The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Ecuador | Poverty and Equity Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2022 | Seq No: 2 | ARCHIVED on 11-May-2023 | ISR55684 | Implementing Agencies: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos (INEC), Republic of Ecuador Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 30-Jun-2022 Effectiveness Date: 15-Dec-2022 Planned Mid Term Review Date: -- Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 28-Jul-2027 Revised Closing Date: 28-Jul-2027 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Proposed Project Development Objective is to improve the national statistical capacity of Ecuador in the production and dissemination of timely and high-quality economic and sociodemographic statistics for evidence-based policymaking. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Project management, monitoring, and evaluation:(Cost $1.58 M) Enhancing demographic information with the new Housing and Population Census:(Cost $56.49 M) Strengthening the statistical production from surveys:(Cost $17.71 M) Strengthening the statistical production from Administrative Records and INEC managerial capacity:(Cost $4.22 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions This is the second ISR being filed for the Ecuador Strengthening Statistical Capacity Project. The Loan was approved by the World Bank’s Board on June 30, 2022, and declared effective on December 15, 2022. The project has been effective for four months. A supervision mission took place on March 2023, and based on the supervision, the Overall Implementation Progress is considered Satisfactory (S). The World Bank Team received an update from the INEC team on implementation progress. The team reported that on that date, the amount of the disbursement was $36.23 M (45%). The following developments have taken place: Component 1: activities are on track. There is a questionnaire agreed upon with the special statistical commissions. The mapping information was completed in June 2022 which allowed the preparation of the census fieldwork. In addition, the Data collection was completed in march 2023. 5/11/2023 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) The following activities are pending: data processing, final results and information on specialized topics and analyses, and completing the analysis on the operationalization of the new Personal Data law (2021) Component 2: The household income and expenditure survey (ENIGHUR), the new labor force survey, called the National Survey of Employment, Unemployment and Underemployment, the change of the base year of the producer price index (IPP) have advanced in the preparatory activities, such as the definition of questionnaires, sample design, training schedule, personnel selection, etc. However, the new agricultural survey has not been able to advance due to a lack of budget. Component 3: There are significant advances in the confirmation of the population registration base, missing the records of migration and education, which are close to being incorporated. INEC has established an efficient process for quality assessment of administrative records, establishing action plans for their improvement, and exception processes with DINARP, to access microdata. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Low Low Low Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Statistical Capacity IN01275612 ►Statistical Capacity (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 5.97 5.97 5.97 9.30 Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jul-2026 Statistical capacity improvement is measured by a composite score derived from the WB SPI Comments: methodology 5/11/2023 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Gender indicators IN01275613 ►Number of gender indicators produced using recently adopted international standards on labor statistics and enhanced measurement (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.00 Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jul-2026 The project will support the design and implementation of 14 new gender indicators in three key areas: i) labor statistics using recently adopted international statistical standards; ii) agriculture statistics with Comments: enhanced measurement of ownership and control of land; and iii) administrative records focused on access to economic opportunity. Improved use of statistics measured by the number of downloads of datasets supported by the project IN01275614 ►Improved use of statistics measured by the number of downloads of datasets supported by the project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 30,000.00 Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 31-Jul-2026 Comments: Datasets supported by the project downloaded through the NADA and Open Data catalogs Improved use of statistics measured by the publishing of twelve relevant reports IN01275615 ►Improved use of statistics measured by the publishing of 12 relevant reports based on statistics supported by the project. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 31-Jul-2026 Analytical and methodological reports produced with the statistics supported by the project and published Comments: on the INEC website Increased availability of sector administrative data for statistical purposes. IN01275671 ►Increased availability of sector administrative data for statistical purposes. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 31-Jul-2026 5/11/2023 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Comments: Sector administrative data available through virtualization processes Risk and Climate Change IN01275672 ►Number of Risk and Climate Change indicators produced using recently adopted international environmental standards (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Date 30-Dec-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jun-2025 Specific climate change and risks indicators that could be produced directly through the statistics Comments: produced under the project or in combination with other sources of information. Satisfaction rate of statistical users of the statistics IN01275673 ►Satisfaction rate of statistical users of the statistics produced within the framework of the project (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 91.70 91.70 91.70 95.00 Date 30-Sep-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jun-2025 Satisfaction rate will be estimated through a continuous survey applied to statistical users that use the Comments: INEC's portal and/or contact INEC by email. Percentage of adoption of relevant recommendations made by users IN01275674 ►Percentage of adoption of relevant recommendations made by users of the statistics produced within the framework of the project. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jul-2026 Proportion of relevant recommendations adopted by INEC related to the total number of recommendations Comments: received by users. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Enhancing demographic information with the new Housing and Population Census IN01275675 ►Population Census Omission Rate (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 5/11/2023 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Value 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.00 Date 01-Nov-2010 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 31-Aug-2023 Comments: Population census coverage error. IN01275678 ►Population Census Accuracy-Whipple Index (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 105.30 105.30 105.30 100<=I<=105 Date 01-Nov-2010 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 31-Aug-2023 Its a method to measure the tendency for individuals to inaccurately report their actual age or date of birth. Comments: Respondents to a census or other survey sometimes report their age or date of birth as a round number (typically ending in 0 and 5). This is often for cultural reasons. IN01275681 ►Documented and quality-controlled population statistics available in the NADA catalog (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No no no Yes Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jul-2026 WB-NADA Catalog is an open source software designed for researchers to browse, search, compare, and Comments: apply for access and download research data. Strengthening the statistical production from surveys IN01275676 ►Monetary Poverty Line base year (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2,006.00 2,006.00 2,006.00 2,024.00 Date 30-Nov-2006 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 01-Nov-2024 IN01275679 ►Consumer Price Index base year (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2,014.00 2,014.00 2,014.00 2,025.00 Date 01-Nov-2014 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jun-2025 CPI is a measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and Comments: services, such as transportation, food, and medical care. It is calculated by taking price changes for each item in the predetermined basket of goods and averaging them. IN01275682 ►Producer Price Index (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 5/11/2023 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Value 2,015.00 2,015.00 2,015.00 2,024.00 Date 27-Feb-2015 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jun-2024 The Producer Price Index (PPI) program measures the average change over time in the selling prices Comments: received by domestic producers for their output IN01275684 ►Basic Family Basket base year (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,982.00 1,982.00 1,982.00 2,025.00 Date 01-Nov-2014 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jun-2025 IN01275685 ►Documented and quality-controlled Agricultural Surveys in the INEC’s catalogs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Date 31-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jul-2026 WB-NADA Catalog is an open source software designed for researchers to browse, search, compare, and Comments: apply for access and download research data. IN01275686 ►Documented and quality-controlled Labor Force Survey in the INEC’s catalogs (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No yes Date 24-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 31-Jul-2024 WB-NADA Catalog is an open source software designed for researchers to browse, search, compare, and Comments: apply for access and download research data. IN01275687 ►Documented and quality-controlled income and Expenditure Household Survey in the INEC’s catalogs (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 31-Jul-2024 Comments: Open Data Catalog is a list of datasets available in an Open Data initiative Strengthening the Statistical production from Administrative Records and INEC managerial capacity IN01275677 ►Approved improvement plans of Administrative Records (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 5/11/2023 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Date 30-Dec-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jun-2025 Comments: Improving plans based on INEC technical assessment of administrative data. IN01275680 ►Administrative records improved in quality (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 31-Aug-2026 Comments: Quality assessment of administrative records IN01275683 ►Administrative data available through virtualization process (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 25-Mar-2022 04-Oct-2022 04-Oct-2022 30-Jul-2026 Comments: Accessibility of admin data statistics through virtualization process Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P178564 IBRD-94210 Effective USD 80.00 80.00 0.00 36.23 43.77 45% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P178564 IBRD-94210 Effective 30-Jun-2022 26-Oct-2022 15-Dec-2022 28-Jul-2027 28-Jul-2027 Cumulative Disbursements 5/11/2023 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 5/11/2023 Page 8 of 8