas (disaggregated by sex) where the MH-IBF- Comments EWS are developed, tested and validated by the NMHS Providers (in coordination and collaboration with stakeholders at national and local levels), taking into account the knowledge needs of women and men. 7/28/2023 Page 12 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Strengthening Financial Protection IN01304538 ►Number of eligible beneficiaries of a public financing mechanism in line with the priorities and objectives set in the National DRF strategy, with a monitoring of the share of women beneficiaries. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,000,000.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 01-Oct-2021 19-May-2023 31-Dec-2025 Based on the conclusions of the DRF strategy, the Government establishes a public financial mechanism which will absorb some of the shocks of post-disaster recovery needs, in particular the needs of the DRF strategy’s core beneficiaries. These beneficiaries may include the vulnerable and unable to afford insurance Comments subpopulations (e.g., the poor, women and the elderly with limited access to financial services) and may also include assets. Two communication campaigns, one dedicated to the public at large, with specific actions targeting women (in particular female headed households.) and the most vulnerable and, a campaign aimed at actors in the sector: insurance professionals and policyholders will be conducted. IN01304540 ►Natural Catastrophe risk insurance coverage. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 12.75 12.75 12.75 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2021 01-Oct-2021 19-May-2023 31-Dec-2026 For better catastrophic risk insurance coverage of population and assets against disasters such as floods and earthquakes it is key to develop a better risk understanding. Development and maintenance of a financial exposure database for Tunisia, and construction and development of an actuarial model by a Comments working group including the insurance sector regulator, the insurance and reinsurance sectors, as well as risk modelling and risk transfer academics are important in this context for the insurance sector to offer natural catastrophe risk insurance. Promoting institutional coordination and a sound regulatory environment for climate and DRM. IN01304539 ►Institutional coordination mechanisms and the regulatory framework for climate and disaster risk management are strengthened. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Members of Pillar 4 A first draft of the (representatives from regulatory text for the Absence of an updated UCP, the Ministry of creation of the and integrated legal Agriculture (DGRE, Permanent Resilient framework covering all An action plan to DGBGTH), Ministry of Structure (SPR) was DRM components. continue the regulatory Environment (DGEQV), prepared by the pillar IV Existence of a 1991 Law and institutional Ministry of Equipment working group and focusing on emergency reforminitiated through (DHU), ONPC, Ministry discussed during the preparedness and the Program, outlining of Transport (INM)) and first meeting of the response and establishing the new institutional representatives from Inter-ministerial the National Commission framework and roles Presidency of the Steering Committee and Regional and responsibilities Value Republic, Prime Minister (CIPS) in June 2023. Commissions for the Fight and policy priorities to Office, Ministry of The draft decree will be Against Calamities. strengthen sustainable Defense and Ministry of consolidated by the Existence of a 2018 Local climate resilience and Interior agreed on the judicial entity of the Government code disaster risk main orientations of Ministry of Finance transferring DRM-related management in reform on institutional during the month of July responsibilities to Tunisia has been arrangements for DRM. 2023 and submitted to a municipalities. approved by the This includes defining Ministerial Council for Borrower. the main prerogatives of t approval by December the Permanent Structure 2023. This will allow the for Resilience (SPR), the triggering of the National Platform for verification for DLI 7.1. 7/28/2023 Page 13 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) climate and disaster risk It is worth highlighting resilience, as well as the that the Risk Inter-ministerial Steering Governance Technical Committee (CIPS)/ High Committee, a Instance for Resilience. multisectoral working In addition, the Risk group led by UCP in Governance Technical collaboration with ME Committee, a involving over 20 multisectoral working institutions has been group led by UCP in taking an active part in collaboration with ME, the consultations on the involving over 20 creation of SPR that institutions has been set occurred between up and met twice in June January and March and July 22. 