The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LSMS-ISA Uganda National Panel Survey (P163029) LSMS-ISA Uganda National Panel Survey (P163029) EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Uganda | Recipient Executed Activities | Investment Project Financing | FY 2018 | Seq No: 2 | ARCHIVED on 26-May-2023 | ISR56239 | Implementing Agencies: Uganda Bureau of Statistics, Uganda Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 27-Oct-2017 Effectiveness Date: 31-May-2018 Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2020 Revised Closing Date: 30-May-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) This project aims to support the Uganda Bureau of Statistics in the design and implementation of the Uganda National Panel Survey, which is a national, multi-topic, longitudinal household survey with a principal focus on understanding dynamics in household welfare, livelihoods and agricultural outcomes, and their inter-relationships and with the ultimate intent of addressing data needs and feeding into policy-making. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions OVERVIEW The Living Standards Measurement Study - Integrated Surveys on Agriculture (LSMS-ISA) Uganda National Panel Survey (UNPS) (P163029), in an amount of 1.60M was approved by the Bank on October 27, 2017. The Grant Agreement was signed on March 12, 2018 and the project became effective on May 31, 2018. On April 2019, due to resource needs on the part of the larger LSMS-ISA project the total disbursement of the grant was scaled back to 1.5 million USD. In agreement with the grantee, the amendment of the total amount was not reflected in a restructuring of the grant agreement. UNPS is a national, multi-topic, longitudinal household survey with a principal focus on understanding dynamics in household welfare, livelihoods and agricultural outcomes, and their inter-relationships and with the ultimate intent of addressing data needs and feeding into policy-making. This grant is a continuation of the support to the design, implementation, dissemination and analysis of the Uganda National Panel Survey program, which has been implemented by the Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) since 2009. Since then, the following UNPS rounds have been implemented 2009/10, 2010/11, 2011/12, 2013/14, 2015/16, 2018/19, 2019/20 and 2021/22 (the latter of which were implemented under this grant). Starting in 2021/22, the UNPS has been integrated with the Annual Agriculture Survey (AAS) in the UHIS. In the UHIS both surveys share common agriculture questionnaire instruments, and a shared sample of households that were interviewed by both efforts, namely the agricultural households that are interviewed in the enumeration areas (EAs) that are sampled for the UNPS. In addition, the UNPS interviewed additional non-agricultural households in sampled EAs to fulfill its objective to be national-representative, while the AAS interviewed additional agricultural households in additional EAs to be able to provide a range of regionally-representative agricultural statistics that are not possible to measure with adequate precision with the shared UNPS-AAS sample alone. Moreover, the UNPS and AAS fieldwork was coordinated and adopted an identical approach to surveying agricultural households through 3 visits that covered the first and second agricultural season of a given calendar year. Both surveys were implemented by UBOS field teams using the 5/26/2023 Page 1 of 4 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LSMS-ISA Uganda National Panel Survey (P163029) World Bank Survey Solutions CAPI platform, and with coordinated technical assistance from the World Bank LSMS-ISA team (in support of the UNPS), and the Statistics Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) (in support of the AAS). The components of the project are as follows: 1. Providing technical support to the UBOS UNPS team in the design, implementation and analysis of the UNPS, to increase the internal technical capacity for data analysis and dissemination of analytical outputs; 2. Reviewing the questionnaire design, the sampling design, and the household survey participation incentives for the past UNPS waves, as an input for the design of the program; 3. Improving methodological approaches to agricultural data collection in coordination with the UBOS' Annual Agricultural Survey and in accordance with the emerging best practices; 4. Adopting the World Bank survey solutions Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI) software to enhance the quality and timeliness of surveys implemented by the UBOS; 5. Utilizing the UNPS platform to implement methodological survey experiments for testing existing and alternative approaches to data collection in tandem with gold standard approaches. 6. Consolidating and strengthening the crop production monitoring system to: (i) reduce the number of crop card EAs and increase the frequency of data recovery from the field; and (ii) expand the use of technology in the collection and processing of crop production data in the field. 7. Strengthening the market survey module to provide conversion factors for food item-non-standard measurement unit combinations, and agricultural produce-crop condition-non-standard measurement unit combinations. 8. Conducting qualitative modules to complement the quantitative panel data. 9. Consolidating and upgrading the statistical infrastructure, including tablets, laptops, statistical software, and field vehicles, needed to support the panel survey program. 10. Establishing a data management system linking the UNPS data across waves, standardizing variables, developing data management guidelines and standard output tables. 11. Centralizing the data sharing arrangements to inform users of updates to existing data and new uploads, and to track data downloads and use. 12. Exploring potential synergies between the UNPS and other impact evaluation efforts within and outside of government to ensure that the UNPS data are free of contamination tied to the specific interventions that are being evaluated or the household survey operations that have been commissioned for impact evaluation purposes. 13. Extending the capacity development program to cover analysis, modelling, and report writing skills to both UBOS and staff in Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) of the Government of Uganda. 14. Intensifying the mining of the UNPS data and increasing information sharing, to encourage staff within MDAs and UBOS to utilize the data. 15. Coordinating with research organizations and public institutions to ensure that the UNPS findings feed into their proposed research programs. PROJECT STATUS The UNPS survey rounds covering the period of 2009/10-2015/16, and 2018/19 and 2019/20 (funded by this grant) are readily publicly available through the Microdata Library. The UNPS 2021/22 as part of the UHIS was implemented successfully and ended in December 2022.The data will be made available by the end of 2023, in line with the LSMS-ISA policy to make anonymized unit-record survey data publicly available within 6 to 12 months of completion of fieldwork. Finally, after the 2021/22 wave (i.e. the current grant agreement), the Integrated UNPS-AAS survey program, is expected to be grandfathered into the 50x2030: Data-Smart Agriculture Initiative (https://www.50x2030.org/), which will provide follow-up financing for survey implementation and technical assistance in the later years of the integrated survey program. Risks Overall Risk Rating Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Overall Low Low Low 5. Results Project Development Objective Indicators 5/26/2023 Page 2 of 4 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LSMS-ISA Uganda National Panel Survey (P163029) IN01293371 ►Number of household surveys implemented (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.00 2.00 2.00 Date 07-Jun-2017 01-Jun-2020 22-May-2023 30-May-2022 Intermediate Results Indicators IN01293372 ►Number of complete sets of survey instruments developed (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 Date 07-Jun-2017 01-Jun-2020 01-Jun-2020 30-May-2022 Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P163029 TF-A5142 Effective USD 1.60 1.60 0.00 1.40 0.20 88% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P163029 TF-A5142 Effective 12-Mar-2018 12-Mar-2018 31-May-2018 30-Jun-2020 30-May-2023 Cumulative Disbursements 5/26/2023 Page 3 of 4 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LSMS-ISA Uganda National Panel Survey (P163029) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 26-Jun-2020 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 5/26/2023 Page 4 of 4