The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) REPORT NO.: RES55726 RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF GUINEA ELECTRICITY ACCESS SCALE UP PROJECT APPROVED ON FEBRUARY 15, 2019 TO THE REPUBLIC OF GUINEA Energy and Extractives Global Practice Western and Central Africa Region Regional Vice President: Ousmane Diagana Country Director: Coralie Gevers Regional Director: Franz R. Drees-Gross Practice Manager: Kwawu Mensan Gaba Task Team Leader: Djamali Ibrahime The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AFD Agence Française de Développement (French Development Agency) AfDB African Development Bank AGER Agence Guinéenne d’Electrification Rurale (Guinea Rural Electrification Agency) CPF Country Partnership Framework EDG Electricité de Guinée (National Electricity Utility) EIB European Investment Bank ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework EU European Union FM Financial Management FY Fiscal Year GNF Guinean Francs GoG Government of Guinea GRS Grievance Redress Service GWh Gigawatt Hour IPF Investment Project Financing kW Kilowatt kWh Kilowatt Hour LV Low voltage M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MEH Ministry of Energy and Hydraulics MW Megawatt PDO Project Development Objective PIU Project Implementation Unit PP Procurement Plan RAP Resettlement Action Plans WTP Willingness to Pay WB The World Bank The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) BASIC DATA Product Information Project ID Financing Instrument P164225 Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Current EA Category Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Approval Date Current Closing Date 15-Feb-2019 31-Dec-2023 Organizations Borrower Responsible Agency Republic of Guinea Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The project development objective is to increase access to electricity in selected areas of Guinea OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO Summary Status of Financing (US$, Millions) Net Ln/Cr/Tf Approval Signing Effectiveness Closing Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed IDA-63720 15-Feb-2019 01-Apr-2019 10-Sep-2019 31-Dec-2023 25.00 16.13 8.79 IDA-D4260 15-Feb-2019 01-Apr-2019 10-Sep-2019 31-Dec-2023 25.00 16.81 7.68 Policy Waiver(s) Does this restructuring trigger the need for any policy waiver(s)? No The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) I. PROJECT STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING A. PROJECT STATUS 1. The financing for the Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) in the amount of US$50 million (US$25 million of IDA Credit 6372-GN and US$25 million of IDA Grant D426-GN) was approved by the World Bank Board of Executive Directors on February 15, 2019. The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to increase access to electricity in selected areas of Guinea. Financing Agreements (FA) were signed on April 1, 2019, and became effective on September 10, 2019, with closing date of December 31, 2023. The project is also co-financed with the Agence Française de Developpement (AFD) though a parallel co-financing1 of EUR 50 million (equivalent to US$58.5 million at the time of appraisal), where the investments depend on one another to reach the national access targets, but with separate investment locations. The financing of AFD follows the World Bank’s procurement and safeguard guidelines. 2. The project finances investments in urban and rural aeras to increase electricity access of population. It supports the regularization of illegal connections and densification of grid extension in sub-urban areas in Conakry and regional cities connected to the national grid (Dubreka, Maneah, Coyah, Forécareah, and Kindia). It aims at setting up a pilot of privately operated mini grid subprojects in 12 rural locations which are not expected to benefit from the national grid connection in the next 10 years under current least-cost electrification plan. 3. The project component costs per financier are presented in Table 1. Table 1. Project component costs per financier Description IDA AFD Total financing Financing Component 1: Reinforcement and expansion of grid access in selected areas and 31.5 55.0 86.5 reduction of illegal consumption Subcomponent 1.1: Regularization of illegal connections in Conakry 6.0 10.0 16.0 Subcomponent 1.2: Rehabilitation and extension of distribution networks of Maneah, 20.5 29.0 49.5 Dubreka, and Coyah in Greater Conakry Subcomponent 1.3: Reinforcement, densification, and extension of distribution networks 5.0 16.0 21.0 in secondary cities of Forecariah and Kindia Component 2: Electrification of remote localities with privately operated hybrid 3.5 3.5 7.0 systems (solar PV with storage/diesel) mini