2023. Additionally, the pillar IV working group A first draft of the has advanced on the regulatory text(s) for the technical note for the creation of the Resilience creation of the national Permanent Structure and DRM platform, which its organigram is will form the basis of expected to be finalized DLI 7.2 to be achieved by December 2022, as in 2024. well as a technical note on the Platform. These deliverables will form the basis of a broad consultation process expected to take place throughout the first semester of 2023. Date 01-Jan-2021 16-Nov-2022 19-May-2023 30-Jun-2027 This indicator measures progress towards the promotion of institutional coordination and a strengthened Comments regulatory framework for climate and disaster risk management. Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Improving Flood Risk Reduction in Urban Areas. IN01304541 ►Urban flood risk reduction projects are implemented and completed. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target (i)Cumulative value of works implemented to date of flood risk reduction investment Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 projects is TDM 112 (ii) Cumulative number of completed flood risk reduction projects is 6. Date 01-Jan-2021 01-Oct-2021 19-May-2023 30-Jun-2027 This indicator measures if urban flood risk investment projects are implemented and completed. It covers Comments urban flood risk reduction projects implemented by DHU over the Program duration, for which E&S studies are implemented. 7/28/2023 Page 14 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Enhancing Disaster Preparedness. IN01304542 ►Organizational and institutional reform of the climate and hydrometeorological service providers in place. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target - The bid for the development of data exchange protocols - The bidding document throughout the - Laws establishing the for the development of HydroMet value chain INM and the MARHP but data exchange protocols and related regulatory no regulatory text exists to throughout the hydromet text has been establish the hydromet value chain and related unsuccessful and is value chain regulatory text has been awaiting re-adverstising - INM organizational chart prepared and advertised (expected in July 2023). Regulations for data proposal, but not yet Value by mid-November 2022. - New INM exchange adopted the approved - New INM organizational organizational chart has Ministries concerned. - No data sharing protocol chart has not been not been approved yet except the agreement for approved yet, but is but is expected to be Medjerda. Recently signed expected to be approved approved by the end of INM-MinAgri general by the end of 2022. 2023. agreement Date 01-Jan-2021 20-May-2022 19-May-2023 30-Jun-2027 This indicator measures the development and implementation of organizational and institutional reforms, Comments including regulations for data exchange among the NMHS providers. IN01304544 ►Production and implementation of MH-IBF-EWS, with emphasis on climate-related events (e.g floods). (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target - The meteorological - The meteorological "Carte de Vigilance" has "Carte de Vigilance" has been extended with been extended with additional hazards additional hazards (heatwaves). (heatwaves). - Eight bidding - Two bids were documents have been unsuccessful and prepared; five have been awaiting to be advertised between June relaunched in July - The first version of the and August 2022, and 2023. Eight bidding 'Carte de Vigilance’ exists are currently in documents have been The improved ‘Carte - National weather evaluation; two are prepared and are de Vigilance’ including forecasts exist, but need expected to be awaiting publication by Vigicrue and the to be brought down to Value advertised in mid- the end of 2023. impact-based regional and local levels November 2022; Technical support has forecasts and risk- - Hydrological modeling technical analysis and been provided on the based warnings are only for Medjerda. logistics required for the bidding process for the rolled out nationally. bidding process for the weather radars and weather radars are capacity building is currently in progress. expected to be These processes will delivered through WB support the TA as soon as S2 2023. implementation of eight One activity was activities required to adjusted for the improve monitoring membership to the systems that are part of ECMWF instead of the the MH-IBF-EWS. purchase of license 7/28/2023 Page 15 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) (ongoing); WB TA will support the delivery of the activity on numerical weather prediction as of S2 2023. These processes are supporting the implementation of 10 activities required to improve monitoring systems that are part of the MH-IBF-EWS. Date 29-Jan-2021 20-May-2022 19-May-2023 30-Jun-2027 This indicator measures key milestones in the development/production and implementation of the MH-IBF- EWS. These include: (i) the improvements of the ‘Carte de Vigilance’ with more weather- and climate- related hazards, and site-specific and impact-based warnings (at the municipality level), and expanded to Comments cover flood warnings; and (ii) the development, testing, and validation of MH-IBF-EWS in selected vulnerable areas by engaging stakeholders at national and local levels, and communities (women, men, and vulnerable separated groups to adequately meet their needs), and then expanded and rolled out nationwide. IN01304546 ►Enhanced business opportunities by developing products targeting selected sectors. