The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report GY Flood Risk Management (P147250) GY Flood Risk Management (P147250) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Guyana | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2014 | Seq No: 18 | ARCHIVED on 20-Jun-2023 | ISR56793 | Implementing Agencies: Agriculture Sector Development Unit (ASDU), Ministry of Agriculture, Co-operative Republic of Guyana Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 04-Jun-2014 Effectiveness Date: 25-Nov-2014 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 06-Feb-2017 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 20-Mar-2017 Original Closing Date: 31-Jan-2019 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2024 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the project is to reduce the risk of flooding in the low-lying areas of the East Demerara. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Priority Works for Flood Risk Reduction:(Cost $30.50 M) Institutional Strengthening for Flood Risk Reduction:(Cost $3.50 M) Project Management and Implementation Support:(Cost $3.90 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Project Development Objective to reduce the risk of flooding in the low-lying areas of the East Demerara remains relevant given Guyana’s exposure to flood hazards, particularly resulting from severe pluvial events. Georgetown is highly exposed and vulnerable, hosting approximately 20% of the national population, along with important economic activities and the national governmental center. Despite extensive urban and rural drainage, the system is frequently overwhelmed, resulting in severe flooding. These urban and rural floods cause damage to assets such as houses and infrastructure, and disruption of urban activities hampering prosperity and wellbeing of the affected communities. Progress towards achievement of the PDO is rated Moderately Satisfactory due to the reduction in the scope of upgrading of the critical sections of the East Demerara Water Conservancy (EDWC) Dams, arising from exchange rate fluctuations. Nevertheless, the PDO remains achievable and, pending bid prices for the upgrading works, the PDO rating may be upgraded during the next reporting period. Implementation Progress. The Additional Financing credit is in the amount of SDR18.4 million (equivalent to US$26 million at the time of approval), of which about 66.74 percent has been disbursed. Four civil works contracts in the total amount of US$ 7.3 million were awarded in 6/20/2023 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report GY Flood Risk Management (P147250) November and December 2022; two of which have now attained practical (physical) completion and are in the defects liability period, and two under implementation. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program -- Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary -- Moderate Moderate Environment and Social -- Moderate Moderate Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- Substantial Substantial Overall -- Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Area with improved protection against breach of EDWC dams IN01309418 ►Area with improved protection against breach of EDWC dams (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 13,000.00 13,000.00 13,000.00 32,000.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 14-Jun-2023 31-Dec-2024 An additional 6-12 kilometers of the EDWC dam are planned to be rehabilitated using the Additional Comments: Financing. Upon completion, this indicator is expected to be met. Area provided with new/improved irrigation or drainage services IN01309419 6/20/2023 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report GY Flood Risk Management (P147250) ►Area provided with new/improved irrigation or drainage services (Hectare(Ha), Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 7,864.00 7,864.00 7,864.00 13,379.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 03-Jun-2022 14-Jun-2023 31-Dec-2024 Upon completion of the Phase 1 - Drainage Intervention - Rehabilitation of Ogle and Liliendaal Drainage Comments: Catchment Areas (on-track for December 2023), this indicator is expected to be met. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Priority Works for Flood Risk Reduction IN01309420 ►Number of people benefiting from reduced flood risk/protected from flooding (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 90,000.00 90,000.00 90,000.00 150,000.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 14-Jun-2023 31-Dec-2024 Upon completion of the Phase 1 - Drainage Intervention - Rehabilitation of Ogle and Liliendaal Drainage Catchment Areas (expected in December 2023), as well as the rehabilitation of the planned additional Comments: length of the EDWC dam, this indicator is expected to be met. IN01309613 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 51.00 51.00 51.00 51.00 IN01309614 ►Length of dam upgraded (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 4.00 4.00 4.00 12.90 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 22-Nov-2022 31-Dec-2024 IN01309616 ►Water users provided with new/improved irrigation and drainage services (number) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 47,638.00 47,638.00 47,638.00 97,638.