grids Component 3: Component 3: Owner’s engineer, access program coordination, 15.0 - 15.0 technical assistance, capacity building, and project implementation support Subcomponent 3.1: Owner’s engineer 4.0 - 4.0 Subcomponent 3.2: Establishment of the National Access Program Coordination Unit 1.1 - 1.1 (SWAp Secretariat) to coordinate and optimize the support of donors for access through grid extension and mini grids Subcomponent 3.3: Project Implementation support 4.5 - 4.5 Subcomponent 3.4: Studies and technical assistance 3.4 - 3.4 Subcomponent 3.5: Capacity building and Social inclusiveness of access and 2.0 - 2.0 regularization of illegal connections TOTAL 50.0 58.5 108.5 1This is a parallel financing with each donor fully financing activities in separate locations. The World Bank manages the project implementation and AFD pays project management fees. The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) 4. The implementation of the project was adversely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, which slowed down the project activities, and the political developments in Guinea following coup d'état on September 5, 2021, which lead to the triggering of the OP7.30 and the suspension of disbursements for six months, from September 2021 to February 2023. Despite these challenges, the implementation of project has been advancing and the pace of activities has accelerated since the lifting of the OP7.30 and the end of pause in disbursements. As of May 24, 2023, the total disbursement rate of the IDA financing stood at 66.6 percent, with a total of US$32.94 million disbursed, and a total of US$16.47 million undisbursed. The disbursement rate in FY23 reached 32.4 percent so far. The undisbursed amount has been already committed with all major contracts signed and being under implementation. The overall project implementation exceeds 70 percent. 5. In the last Implementation Status and Results Report (ISR) dated January 3, 2023, the progress towards achievement of the PDO is rated Satisfactory and overall implementation progress is rated Moderately Satisfactory. Financial management and procurement are respectively rated Satisfactory. There are no overdue audits or IFRs. 6. The detailed description of project components and their progress are described below. Component 1 - Reinforcement and expansion of grid access in selected areas and reduction of illegal consumption 7. Subcomponent 1.1: Regularization of illegal connections in Conakry: The works to regularize illegal connections in Conakry have been underway since May 10, 2021. This activity has reached a progress rate of 74 percent and should have been completed in November 2022 with the installation of the meters. However, due to the delay in the process of awarding and signing the contract for the supply of 100,000 meters, which took 18 months between the Bank's non- objection for the awarding of the contract and the actual signing of the contract, the first batch of smart meters were delivered in Conakry only in March 2022. It is expected that this subcomponent will be completed by July 31, 2023. 8. Subcomponent 1.2: Rehabilitation and extension of distribution networks of Maneah, Dubreka, and Coyah in Greater Conakry: The rehabilitation and extension of distribution networks has reached 84 percent for Maneah and 79 percent for Coyah and 77 percent for Dubreka. The updated schedule provides for the completion of the works and the commissioning of the distribution networks by November 30, 2023, which corresponds to a 6-month slippage compared to the initial schedule but before the project current closing date which is December 31, 2023. 9. Subcomponent 1.3: Reinforcement, densification, and extension of distribution networks in secondary cities of Forecariah and Kindia: For the rehabilitation, densification and extension of the Forecariah distribution network, the two contracts were signed in November and December 2021. The advance payments were paid, and the contractors have started working. The works will be conducted for 24 months and are expected to be completed by December 31, 2024, twelve months after the project closing date. Regarding the distribution network of the city of Kindia, the contracts are yet to be awarded following the Bank’s no objection to the evaluation reports issued on March 28, 2023. It is expected that the awarding process and sign of contract will be finalized by the end of May 2023. Considering the revised implementation schedule, works on the Kindia network are scheduled to start in July 2023 and end in April 2025, i.e., 16 months after the project closing date. Component 2: Electrification of remote localities with privately operated hybrid systems (solar PV with storage/diesel) mini grids 10. This component consists of the electrification of 12 rural localities by mini grids that will be operated by private companies. The US$7 million allocated by the project will be paid to the private operators during the investment phase in the form of a subsidy to enable them to provide electricity to the populations of these rural localities at a rate not The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) exceeding 2,000 GNF/kWh. This is a pilot program and constitutes the first phase of a long-term engagement of the Bank in mini grids’ space and it will be scaled up, should the pilot be successful. The selected companies will be required to build, operate and maintain the hybrid mini grids. 