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target No products and No products and services services are dedicated are dedicated to sectors to sectors (except (except meteorological meteorological products products and services for and services for aviation). Bidding aviation). Bidding documents for the documents for the preparation of the preparation of the No products and services Service Delivery Strategy Service Delivery Commercial products dedicated to sectors and Action Plan and for Strategy and Action developed for the Value (except meteorological Quality Management Plan and for Quality Agriculture sector products and services for Systems have been Management Systems tested and adopted. aviation). prepared and advertised have been prepared in August 2022; an and advertised in output of this strategy August 2022; an output includes the definition of of this strategy includes the products for the the definition of the Transport and Agriculture products for the sectors. Transport and Agriculture sectors. Date 29-Jan-2021 20-May-2022 19-May-2023 30-Jun-2027 Strategies and action plans will be developed for the generation and issuance of target products and services for the Transport and Agriculture sectors. These strategies and action plans will be followed by implementation. In order to certify the quality of the products and services provided by the hydromet service Comments providers, quality management systems will be planned and implemented; the bidding process is nearly completed and the contract is expected to be signed by December 2022. IN01304547 ►The early warning systems in the country are strengthened. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 7/28/2023 Page 16 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) - Few elements of the - Few elements of the EWS implemented with EWS implemented with the support of other the support of other development partners. Establishment of early development partners. - Terms of Reference response plans at the - Terms of Reference for Absence of a national and for an EWS national, regional and an EWS Value regional levels early Committee/Working local level in pilot Committee/Working warning systems. Group have been areas, EWS Group have been drafted, but further communication drafted, but further discussions are strategy. discussions are required required for finalization. for finalization. Date 29-Jan-2021 20-May-2022 19-May-2023 31-Dec-2026 A national committee on Early Warning Systems (EWS) will be established to develop and manage early response plans at the national, regional and local levels, to prepare a communications strategy for EWS at Comments the national level, and to disseminate the new EWS to population and stakeholders. Strengthening Financial Protection. IN01304543 ►A sovereign disaster risk financing (DRF) Strategy is implemented. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Operationalization of the public financing mechanism and of the national compensation Absence of a National Absence of a National Absence of a National Value (claims) registry that DRF strategy. DRF strategy. DRF strategy. collects disaggregated data on women's and men's coverage in case of disasters. Date 01-Jan-2021 01-Oct-2021 19-May-2023 31-Dec-2026 A national disaster risk financing (DRF) strategy will be prepared and adopted by a Council of Ministers. It is a document that defines the priorities and objectives of the Government and corresponding actions to be achieved within the timeline of the program. The DRF strategy will identify the optimal mix of financial instruments to be used for DRF and will clearly define the role of the insurance sector, as a critical part of the financial risk management strategy. The implementation of the action plan of the DRF strategy includes Comments the operationalization of a public financing mechanism and the creation of a national compensation (claims) registry and establishment of a compensation management process. Two communication campaigns, one dedicated to the public at large, with specific actions targeting women and the most vulnerable and, a campaign aimed at actors in the sector (insurance professionals and policyholders) will be conducted to inform on financial protection mechanisms. IN01304545 ►An improved understanding of catastrophic risk and a developed actuarial model allowing the increase of the coverage of Nat Cat insurance. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Dissemination of the insights coming from No catastrophic risk data A catastrophic risk A catastrophic risk the finalized actuarial base and no actuarial Value database and no database and no model and from the model. actuarial model. actuarial model. financial exposure database updates to the insurance sector. Date 30-Jun-2020 20-May-2022 19-May-2023 31-Dec-2026 7/28/2023 Page 17 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Development and maintenance of a financial exposure database for Tunisia, and construction and development of an actuarial model by a working group including the insurance sector regulator, the Comments insurance and reinsurance sectors, as well as risk modelling and risk transfer academics. This is key for the increase in the natural catastrophe risk insurance coverage. Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 Urban flood risk reduction projects are implemented and completed. (Outcome, 35,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 7 Value None None None NA Date -- 20-May-2022 19-May-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 2 Organizational and institutional reform of the climate and hydrometeorological service providers in place. (Outcome, 8,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 7 - The bidding document - The bidding document - Laws establishing the INM for the development of for the development of and the MARHP but no data exchange protocols data exchange protocols regulatory text exists to throughout the Hydromet throughout the hydromet establish the hydromet value chain and related value chain and related value chain. regulatory text was regulatory text has been - INM organizational chart prepared and advertised prepared and advertised proposal, but not yet by mid-November 2022. Value by mid-November 2022. NA approved. - New INM organizational - New INM organizational - No data sharing protocol chart still pending chart has not been except the agreement for approval after over a one- approved yet, but it is Medjerda. Recently signed year delay. Issue raised expected to be approved INM-MinAgri general during the first strategic by the end of 2022. agreement. steering committee in June 2023. Date -- 18-Nov-2022 19-May-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 3 Production and implementation of MH-IBF-EWS, with emphasis on climate-related hazards (e.g floods). (Outcome, 14,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 7 - The meteorological - The meteorological - The first version of the 'Carte de Vigilance’ has 'Carte de Vigilance’ has 'Carte de Vigilance’ exists. been extended with been extended with - National weather additional hazards additional hazards forecasts exist, but need to (Heatwaves). (Heatwaves). Value be brought down to NA - Eight bidding - Two bids were regional and local levels. documents have been unsuccessful and awaiting - Hydrological modeling prepared; five have been to be relaunched in July only for Medjerda. advertised between June 2023. Eight bidding and August 2022, and documents have been 7/28/2023 Page 18 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) are currently in prepared and are awaiting evaluation; two are publication by the end of expected to be 2023. Technical support advertised in mid- has been provided on the November 2022; bidding process for the technical analysis and weather radars and logistics required for the capacity building is bidding process for the expected to be delivered weather radars are through WB TA as soon currently in progress. as S2 2023. One activity These processes will was adjusted for the support the membership to the implementation of eight ECMWF instead of the activities required to purchase of license improve monitoring (ongoing); WB TA will systems that are part of support the delivery of the the MH-IBF-EWS. activity on numerical weather prediction as of S2 2023. These processes are supporting the implementation of 10 activities required to improve monitoring systems that are part of the MH-IBF-EWS. Date -- 18-Nov-2022 19-May-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 4 Enhanced business opportunities by developing products targeting selected sectors. (Outcome, 6,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 7 No products and services are dedicated to sectors (except meteorological products and services for No products and services aviation). Bidding No products and services are dedicated to sectors documents or the are dedicated to sectors (except meteorological preparation of the Service (except meteorological products and services for Delivery Strategy and products and services for aviation). Bidding Value Action Plan and for Quality aviation). Bidding NA documents are being Management Systems documents are being drafted to develop have been prepared and drafted to develop specific specific products for the advertised in August 2022; products for the Transport Transport and Agriculture an output of this strategy and Agriculture sectors. sectors. includes the definition of the specific products for the Transport and Agriculture sectors. Date -- 18-Nov-2022 