The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) REPORT NO.: RES55796 RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF MG-ELECTRICITY SEC OPERATIONS & GOVERNANCE IMPROVEMENT PROJECT(ESOGIP) APPROVED ON MARCH 22, 2016 TO MINISTRY OF ECONOMY AND FINANCE ENERGY & EXTRACTIVES EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA Regional Vice President: Victoria Kwakwa Country Director: Zviripayi Idah Pswarayi Riddihough Regional Director: Wendy E. Hughes Practice Manager/Manager: Erik Magnus Fernstrom Task Team Leader(s): Tsiry Andriantahina, Justin Marie Bienvenu Beleoken Sanguen The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ADER Agence de Développement de l’Electrification Rurale/Rural Electrification Development Agency AF Additional Financing ARELEC Autorité de Regulation de l’Electricité / Electricity Regulation Authority CMS Commercial Management System DCC Distribution Control Center DMS Distribution Management System EPC Engineering Procurement and Construction ERP Enterprise Resource Planning ESMAP Energy Sector Management Assistance Program ESOGIP Electricity Sector Operations & Governance Improvement Project FM Financial Management HV High voltage IDMS Integrated Distribution Management System IPF investment project financing JIRAMA Jiro sy Rano Malagasy / National Electricity Utility kV Kilovolt kWh Kilowatt-hour LCDP Least Cost Power Development Plan MV Medium voltage NES National Electrification Strategy O&M Operation and maintenance PIU Project Implementation Unit RAP Resettlement Action Plan RPP Revenue Protection Program SCADA Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition TA Technical assistance WBG World Bank Group The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal. BASIC DATA Product Information Project ID Financing Instrument P151785 Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Current EA Category Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Approval Date Current Closing Date 22-Mar-2016 30-Jun-2023 Organizations Borrower Responsible Agency Ministry of Economy and Finance Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The Project Development Objective is to improve the operational performance of the national electricity utility (JIRAMA) and improve the reliability of electricity supply in the project area and, in the event of an eligible crisis or emergency, to provide immediate and effective response to said eligible crisis or emergency. OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO Summary Status of Financing (US$, Millions) Net Ln/Cr/Tf Approval Signing Effectiveness Closing Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed IDA-62800 14-Jun-2018 05-Oct-2018 29-Apr-2019 30-Jun-2023 40.00 17.33 20.93 IDA-57730 22-Mar-2016 08-Apr-2016 24-Aug-2016 30-Jun-2023 65.00 56.78 8.49 The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) Policy Waiver(s) Does this restructuring trigger the need for any policy waiver(s)? No Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here. I. PROJECT STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING 1. This paper seeks approval from the Country Director for a Level II restructuring of the Electricity Sector Operations & Governance Improvement Project (ESOGIP), Credits No. 5773-MG (P151785) and No. 6280-MG (P164318), which will cancel undisbursed amount. 2. Background: ESOGIP is an Investment Project Financing (IPF) that was approved on March 22, 2016, in the amount of US$65 million equivalent, and became effective on August 24, 2016. An Additional Financing (AF) in the amount of US$40 million was approved on June 14, 2018 and became effective on April 29, 2019. The Project’s closing date is June 30, 2023. The Project Development Objective (PDO) is " to improve the operational performance of the national electricity utility (JIRAMA) and improve the reliability of electricity supply in the project area and, in the event of an eligible crisis or emergency, to provide immediate and effective response to said eligible crisis or emergency.” ESOGIP consists of five main components: (a) Improving electricity sector planning and financial sustainability (US$5.98 million); (b) Strengthening operational performance and governance of JIRAMA (US$ 17.56 million); (c) Investing in enhanced reliability of electricity (US$78.12 million), (d) Project Management (US$3.34 million); and (e) Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) (US$ 0 million). 3. Project performance to date: Progress towards achieving the PDO is rated Moderately Satisfactory (MS), and Implementation Progress (IP) is rated MS. Financial Management is currently rated Moderately Unsatisfactory (MU), Procurement is rated satisfactory. There are no pending audits. The project was restructured on December 22, 2021, and the project closing date extended from December 31, 2021, to June 30, 2023, after the critical issue related to the audit on asset management has been resolved, giving more time to complete two activities that are at the heart of the project: (i) dispatching and control center (ii) transmission line. However, the Client is still facing issues on implementation of these same remaining activities. Firstly, the SCADA and the acquisition and installation of the transmission line has continued facing complications during the procurement process. The completion by the closure date of the project has been reassessed to be not achievable in the frame of this project and the Government decided to cancel this activity. Secondly, the first three lots of 4 for the transmission line activity has been evaluated to be not all completed by the end of the project as it depends on the implementation of the RAP which is not planned to be completed this semester. The Government decided to cancel this activity. Also, based on the conclusion of the evaluation of JIRAMA's performance- based compensation system conducted by the external auditor, it was concluded that the system implemented