11. The process to select the private operators to run the mini grid networks in the different remote localities was launched on July 15, 2021, but due to the political change in Guinea several bidders requested postponements of the submission of their bids. To date, the bids received have been evaluated but no contract has yet been signed because, on the one hand, the amount of subsidy requested by the bidders is higher than the budget allocated by the project, and on the other hand, the regulatory amendments that must authorize this type of activity in Guinea are yet to be be signed by the Ministry of Finance. Considering an estimated implemntation schedule of 12 months, the rural electrifaction componenent would be completed by the end of June 2024, if the regulatory text is signed before May 31, 2023. Component 3: Owner’s engineer, access program coordination, technical assistance, capacity building, and project implementation support 12. The contract of Owner’s engineer (OE) to assist in implementing the project was signed with the firm CABIRA on May 7, 2021. The implementation of the OE’s contract is going well and in line with the progress of the works contract. 13. Consultancy services including the preparation of the project’s feasibility study as well as safeguard documents, have also been financed under that component. As such, the feasibility studies for the substation of Kindia, feasibility studies to extend the distribution networks and electrification of localities in the Middle Guinea area have been carried out and completed. 14. Regarding capacity building, staff of the PIU, technical EDG staff, staff of the Ministry of Energy and the Rural Electrification Agency regularly benefit from training funded under the project. As of December 31, 2022, 66 staff were trained including 37 women. Safeguards The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) 15. The overall safeguards compliance is rated Moderately Unsatisfactory. A budget estimated at US$630,000 equivalent to GNF 6,582,969,750 has been set up by the Government of Guinea (GoG) for the implementation of the Resettlement Action Plan (RAP) and the compensation of the persons affected by the project (PAPs), as the national counterpart. 174 PAPs have been identified in the localities of Manéah, Dubréka et Coyah and were compensated. However, the compesnantion process was significantly delayed and started only on August 17, 2022, after the GoG released the compensation funds. 16. The RAP has been implemented with some deficiencies as the works in Maneah, Dubreka and Coyah had started on private properties before the end of the compensation process and before the Bank had been requested to give its no-objection for the start of works. The Grievance Redress Mechanism (GRM) is in place and working. However, the process of complaint management was not sufficiently documented during the RAP implementation in the localities of Maneah, Dubreka and Coyah, making it difficult to know the exact number of complaints received. Following the Bank's recommendations during the November 2022 implementation support mission, the project has reviewed and improved the complaint tracking system. A total of eight complaints were registered. All were addressed and resolved. The ESMP is being implemented satisfactorily. 17. A contract for the preparation of the RAP of the sub-components of Kindia and Forécariah was signed with Schemas consulting firm in November 2021, on IDA financing. The consultant submitted the report which was reviewed and approved by the Bank. In addition, considering that all the identified PAPs in Maneah, Dubreka and Coyah have been compensated and all the registered complaints were resolved, the rating of the overall safeguards compliance is expected to be revisited for potential upgrade in the next ISR planned for submission in July 2023. 