The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I (P150816) Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I (P150816) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Tajikistan | Energy & Extractives Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2017 | Seq No: 11 | ARCHIVED on 07-Jul-2023 | ISR56544 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Energy and Water Resources, Tajikistan, Ministry of Finance, Tajikistan, OJSHC Barqi Tojik Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 03-May-2017 Effectiveness Date: 27-Apr-2018 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 01-May-2023 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 01-May-2023 Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2023 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objectives are to rehabilitate and restore the generating capacity of three power generating units of Nurek hydropower plant, improve their efficiency, and strengthen the safety of the Nurek dam. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Rehabilitation of the three generating units, the key infrastructural components of the plant, and replacement of auto-transformers:(Cost $310.00 M) Enhancement of dam safety:(Cost $30.00 M) Technical assistance:(Cost $10.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Project implementation is progressing despite several challenges (major impacts of covid-19 restrictions, and Ukraine war transportation challenges, technical issues required additional work). Rehabilitation of the first unit (Unit A/1) has been completed, with the unit put into operation by the President of Tajikistan on October 24, 2022. Rehabilitation of the second unit (Unit B/4) is progressing and expected to be completed by the end of 2023. The major dam safety activities on rehabilitation of the spillway gates, intake gates, upgrade of monitoring instruments and management system and preparation of the Emergency Preparedness Plan, Operation and Maintenance Plan, Instrumentation Plan and installation of a flood forecasting system are ongoing. The Project management consultant supports BT in implementation management of the project and supervision of the contractors and consultants. The dam safety Panel of Experts and the environmental and social Panel of Experts provide oversight and advise to the implementation of the project. 7/7/2023 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I (P150816) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance High Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic High Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies High Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Low Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary High Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Substantial Moderate Moderate Other Substantial -- -- Overall Substantial Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Rehabilitate and restore the generating capacity of three power generating units of Nurek HPP IN01302447 ►Generation Capacity of Hydropower constructed or rehabilitated under the Project (Megawatt, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 375.00 375.00 1,005.00 Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 Rehabilitation of generating unit 1 is completed. Comments: IN01302496 ►Estimated annual electricity generation of three units included in the scope of the project (Gigawatt-hour (GWh), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 3,750.00 2,996.00 3,761.00 3,783.00 7/7/2023 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I (P150816) Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 The decrease was due to unfavorable hydrology year. Comments: Improve efficiency of three power generating units of Nurek HPP IN01302448 ►Estimated increase of winter electricity generation of rehabilitated units due to efficiency improvements (Gigawatt-hour (GWh), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 11.00 11.00 33.00 Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 Capacity of unit 1 is increased and its efficiency is improved. Comments: Strengthen the safety of the Nurek Dam IN01302449 ►Improved dam safety against hydrological and geological risks (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Partially Yes Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 Dam safety activities are progressing well, particularly with respect to rehabilitation of dam instrumentation and geotechnical investigations and rehabilitation of weirs and inverted pendulum at the intake tower. However, the civil work improvement of dam safety could not be implemented within the time frame of Comments: phase 1. The scope of dam safety will be defined as part of phase 1 and implementation of measures will be transferred to phase 2 in restructuring. Cumulative indicators (achieved through the project interventions) IN01302450 ►People provided with improved electricity service (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 8,617,000.00 9,395,000.00 9,575,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 IN01302497 ►Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 49.30 49.30 49.30 Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 7/7/2023 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I (P150816) Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Rehabilitation of the three generating units, the key infrastructural components of the plant, and replacement of auto-transformers IN01302498 ►Cumulative number of generating units rehabilitated (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 