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 14-Jun-2023 31-Dec-2024 Upon completion of the Phase 1 - Drainage Intervention - Rehabilitation of Ogle and Liliendaal Drainage Catchment Areas (on track for completion in December 2023), and the Rehabilitation of existing irrigation Comments: structures on the North Eastern Dam of the EDWC (completed on April 14, 2023), this indicator is expected to be met. 6/20/2023 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report GY Flood Risk Management (P147250) IN01309618 Water users provided with irrigation and drainage services - female (number) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 24,010.00 24,010.00 24,010.00 40,000.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 03-Jun-2022 03-Jun-2022 31-Dec-2024 IN01309619 ►Increased drainage capacity (Cubic meters per socond) (Cubic Meter(m3), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 8.00 8.00 8.00 14.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 14-Jun-2023 31-Dec-2024 Upon completion of the Phase 1 - Drainage Intervention - Rehabilitation of Ogle and Liliendaal Drainage Catchment Areas (under implementation, and on track for completion in December 2023), this indicator is Comments: expected to be exceeded. IN01309620 ►Adoption of dam safety measures including procedures for emergency preparedness in case of dam breach (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value Yes Yes Yes Yes Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 22-Nov-2022 31-Dec-2024 The Construction Supervision and Quality Assurance Plan (CSQAP) was completed and used to guide and supervise construction of the Northeastern dam of the EDWC under the original project. The CSQAP will also be used to guide the project investments in Liliendaal and Ogle. The CSQAP and the Emergency Comments: Preparedness Plan will be updated for the EDWC dam works during the consultancy services of the detailed design. IN01309621 ►Number of key consultations for citizen feedback during design and implementation of key drainage infrastructure (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 4.00 4.00 3.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 22-Nov-2022 31-Dec-2024 IN01309622 ►Percentage of addressed grievances related to project activities (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 22-Nov-2022 31-Dec-2024 IN01309623 6/20/2023 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report GY Flood Risk Management (P147250) ►Gender considerations are included in infrastructure design (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 22-Nov-2022 31-Dec-2024 IN01309624 ►Percentage of female participants in consultation activities during project implementation (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 22-Nov-2022 31-Dec-2024 IN01309625 ►Priority drainage Interventions at Liliendaal and Ogle basins have been determined (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 22-Nov-2022 31-Dec-2024 The priority drainage interventions are: (i) replacement of the existing pumps at Liliendaal (8.5 m3/s total capacity), (ii) extra pumping capacity at Liliendaal (4 m3/s), (iii) rehabilitation of the sluice gates at Ogle, Comments: and (iv) two mobile pumps (with a capacity of 1.2 m3/s each) for Ogle. These works are on track for completion in December 2023. Institutional Strengthening for Flood Risk Reduction IN01309611 ►Expanded meteorological, hydrological monitoring network installed and active (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value Yes Yes Yes Yes Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 22-Nov-2022 31-Dec-2024 IN01309612 ►Adoption of operational procedures and surveillance systems for the EDWC dams (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 14-Jun-2023 31-Dec-2024 The Instrumentation Plan for Surveillance and Forecasting (IPSF) and the Operations Maintenance and Surveillance Plan (OMSP) have been updated to address emerging needs for guiding and supervising Comments: project works. IN01309615 6/20/2023 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report GY Flood Risk Management (P147250) ►Application of new methodology for dam rehabilitation (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 16-Jun-2023 31-Dec-2024 The equipment (amphibious excavators) for dam rehabilitation (with technical specifications developed according to an updated construction methodology) have been commissioned and are Comments: operational, and the Construction Supervision and Quality Assurance Plan has been updated. IN01309617 ►Number of staff at NDIA trained to climate resilient flood modeling (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Date 02-Mar-2020 22-Nov-2022 14-Jun-2023 31-Dec-2024 This training will include: (i) hydraulic and hydrological modelling of the EDWC and associated outlets to consider more recent system updates and data, (ii) specialized training in hydraulic and hydrological Comments: modelling, use of remote sensing tools and data management, and (iii) information technology support for data management. Terms of reference will be finalized before the end of July 2023. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P147250 IDA-54740 Effective USD 11.89 11.89 0.00 10.69 0.00 100% P147250 IDA-67860 Effective USD 26.00 26.00 0.00 12.97 11.79 52% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P147250 IDA-54740 Effective 04-Jun-2014 10-Oct-2014 25-Nov-2014 31-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2024 P147250 IDA-67860 Effective 19-Nov-2020 15-Dec-2020 04-Feb-2021 31-Dec-2024 31-Dec-2024 Cumulative Disbursements 6/20/2023 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report GY Flood Risk Management (P147250) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 27-Dec-2018 ,Level 2 Approved on 05-Dec-2019 ,Level 2 Approved on 20-Jun-2020 Related Project(s) P170025-Additional Financing to the Flood Risk Management project 6/20/2023 Page 7 of 7