18. Regarding the environmental aspects, quarterly reports are regularly submitted by the project. However, it should be noted that (i) evidence related to waste management is not collected and documented properly; and (ii) STEG and CEGELEC companies in charge of the works in Maneah, Coyah and Dubreka have not installed site toilets, which increases the pressure on community toilets, with all the risks associated with the use of these toilets. B. RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) 19. The project has been impacted by many factors that delayed the start of activities and slowed down their implementation. It took two years (February 2021) after the project approval to sign the first contracts related to the electrification works. The COVID-19 pandemic resulting in introduction of quarantine and travel restrictions, and the socio-political unrest related to the former president's third term severely impacted the start of the project which became effective in September 2019, seven months after it was approved in February 2019. Then, coup d’état in September 2021 has amplified the delays in the project implementation. As consequence of the military coup and political changes that occurred in Guinea on September 5, 2021, the World Bank triggered the Operational Policy 7.30 (OP 7.30). This led to a pause in disbursements and to the limitation of interactions with the Guinean authorities. The project has also suffered from long delays in the award of contracts by the Guinean authorities (between 3 and 18 months after the Bank no objection). 20. Some components have been particularly impacted by delays and would not be completed before the project scheduled closing date of December 31, 2023. In particular, the rehabilitation, densification and extension of distribution networks of Kindia and Forecariah under subcomponent 1.3 which required additional feasibility studies funded under the project. The rehabilitation of the distribution network of Forecariah will have an implementation period of 24 months and would be completed by December 31, 2024. The works for Kindia with an implementation period of 24 months are scheduled to start in May 2023 and would be completed by April 30, 2025. 21. Regarding the social safeguards’ aspects, the GoG had delayed releasing the amounts required for the compensation process and the resettlement process was not completed in line with the Bank’s standard for the first part of the project (Maneah, Coyah, Dubreka). The compensation process started in August 2022. Works had started on private properties before the end of the compensation process and before the Bank gave its no-objection for the start of works. Therefore, an extension will also be required to correctly complete the resettlement process, including obtaining the funds and paying the identified PAPs, for the remaining sites of the project. 22. In addition, all the activities under Component 1 of the project face would expect to have cost overruns amounting to US$7.3 million for the IDA financing. The contracts' amounts have escalated in comparison with the estimates at the time of the appraisal of the project. The cost overruns are mainly due to a surge in the costs of materials used in the production of electrical equipment on the world market, as well as a sharp increase in freight costs due to the COVID-19 pandemic. On the other hand, the extensive deterioration of the distribution networks to be rehabilitated led to a review of the quantities and the scope of intervention in order to fully cover the areas initially targeted by the project. The distribution networks under Component 1 are key infrastructures to improve electricity access in the project selected areas. Thus, the completion of the works already started is critical for the achievement of the PDO. 23. Regarding Component 2 related to electrification of remote localities through mini grids, this activity has been negatively impacted by the significant delays as described above and, therefore, it cannot be completed by the current closing date. To date, no contract has yet been signed. It is also facing a considerable cost overrun of US$10 million. While the estimated cost of the subsidy during appraisal was estimated at US$7 million, the actual proposed amounts by the bidders came to US$17 million, which would result in an overrun of US$10 million. 