Unit 1 is completely rehabilitated and put into operation on October 2022. Comments: IN01302501 ►Cumulative number of autotransformers replaced (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 29-Dec-2023 Due to the soil subsidence and settlements observed in the switchyard area requiring additional investigations to design appropriate mitigation measures. The investigations are completed and BT has Comments: decided on the mitigation measure and approach. Enhancement of dam safety IN01302499 ►Enhanced hydrological safety (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Once in 10,000 years Once in 10,000 years Once in 10,000 years Once in 100,000 years Value flood flood flood flood Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 IN01302502 ►Upgrade of the dam monitoring instrumentation completed (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The dam monitoring Substantially Value No Substantially completed instrumentation is fully completed operational Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2022 IN01302503 ►Civil, electrical and mechanical works for improvement of the dam safety completed (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 7/7/2023 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I (P150816) Partially completed. The electrical and hydro-mechanical work for dam safety is on-going. The bidding documents The civil work cannot will be finalized in Oct- Rehabilitation of the be implemented within Dec 2023 once the spillway tunnel, gates Value No time-frame of phase 1. additional geotechnical and hoisting system is Scope of the civil work investigation are completed will be developed in completed. phase 1 and the implementation of civil work measure will be transferred to phase 2 in restructuring. Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 29-Dec-2023 IN01302504 ►Update of EPP and preparation of O&M plans completed (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target On-going Inception report was approved. Upon completion of PFMA Final updated EPP On-going workshop, the draft of and O&M plans are Value No PFMA report was effective and received and circulated implemented among the engaged counterparts for review and feedback Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 29-Dec-2023 Until adoption of Vakhsh Cascade level EPP, the Project would continue relying on existing Nurek EPP. Comments: Technical assistance IN01302500 ►Percentage of registered project related grievances (disaggregated by gender) responded to within stipulated service standards for response times (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2016 22-Dec-2022 26-May-2023 31-Dec-2023 To ensure active engagement with citizens, BT undertook the first round of information sharing and consultation meetings during 2018-19 after the project effectiveness. The events were attended by about 100 representatives of local communities. The report of these CE activities is available at BT and was submitted to the World Bank. These events are scheduled annually and over the last year BT has Comments: discussed the difficulties of proceeding with the annual information sharing and consultations meetings due to the social distancing and travel restrictions imposed by the Government due to COVID-19. To ensure the continuity of the planned CE actions, BT has started to share information on its website (www.barqitojik.tj) about the project progress related to main aspects of implementation, including engagement of local labor for civil works, and requested feedback from key stakeholders. The November 7/7/2023 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I (P150816) 2022 mission noted that due to COVID 19, no public consultations have been held to share information on the status of works and collect feedback from stakeholders for the Project since 2019. The mission agreed that as part of the annual public consultations, BT will conduct a survey in 2023 to determine the baseline and the percentage of citizens who believe that the Project has established effective engagement processes. BT has ensured that the GRM is fully functional (staffing, procedures and logs are available), monthly progress reports are submitted to the Bank along with the annual reports; to date 36 questions/issues/complaints have been received and resolved/addressed. However, during the last supervision mission it was noted that the project needs to strengthen the GRM at the power plant site/local level. No signages indicating the GRM existing was found at the site. The workers need to be informed of the GRM available to them and contact information of the persons they can report their grievances to prominently displayed at the project site. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P150816 IDA-60240 Effective USD 69.14 69.14 0.00 43.27 25.87 63% P150816 IDA-60250 Effective USD 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.25 99.75 0.3% P150816 IDA-D1790 Effective USD 56.57 56.57 0.00 58.92 0.00 100% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P150816 IDA-60240 Effective 03-May-2017 02-Jun-2017 27-Apr-2018 31-Dec-2023 31-Dec-2023 P150816 IDA-60250 Effective 03-May-2017 02-Jun-2017 27-Apr-2018 31-Dec-2023 31-Dec-2023 P150816 IDA-D1790 Effective 03-May-2017 02-Jun-2017 27-Apr-2018 31-Dec-2023 31-Dec-2023 Cumulative Disbursements 7/7/2023 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nurek Hydropower Rehabilitation Project Phase I (P150816) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 29-Nov-2018 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 7/7/2023 Page 7 of 7