by JIRAMA needs much improvement. This led to the non-continuation of this activity given the timeframe of the project. Although two major activities will not be finalized before the project's closing date of June 30, 2023, the activities carried out have improved JIRAMA's operational performance as well as its electricity supply. The PDO has been reached at more than 90 percent. Indeed, in terms of loss reduction, from 35% (in 2015), the project was able to reach 26.9% (February The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) 2023) out of an initial target of 24%. The number of annual interruptions has been reduced by more than half from 870 interruptions per year (in 2015) to 402 interruptions per year (February 2023) out of a target of 450 interruptions. Also, the number of direct beneficiaries of the project has been reached at 94 percent with a value of 330,000 out of a target of 350,000 since the beginning of the project. The project was also an essential support for the improvement of the sector planning as well as the implementation of tariff reforms. In particular, the project has financed the sector's least-cost development plan and the tariff studies that led to the new tariffs for residential and industrial customers. 4. Status of implementation: Overall disbursement as of February 28, 2023, is US$74.10 million, which represents 72 percent of the available funds. To date, the four project components have progressed as follows: a) Component 1: Improving electricity sector planning and financial sustainability: Strategic assessments were completed under this component, (a) Least Cost Development Plan (LCDP) providing the roadmap for the development of least cost generation projects and associated transmission networks; (b) National Electrification Strategies (NES) defining the technical, institutional, and financial arrangements to scale-up sustainable provision of electricity services; (c) development of a tariff study to address sector financial viability; (d) strengthening capacity of public agencies responsible for least-cost planning and electrification (Ministry of Energy, Electricity Regulation Authority [ARELEC], Rural Electrification Development Agency [ADER], and JIRAMA ; (e) provision of technical assistance, capacity building, and consultancy service for the development of ten (10) small hydro” to prepare tenders for high-priority small hydropower plants (assessed under the ESMAP funded TA). This includes reviewing pre-feasibility works for sites, finance detailed engineering, environmental and social studies needed to prepare bankable feasibility studies, and provision of transaction support and advisory services required to ensure competitive and transparent procurement processes. b) Component 2: Strengthening operational performance and governance of JIRAMA: the activities completed under component 2 are: (iii)implementation of integrated management and geographic information system MATSELAKA; (iv) implementation of the Revenues Protection Program; (v) the preparation of the performance improvement program for JIRAMA. i. Implementation of the integrated management and geographic information system for GIS management called MATSELAKA : In line with the Governance Improvement Program (GIP), this component supported the procurement and installation of the GIS system, which include a Commercial Management System (CMS), an Integrated Distribution Management System (IDMS) and an Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system, to improve the efficiency, transparency and accountability of processes and development activities in all business areas. This includes operation and maintenance (O&M) of electricity supply assets, customers’ complaint handling, commercial functions, and enterprise resource management. The installation and use of the GIS system was complemented with maintenance. ii. RPP (Revenue Protection Program) project: This activity identified in the ESOGIP Initial Financing’s (IF) PAD consists of implementing the program for the sustainable reduction of non-technical losses in supply (off-meter consumption) through the systematic remote recording and monitoring of consumption of large users, as foreseen in the GIP. The initial phase of the RPP included a "high value" segment of about 8,500 meters, which accounts for 50 percent of total physical sales (kilowatt-hours) in 2014. This segment is composed of all 1300 HV/MV customers and the 7200 users connected to LV grids with a monthly demand higher than 500 kWh or with doubtful consumption situations. The contract was awarded to ZTE as an EPC with the supply, installation, and commissioning of 8500 smart meters. The contract was completed in July 2021. As a reminder, 40% of the revenue from electricity activities is generated by The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) HV/MV customers. Clear improvements were made in these resources just after the meters were commissioned. iii. Preparation of the performance improvement program for JIRAMA: The project supported the recruitment of JIRAMA's senior management team completed in 2019. This included the Director General, deputy CEOs, and Directors (including the Director of Human Resources). Also, the project evaluated the Performance-Based Compensation programs implemented internally by JIRAMA. The first bonus payments for 2020 and 2021 were carried out by JIRAMA under its own funding. An independent auditor recruited at the end of 2021 in charge of the evaluation and the monitoring of the Performance Based Compensation program proposed by JIRAMA delivered his report in 2022. The conclusion confirmed that the system implemented by JIRAMA needs improvement. c) Component 3: Investing in enhanced reliability of electricity In the component 3 the main completed activity is: Andekaleka screening machine, Reinforcement of the existing 138 / 63kV substation, Rehabilitation and/or improvement of existing distribution