The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Eastern and Southern Africa | Water Global Practice | Recipient Executed Activities | Investment Project Financing | FY 2021 | Seq No: 6 | ARCHIVED on 13-Jun-2023 | ISR56531 | Implementing Agencies: East African Community through Lake Victoria Basin Commission, Eastern Nile Regional Technical Organization, Nile Basin Discourse, Nile Basin Initiative Secretariat, Nile Equitorial Lakes Subsidiary Action Program - Coordination Unit Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 27-Feb-2021 Effectiveness Date: 11-Mar-2021 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 01-May-2023 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 15-May-2023 Original Closing Date: 30-Nov-2025 Revised Closing Date: 30-Nov-2025 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective is to improve mechanisms for cooperation on water resources management and development in the Nile Basin. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Advancing Nile Basin-Wide Cooperation:(Cost $9.50 M) Component 2: Improving Mechanisms for Cooperation in the NEL Region:(Cost $9.50 M) Component 3: Improving Mechanisms for Cooperation in the Eastern Nile:(Cost $9.50 M) Component 4. Water Quality in the Lake Victoria Sub-Basin:(Cost $0.75 M) Component 5. Enhancing stakeholder engagement in the Nile Basin:(Cost $0.75 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The mid-term review for the project was held between May 15-19, 2023. All five implementing agencies (Nile-Sec, ENTRO, NELSAP-CU, LVBC and NBD) have reiterated their strong commitment to the project. The MTR also assessed the development objective of "improving mechanisms for cooperation on water resources management and development in the Nile Basin" to be highly relevant in the context of regional priorities (i.e., resilience and climate change). The implementing agencies are now focused on speeding implementation based on the recommendations of the MTR across the five thematic areas of the project--Dam Safety, Floods and Droughts, Information Services, Platforms for Cooperation and Water Quality. 6/13/2023 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Moderate Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes To improve mechanisms for cooperation on water resources management & development in the Nile Basin IN01302118 ►Number of joint governance decisions informed by results from project supported activities (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 4.00 4.00 10.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 The following joint decisions are approved by the Council of Ministers:  NBI Capacity Building Strategy approved  NBI Gender Mainstreaming Strategy approved Comments:  Water Quality Hotspot investment prioritization methodology approved  2 of 4 water quality hotspots selected for investment planning and prioritization (1 in Ethiopia and 1 in Tanzania) IN01302119 ►Percentage of users of mechanisms for cooperation on water resources management and development, who rate them as “satisfactory” or higher (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/13/2023 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Value 0.00 97.00 95.50 80.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 This value is a cumulative aggregation of percent satisfaction. The sample size in the first (previous) ISR was very small – 40 people. There is some true mean that would result from measuring every possible person but through sampling a very small subset of people it is similarly likely to measure a wide range of values. Therefore in the previous ISR, a very small sampling for a satisfaction survey cannot be expected to be highly interpretable, and hence the value of 91.6 was much higher than the interim target Comments: (70). However as sampling continues during the project the central tendency will move closer and closer to the true value. The current value (95.5%) is an average from surveys of 712 people from 23 different convenings and trainings on the tools and services that mechanisms for cooperation through the project. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Advancing Nile Basin-Wide Cooperation IN01302120 ►Number of people trained (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 695.00 933.00 900.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures. IN01302127 number of women (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 83.00 171.00 225.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 IN01302131 number from fragile or conflict affected situations (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 157.00 387.00 225.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 IN01302133 ►Number of fit-for-purpose networks created or strengthened. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 17.00 19.00 10.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 6/13/2023 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures. IN01302135 ►Number of stakeholders directly supported on applications of the Nile Basin Data Analytics Services (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 287.00 346.00 200.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures. IN01302137 ►Number of mechanisms for cooperation improved with open platform public data products (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures. Component 2: Improving Mechanisms for Cooperation in the NEL Region IN01302121 ►Number of new or improved dam safety units (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 5 existing DSU’s are improved (Ethiopia, 4 new dam safety unit Kenya, Sudan, 5 dam safety units exist 5 dam safety units exist are established. 5 dam Value Tanzania Uganda) in Nile Basin countries in Nile Basin countries safety units are 1 new DSU improved established (DRC) Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01302125 ►Mechanisms for increasing equivalence in regional dam safety management developed (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Mechanisms for increasing equivalence Value None None None in regional dam safety management developed. Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Jan-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01302129 6/13/2023 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) ►Number of Water Quality Hotspots where investment prioritization is supported by stakeholder dialogue and relevant analysis (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Water Quality Hotspot investment prioritization criteria/methodology approved by COM 4 Water Quality Two WQ hotspots (target 1). Hotspots for which identified for conducting Two water quality investment MCA analysis and two hotspot selected in the prioritization is Value 0.00 hotspots for which WQ eastern Nile for supported by baseline assessments investment planning stakeholder dialogue completed (target 2). and prioritization (1 in and multi-criteria Gilgel Abbay, Ethiopia analysis and 1 in Lake Victoria, Tanzania) (target 2). Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures Component 3: Improving Mechanisms for Cooperation in the Eastern Nile IN01302122 ►Enhanced flood and drought information available in the public domain (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Mapping of riverine flood prone areas in the Nile Basin completed for 1 of 9 locations (target #1) - Mapping of riverine flood Malakal South Sudan. Enhanced flood and prone areas in the Nile Flash flood drought information Value none Basin completed (target assessment done for available in the public #1) the Nile Basin and domain - y/n hotspot/prone areas map and report prepared for 4 of 9 locations (ET, TZ, UG, SD) (target 2). Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01302126 ►Number of institutions consulted to enhance or monitor usability of flood related information (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3.00 3.00 20.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 6/13/2023 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01302130 ►Total number of interns/Young Professional (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 12.00 19.00 48.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Jan-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 and the Project Implementation Manual for the full standard operating procedures. IN01302134 Number of women (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 4.00 7.00 15.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 IN01302136 Number from Fragile and Conflict affected Situations (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 8.00 14.00 24.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Component 4: Water Quality in the Lake Victoria Sub-Basin IN01302124 ►Number of Instruments developed to guide/govern water quality investment planning in the Lake Victoria Basin/NEL region (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 2 instruments: (i) A draft harmonized policy on water quality management, and (ii) a 1 WQ hotspot identified Water Quality Value zero in the EN for conducting none Management Strategy MCA. & Action Plan draft; all prepared in consultation with EAC Partner States and DRC. Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures Comments: Component 5: Enhancing stakeholder engagement in the Nile Basin IN01302123 ►Number of community level stakeholders consulted for usability of flood warning notifications (Number, Custom) 6/13/2023 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 390.00 750.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01302128 number of women (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 140.00 300.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 IN01302132 number from fragile or conflict affected situations (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 144.00 300.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 29-Nov-2022 24-May-2023 28-Nov-2025 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P172848 TF-B4716 Effective USD 30.00 30.00 0.00 13.27 16.73 44% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P172848 TF-B4716 Effective 11-Mar-2021 11-Mar-2021 11-Mar-2021 30-Nov-2025 30-Nov-2025 Cumulative Disbursements 6/13/2023 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/13/2023 Page 8 of 8