24. Considering the delays that the project is facing and the funding gap to ensure the completion of electrification activities that have started, GooG requested the Bank in its letter dated March 28, 2023, to restructure the project in order to: (i) reallocate the financing of Component 2 (US$3.5 million equivalent) and the remaining balance of the financing of Component 3 to Component 1. Since the IDA funds allocated to Component 2 have still not been committed, the GoG proposes to reallocate these uncommitted funds to Component 1, in order to ensure that all activities under Component 1 will be duly completed and commissioned. The financing of the rural electrification activities The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) will be then reduced by US$3.5 million from the IDA financing and will be implemented only with the AFD financing of US$3.5 million. It is also proposed to reallocate the savings of US$3.8 million from unallocated amounts under Component 3 to Component 1. These savings come from the following activities: Owner’s Engineer contract (US$1.5 million); Studies and Technical assistance (US$1.9 million); Capacity building (US$0.3 million); and National Access Program Coordination Unit (US$0.1 million); (ii) to extend the project closing date by 18 months from December 31, 2023, to June 30, 2025. 25. The project remains of strategic importance and relevance to GoG. The PDO remain relevant and is in line with the country’s strategy aiming for improvement of population’s access to electricity and to achieve universal access by 2030. The government’s request for the extension of the closing date is justified as it will enable to reach its PDO and provide electricity to more than 600,000 people. The Bank discussed with EDG the possibility of completing the remaining activities with EDG resources but given the current financial position of the utility and issues with the finances of the Government of Guinea, the Bank’s continued support is needed to complete the works. EDG has made concrete plans to complete the remaining activities within the extended closing date and the Bank will maintain close monitoring to ensure completion of the work within the extended closing date. 26. To date there are no significant procurement packages left to be contracted under components 1 and 3. All major contracts under these two components have been signed or the awarding process is being finalized. Under Component 2, the selection of the private operator to run the mini grid networks for rural electrification is yet to be finalized, subject that the regulatory text authorizing this type of activity in Guinea is signed by the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Budget. The amount of this activity is US$3.5 million and will be financed by AFD. For the IDA financing, two procurement activities of US$0.4 million and US$0.06 million are yet to be launched. The proposed implementation schedule to complete the project activities by the time of additional 18 months has been reviewed, and the due diligence made by the Bank indicates that (i) the timeline of 18 months is indeed enough to complete the remaining activities; and (ii) the remaining balance following the reallocation of the IDA financing of Component 2 and savings of Component 3 to Component 1 will be enough to complete works and finance PIU costs in the next 18 months. 27. Considering the facts that: (i) the project PDO is relevant, in line with the government priority, and remains achievable; (ii) the project’s progress towards achievement of the PDO and EDG’s performance are both rated as Satisfactory with implementation progress as Moderately Satisfactory; (iii) the project is likely to fully achieve its development objective within the extended period; (iv) a time-bound action plan has been prepared and agreed with EDG and the World Bank to advance the project implementation to ensure the project is completed by the proposed closing date; (v) the project is not subject to suspension; and (vi) there are no outstanding audit reports and the audit reports are satisfactory to the World Bank the request for the project extension is fully justified. This will be the first restructuring of the project. II. DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) 28. The proposed changes under this restructuring include: (a) extension of the closing date; (b) changes to cost and components; (d) reallocation across disbursement categories; (e) changes to implementation schedule; (f) changes to disbursement estimates; and (f) changes to results framework. 29. Extension of the closing date. Closing date of IDA Credit 6372-GN and IDA Grant D426-GN will be extended until June 30, 2025. 