networks, the rehabilitation of production plants auxiliaries. iv. ANDEKALEKA screening machine : The mobile automatic screening machine has been installed at the 96 MW Andekaleka Hydroelectric Plant. Functional and operational tests were successfully carried out with the operating teams during the month of June-July 2021. It should be noted that this installation will solve the problems of clogging of the dam’s grid of the power station during the periods of intense rain and cyclones leading to the reduction or even the stop of the production of the power station for a few days and which leads each time to load shedding at the level of the RIA with minimum losses of 600 KUS$ for each occurrence of clogging. v. Reinforcement of the existing 138 / 63kV substation: The two transformers provided by CHINT are in operation since October 2022. The connection of the transformers with the grid coming from Andekaleka has been successfully performed and the full power from the dam can be absorbed. vi. Rehabilitation and/or improvement of existing distribution networks: 288km of the 300km (representing 96%) of distribution lines planned to be rehabilitated and constructed under the project are completed as of February 28, 2023. d) Component 4 - Project Management: All planned arrangements are in place, including the Project Implementation Unit (PIU) housed in the Ministry in charge of Energy and JIRAMA are staffed and operational. 5. Activities to be cancelled: e) RIA 90kV looping lines project, substations and 20kV passages in the regions: This activity concerns the supply and installation of equipment, reinforcement and extension works of the RIA source substations, adaptation of the medium voltage parts to allow the passage in 20 kV in the regions; and the supply and installation of equipment and extension works of a part of the Antananarivo interconnected network by the construction of two 90 kV lines (with a variant in 63 kV) connecting respectively: the Tana North substation to the Ambodivona substation, and the Tana North substation to the Tana South substation. Negotiations between JIRAMA and the tenders are completed for the 4 lots of the activity. However only the contract for lot 4 has been signed with constructions and installations planned to be finalized by the end of the project. The 3 other lots are still in the procurement phase since JIRAMA has changed his organization last quarter 2022 leading to the lack of the persons in charge of signatures. Also, given the multiple delays in implementing The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) the Resettlement of Affected Persons (RAP) and the lack of clear visibility, the cancellation of Lot No. 1, 2 and 3 relating to work on the 90 kV transmission line is considered. f) Dispatching and BCC project: This activity allows for the centralised management of generation, transmission and distribution networks, in particular to reduce energy production costs and intervention times on the electricity networks throughout Madagascar. The procurement process for the building was finalized and the construction phase has started in September 2022. The structural works of the building show good progress and will be finalized by the end of the closing date of the project. Regarding the SCADA system, the project is facing procurement delays due to procurement issues. And considering the uncertainties as to the date of signature of the contract and the remaining time of the project, the completion of this activity won’t be achieved. g) Performance-Based Compensation programs: Based on the conclusion of the evaluation of JIRAMA's performance-based compensation system conducted by the external auditor, it was concluded that the system implemented by JIRAMA needs much improvement. This led to the non-continuation of this activity given the timeframe of the project. II. DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES 6. Cancellation of non-used credit. SDR 19.8 million non-used credit related to (i) dispatching and control center, (ii) transmission line, and (iii) performance-based compensation will be cancelled. Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal. III. SUMMARY OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Results Framework ✔ Components and Cost ✔ Cancellations Proposed ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Disbursement Estimates ✔ Implementing Agency ✔ The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) DDO Status ✔ Project's Development Objectives ✔ PBCs ✔ Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Disbursements Arrangements ✔ Overall Risk Rating ✔ Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ EA category ✔ Legal Covenants ✔ Institutional Arrangements ✔ Financial Management ✔ Procurement ✔ Implementation Schedule ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ Economic and Financial Analysis ✔ Technical Analysis ✔ Social Analysis ✔ Environmental Analysis ✔ IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_COMPONENTS_TABLE COMPONENTS Current Current Proposed Proposed Cost Action Component Name Component Name Cost (US$M) (US$M) Improving electricity sector Improving electricity sector planning and financial 5.98 No Change planning and financial 5.98 sustainability sustainability Strengthening operational Strengthening operational performance and governance of 17.56 Revised performance and governance 17.56 JIRAMA of JIRAMA Investing in enhanced reliability Investing in enhanced 78.12 Revised 78.12 of electricity reliability of electricity The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) Project management 3.34 No Change Project management 3.34 Immediate Response Immediate Response Mechanism 0.00 No Change 0.00 Mechanism TOTAL 105.00 105.00 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_CANCELLATIONS_TABLE CANCELLATIONS Value Reason Current Cancellation New Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Date of for Amount Amount Amount Cancellation Cancellation Disburs UNDISBURSE IDA-57730- ing&Re XDR 47,100,000.00 6,300,000.00 28-Apr-2023 40,800,000.00 D BALANCE 001 paying AT CLOSING UNDISBURSE IDA-62800- Disburs XDR 27,900,000.00 13,500,000.00 28-Apr-2023 14,400,000.00 D BALANCE 001 ing AT CLOSING OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_REALLOCATION _TABLE REALLOCATION BETWEEN DISBURSEMENT CATEGORIES Financing % Current Allocation Actuals + Committed Proposed Allocation (Type Total) Current Proposed IDA-57730-001 | Currency: XDR iLap Category Sequence No: 1 Current Expenditure Category: GD,WK,NCS,CS,TR & OC Pt 1;4.1 1,300,000.00 1,078,591.23 1,300,000.