19-May-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 5 Strengthening Tunisia’s public financing protection mechanisms to respond to disasters. (Outcome, 20,000,000.00, 0%) 7/28/2023 Page 19 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 7 Ongoing elaboration of Ongoing elaboration of an an 18 months roadmap 18-month roadmap that that will lay the will lay the groundwork for groundwork for the the national DRF strategy, Value No National DRF strategy. national DRF strategy, NA completion by July 2023 completion by January and adoption by a Council 2023 and adoption by a of Ministers in December Council of Ministers in 2023. March 2023. Date -- 18-Nov-2022 19-May-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 6 Expanding the coverage of Natural catastrophe risk insurance. (Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 7 A summary report for the financial exposure to natural disasters database A summary report for the has been finalized and financial exposure to approved by the first natural disasters meeting of the public- database has been private steering committee finalized and an updating in January 2023. It was exercise of the data base publicly disseminated in is ongoing. It will be an March 2023 by the MoF input to actuarial and CGA. modeling work that will Limited proportion of inform the design and property damage contracts The first meeting of the inclusion of Nat Cat (excluding agricultural, air public-private steering options in property Value transport and maritime committee created on NA damage contracts. transport contracts) October 26th 2022 was benefitting from a Nat-Cat held in January 2023. A Ministerial Order from option (12.75% in 2019). MoF has created the A WB technical public-private steering assistance provided committee on October support to CGA on the 26th 2022. actuarial modeling and a scoping note was ToRs for actuarial delivered. It will inform the modeling work to be recruitment of firm to shared by CGA by end of deliver a first version of November 2022. the model by December 2023. Date -- 18-Nov-2022 19-May-2023 -- Comments ►DLI 7 Institutional coordination mechanisms and the regulatory framework for climate and disaster risk management are strengthened. (Outcome, 7,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 7 7/28/2023 Page 20 of 21 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Tunisia Integrated Disaster Resilience Program (P173568) Members of Pillar 4 (representatives from UCP, the Ministry of Agriculture (DGRE, DGBGTH), Ministry of Environment (DGEQV), Ministry of Equipment A first draft of the (DHU), ONPC, Ministry regulatory text for the of Transport (INM)) and creation of the Permanent representatives from Resilient Structure (SPR) Presidency of the was prepared by the pillar Republic, Prime Minister IV working group and Office, Ministry of discussed during the first Defense and Ministry of meeting of the Inter- Interior agreed on the ministerial Steering main orientations of Committee (CIPS) in June reform on institutional 2023. The draft decree will arrangements for DRM. be consolidated by the This includes defining judicial entity of the Absence of an updated and the main prerogatives of t Ministry of Finance during integrated legal framework the Permanent Structure the month of July 2023 covering all DRM for Resilience (SPR), the and submitted to a components. Existence of a National Platform for Ministerial Council for 1991 Law focusing on climate and disaster risk approval by December emergency preparedness resilience, as well as the 2023. This will allow the and response and Inter-ministerial Steering triggering of the establishing the National Committee (CIPS)/ High verification for DLI 7.1. It is Value NA Commission and Regional Instance for Resilience. worth highlighting that the Commissions for the Fight In addition, the Risk Risk Governance Against Calamities. Governance Technical Technical Committee, a Existence of 2018 Local Committee, a multisectoral working Government Code multisectoral working group led by UCP in transferring DRM-related group led by UCP in collaboration with ME responsibilities to collaboration with ME, involving over 20 municipalities. involving over 20 institutions has been institutions has been set taking an active part in the up and met twice in June consultations on the and July 22. creation of SPR that occurred between January A first draft of the and March 2023. regulatory text(s) for the Additionally, the pillar IV creation of the Resilience working group has Permanent Structure and advanced on the technical its organigram is note for the creation of the expected to be finalized national DRM platform, by December 2022, as which will form the basis well as a technical note of DLI 7.2 to be achieved on the Platform. These in 2024. deliverables will form the basis of a broad consultation process expected to take place throughout the first semester of 2023. Date -- 18-Nov-2022 19-May-2023 -- Comments 7/28/2023 Page 21 of 21