30. Changes to cost and components. Changes to cost of components following the restructuring are presented in Table 2 below. The IDA financing of US$3.5 million initially allocated to Component 2 titled “Electrification of remote localities with privately operated hybrid systems mini grids” will be dropped and reallocated to Component 1 titled “Reinforcement and expansion of grid access in selected areas and reduction of illegal consumption”. Table 2. Component costs of the IDA financing before and after restructuring (US$ million) Description Before restructuring Amount after Original Actual Gap restructuring Amount amount committed Component 1: Reinforcement and expansion of grid access in selected 31.5 38.7 -7.3 38.7 areas and reduction of illegal consumption Subcomponent 1.1: Regularization of illegal connections in Conakry 6.0 9.5 -3.6 9.5 Subcomponent 1.2: Rehabilitation and extension of distribution 20.5 23.1 -2.6 23.1 networks of Maneah, Dubreka, and Coyah in Greater Conakry Subcomponent 1.3: Reinforcement, densification, and extension of 5.0 6.0 -1.0 6 distribution networks in secondary cities of Forecariah and Kindia Component 2: Electrification of remote localities with privately 3.5 0 +3.5 0 operated hybrid systems (solar PV with storage/diesel) mini grids Component 3: Component 3: Owner’s engineer, access program 15.0 11.2 +3.8 11.2 coordination, technical assistance, capacity building, and project implementation support Subcomponent 3.1: Owner’s engineer 4.0 2.5 +1.5 2.5 Subcomponent 3.2: Establishment of the National Access Program 1.1 1.0 +0.1 1 Coordination Unit (SWAp Secretariat) to coordinate and optimize the support of donors for access through grid extension and mini grids Subcomponent 3.3: Project Implementation support 4.5 4.5 0 4.5 Subcomponent 3.4: Studies and technical assistance 3.4 1.5 +1.9 1.5 Subcomponent 3.5: Capacity building and social inclusiveness of access 2.0 1.7 +0.3 1.7 and regularization of illegal connections TOTAL 50.0 50.0 0 50.0 31. Reallocation across disbursement categories. Financing has been reallocated across categories as presented in the datasheet in the Annex. 32. Changes to implementation schedule. The schedule has been revised to reflect delays described above and be aligned with the proposed closing date (Annex 2 provides revised contractual implementation schedule for key contracts). The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) 33. Changes to disbursements estimates. Disbursements projections have also been updated in accordance with the revised implementation schedule. 34. Changes to results framework. The results framework has been updated to reflect (i) the extended period of the project for achieving the PDO and (ii) revision to components of the project since it is proposed, under this restructuring, to drop the IDA financing of US$3.5 million initially envisaged for Component 2 and reallocate the funds to Component 1. III. SUMMARY OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Results Framework ✔ Components and Cost ✔ Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Disbursement Estimates ✔ Implementation Schedule ✔ Implementing Agency ✔ DDO Status ✔ Project's Development Objectives ✔ PBCs ✔ Cancellations Proposed ✔ Disbursements Arrangements ✔ Overall Risk Rating ✔ Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ EA category ✔ Legal Covenants ✔ Institutional Arrangements ✔ Financial Management ✔ Procurement ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ Economic and Financial Analysis ✔ The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) Technical Analysis ✔ Social Analysis ✔ Environmental Analysis ✔ IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_COMPONENTS_TABLE COMPONENTS Current Current Proposed Proposed Cost Action Component Name Component Name Cost (US$M) (US$M) Reinforcement and expansion of Reinforcement and expansion grid access in selected regions of grid access in selected 86.50 Revised 93.80 and reduction of illegal regions and reduction of illegal consumption consumption Electrification of remote Electrification of remote localities with privately localities with privately operated 7.00 Revised operated hybrid systems (solar 3.50 hybrid systems (solar PV with PV with storage/diesel) mini storage/diesel) mini grids grids Owner’s Engineer, Access Owner’s Engineer, Access Program Coordination, Program Coordination, Technical 15.00 Revised Technical Assistance, Capacity 11.20 Assistance, Capacity building and building and project project implementation support implementation support TOTAL 108.50 108.50 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_LOANCLOSING_TABLE LOAN CLOSING DATE(S) Original Revised Proposed Proposed Deadline Ln/Cr/Tf Status Closing Closing(s) Closing for Withdrawal Applications IDA-63720 Effective 31-Dec-2023 30-Jun-2025 30-Oct-2025 IDA-D4260 Effective 31-Dec-2023 30-Jun-2025 30-Oct-2025 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_REALLOCATION _TABLE REALLOCATION BETWEEN DISBURSEMENT CATEGORIES The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) Financing % Current Allocation Actuals + Committed Proposed Allocation (Type Total) Current Proposed IDA-63720-001 | Currency: XDR iLap Category Sequence No: 1 Current Expenditure Category: GD,WK,NCS,CS,TRN,OC Prt A EDG 18,100,000.00 11,611,662.09 18,100,000.