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 2 Current Expenditure Category: GD,WK,NCS,CS,TR & OC Pt 2;3;4.2 44,800,000.00 36,140,606.26 38,500,000.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 3 Current Expenditure Category: PPF REFINANCING 1,000,000.00 303,498.14 1,000,000.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 4 Current Expenditure Category: Emergency Expenditures Pt 5 The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 Total 47,100,000.00 37,522,695.63 40,800,000.00 IDA-62800-001 | Currency: XDR iLap Category Sequence No: 1 Current Expenditure Category: GD,WK,NCS,CS,TR & OC Pt 1.2&4.1 2,900,000.00 2,612,309.05 2,900,000.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 2 Current Expenditure Category: GD,WK,NCS,CS,TR & OC Pt 2.2;3;4.2 22,200,000.00 6,790,846.88 10,800,000.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 3A Current Expenditure Category: GD,WK,NCS,CS,TR & OC Pt 2.2 700,000.00 0.00 700,000.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 3B Current Expenditure Category: PERFORMANCE BASED INCENTIVE PT 2.2 2,100,000.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 4 Current Expenditure Category: IRM 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 Total 27,900,000.00 9,403,155.93 14,400,000.00 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_DISBURSEMENT_TABLE DISBURSEMENT ESTIMATES Change in Disbursement Estimates Yes Year Current Proposed 2016 255,060.00 521,035.00 2017 3,821,155.00 17,157,370.00 2018 5,330,325.00 15,046,241.00 The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) 2019 13,792,510.00 9,568,125.00 2020 27,025,490.00 11,632,689.00 2021 37,350,445.00 5,656,517.00 2022 17,425,015.00 2,946,269.00 . The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) . Results framework COUNTRY: Madagascar MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) Project Development Objectives(s) The Project Development Objective is to improve the operational performance of the national electricity utility (JIRAMA) and improve the reliability of electricity supply in the project area and, in the event of an eligible crisis or emergency, to provide immediate and effective response to said eligible crisis or emergency. Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target Reliability of electricity supply in the project area improved Total electricity losses per year in the project area (Percentage) 35.00 24.00 Interruptions in electricity service per year in the project area 870.00 450.00 (Number) Direct project beneficiaries (Number) 0.00 350,000.00 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) 0.00 50.00 PDO Table SPACE Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 Improving electricity sector planning and financial sustainability The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 Completion of key studies: Least Cost LCPDP and Tariff Studies completed Power Development Plan (LCPDP), Tariff No and published Study (Text) Percentage of total sales (kWh) covered by the Revenue Protection Program 0.00 40.00 (RPP). (Percentage) Competitive Bidding process for the development of one priority small hydro 0.00 1.00 site launched (Number) Strengthening operational performance and governance of JIRAMA Percentage of technical positions held by females that report directly to Directors 5% Increased by 15% in JIRAMA (Text) JIRAMA customer satisfaction survey undertaken in project area and report on Second Customer Satisfaction Customer satisfaction survey No survey First Customer satisfaction survey customer feedback and how it was Survey administered by JIRAMA addressed by JIRAMA (Text) Installation of Management Information MIS functioning and used for sector System (MIS) at JIRAMA, and populated No monitoring and reporting with data (Text) JIRAMA's Management Improvement JIRAMA business plan published, MIP adopted by Government, key Plan (MIP) completed and key Director-level and above management positions advertised management positions recruited (Text) competitively recruited Public availability of customer No Yes satisfaction survey (Yes/No) Investing in enhanced reliability of electricity The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 Dispatching Center and Distribution Control Center constructed and No Yes commissioned (Yes/No) Action: This indicator has been Marked for Deletion Transmission lines constructed or rehabilitated under the project 0.00 134.00 (Kilometers) Transmission lines constructed under 0.00 34.00 the project (Kilometers) Action: This indicator has been Marked for Deletion Transmission lines rehabilitated under 0.00 100.00 the project (Kilometers) Distribution lines constructed or rehabilitated under the project 0.00 300.00 (Kilometers) Distribution lines constructed under 0.00 165.00 the project (Kilometers) Distribution lines rehabilitated under 0.00 135.00 the project (Kilometers) Contingent Emergency Response Time taken for first disbursement of funds requested by Government for an 0.00 8.00 eligible emergency or crisis (Weeks) IO Table SPACE The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) The World Bank MG-Electricity Sec Operations & Governance Improvement Project(ESOGIP) (P151785) Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here. 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