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 2 Current Expenditure Category: SUBGRANTS Prt B1 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 3 Current Expenditure Category: GD,NCS,CS,TRN,OC Prt B2&C AGER 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 4 Current Expenditure Category: GD,NCS,CS,TRN,OC Prt C EDG 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 Total 18,100,000.00 11,611,662.09 18,100,000.00 IDA-D4260-001 | Currency: XDR iLap Category Sequence No: 1 Current Expenditure Category: GD,WK,NCS,CS,TRN,OC Prt A EDG 4,700,000.00 4,683,658.18 9,700,000.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 2 Current Expenditure Category: SUBGRANTS Prt B1 2,200,000.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 3 Current Expenditure Category: GD,NCS,CS,TRN,OC Prt B2&C AGER 3,600,000.00 1,515,503.00 2,700,000.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 4 Current Expenditure Category: GD,NCS,CS,TRN,OC Prt C EDG The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) 7,600,000.00 3,370,179.52 5,700,000.00 100.00 100.00 Total 18,100,000.00 9,569,340.70 18,100,000.00 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_DISBURSEMENT_TABLE DISBURSEMENT ESTIMATES Change in Disbursement Estimates Yes Year Current Proposed 0000 0.00 0.00 2019 0.00 0.00 2020 4,713,867.03 4,713,867.03 2021 8,206,765.04 8,206,765.04 2022 26,000,000.00 12,157,822.45 2023 11,080,132.90 8,000,000.00 2024 0.00 10,000,000.00 2025 0.00 6,921,545.48 . The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) . Results framework COUNTRY: Guinea Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project Project Development Objectives(s) The project development objective is to increase access to electricity in selected areas of Guinea Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 The project development objective is to increase access to electricity in selected areas of Guinea People provided with new or improved electricity 0.00 397,373.00 603,096.00 service (CRI, Number) People provided with new or improved 0.00 205,272.00 311,542.00 electricity service - Female (CRI, Number) People provided with new electricity service with 0.00 270,843.00 350,037.00 IDA financing (Number) People provided with improved electricity service 0.00 126,529.00 253,059.00 with IDA financing (Number) New or improved electricity service connections 0.00 59,150.00 89,900.00 with IDA financing (Number) PDO Table SPACE The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 Component 1: Reinforcement and expansion of grid in selected areas and reduction of illegal connect Percentage of the population with access to electricity through grid extension and 0.00 2.70 3.74 regularisation of illegal connections (Percentage) Power outages per year in Maneah and Forecareah, imputable to the HV/MV substation 1,688.00 1,266.00 844.00 (Number) Regularized illegal connections in Conakry (IDA 0.00 37,500.00 37,500.00 financing only) (Number) Revenues of EDG coming from regularized consumers, per year (IDA financing only) 0.00 1,593,750.00 3,187,500.00 (Amount(USD)) New and rehabilitated MV/LV distributing lines in 0.00 158.00 316.00 Maneah district (Kilometers) Technical losses in Maneah district (Percentage) 24.50 20.00 15.00 Upgrade of the 20 kV MV line from Maneah to 0.00 45.00 90.00 Forecareah (Kilometers) Technical losses in Forecariah district (Percentage) 30.00 24.00 18.00 Component 2: Electrification of remote villages/localities with privately operated hybrid systems Localities electrified with privately operated mini 0.00 3.00 5.00 grids (IDA financing only) (Number) Action: This indicator has been Revised Schools, health centers and town halls connected 0.00 5.00 10.00 to the mini grids (IDA financing only) (Number) Action: This indicator has been Revised The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 Micro-, Small-, and Medium-Size Enterprises (MSMEs) connected to the newly created 0.00 15.00 30.00 minigrids (Number) Action: This indicator has been Revised of which headed by women (Number) 0.00 4.00 8.00 Action: This indicator has been Revised Percentage of the population with access to 0.00 0.11 0.22 electricity through mini grids (Percentage) Action: This indicator has been Revised Component 3: Owner’s Engineer, Access Program Coordination, Technical Assistance, Capacity building Staff trained within MEH, AGER, EDG and AREE 0.00 30.00 60.00 (Number) - of which female (Number) 0.00 8.00 15.00 Beneficiary satisfaction survey (Number) 0.00 0.00 1.00 Project-related grievances addressed under the 0.00 100.00 100.00 project grievance redress mechanism (Percentage) Percentage of women in positions at EDG 18.00 19.50 21.00 (Percentage) IO Table SPACE The World Bank Guinea Electricity Access Scale Up Project (P164225)