The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Ethiopia | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2023 | Seq No: 1 | ARCHIVED on 06-Apr-2023 | ISR55527 | Implementing Agencies: Ethiopian Disaster Risk Management Commission, Ethiopian Meteorology Institute, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, Ministry of Water and Energy Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 13-Dec-2022 Effectiveness Date: -- Planned Mid Term Review Date: -- Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 31-Mar-2028 Revised Closing Date: 31-Mar-2028 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to strengthen Ethiopia’s institutional capacity for disaster risk management, and flood risk management in selected basins. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Strengthening Institutional and Coordination Capacity for Disaster Risk Management:(Cost $30.00 M) Component 2: Accelerating flood risk management:(Cost $258.00 M) Component 3: Contingent emergency response Component 4: Project management and implementation support:(Cost $12.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO -- Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) -- Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating -- Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Ethiopia Flood Management Project (EFMP) was approved by the World Bank Board of Executive Directors on December 13, 2022 and the Financing Agreement was signed on January 21, 2023. The Steering Committee of the project has been established in March 2023. The Project Operations Manual is currently being prepared. Various project arrangements are being established, including project management/implementation units, Monitoring and Evaluation setup, Grievance Redress Mechanisms, etc. 4/6/2023 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance High -- High Macroeconomic Moderate -- Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial -- Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial -- Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial -- Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial -- Substantial Environment and Social High -- High Stakeholders Moderate -- Moderate Other Moderate -- Moderate Overall Substantial -- Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Strengthen Institutional Capacity for DRM & Manage Flood Risks IN01269924 ►1.1 Strengthened institutional and coordination capacity for disaster risk management (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target - DRM is mainstreamed into - DRM is neither selected sectoral mainstreamed into instruments and tools sectors, nor monitored to inform development and evaluated across planning process and levels of government - future investment Sharing of disaster risk decisions. information is not fully Value carried out and data is -- None -Progress made in not utilized among DRM is monitored and government entities - evaluated across DRF instruments are various levels of weak - EP&R capacity is government characterized by a lack of basic emergency - Disaster risk response resources information is shared among selected government entities 4/6/2023 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) and utilized for development planning and decision making - One DRF instrument is strengthened - EP&R capacity for search and rescue is strengthened Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 As per the context of this Project, a strengthened institutional and coordination capacity for DRM considers the following elements: (i) the 2017 guideline for mainstreaming DRM into sectors is updated, approved and rolled out to inform development and investment planning; DRM is incorporated into sectoral plans and operational procedures; and systematic M&E framework and a system to track progress in DRM across various levels of government are in place; (ii) disaster risk information is Comments: systematically shared through a national digital platform among government entities, academia, public for further use to inform relevant policies, plans, and programs; (iii) emergency preparedness and response capacity is strengthened to increase coverage and reduce response time; and (iv) disaster risk financing is strengthened to allow timely disaster response . The indicator monitors the achievements of key respective outcomes of these elements. IN01269925 ►1.2 People benefiting from reduced risks from floods (Number (Thousand), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 635.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 The aggregate number of population in the target woredas benefitting from reduced risks from floods, due Comments: to the implementation of the sub-projects on flood risk reduction in the Priority Basins. IN01269926 1.2.1 Of which women (Number (Thousand), Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 297.00 IN01269927 ►1.3 Land area benefiting from reduced risks from floods (Square kilometer(km2), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 800.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 The land area benefitting from reduced risks from floods, due to the implementation of the sub-projects on Comments: flood risk reduction in the Priority Basins and based on the design return period specified for the sub- projects. IN01269928 ►1.4 People benefitting from impact-based flood early warnings (Number (Thousand), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 410.00 4/6/2023 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 The number of people who have access to impact-based flood early warning services. This figure will be Comments: estimated by a user survey conducted at least three times during the life of the project (at the beginning, mid-term and towards the end of the project). IN01269929 1.4.1 Of which women (Number (Thousand), Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 205.00 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Strengthening institutional and coordination capacity for DRM IN01269931 ►IR Indicator 1.1 Hazard / risk assessments to inform disaster risk reduction policies and investments for priority areas completed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 2.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 The number of hazard or disaster risk assessment conducted to inform disaster risk reduction policies and Comments: investments for priority areas. IN01269934 ►IR Indicator 1.2 Sectoral instruments and tools that incorporate DRM developed or updated (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 5.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 Draft documents of new or updated versions of sectoral instruments and tools (e.g. master plans, Comments: investment plans, operational procedures and manuals, regulation standards) of selected line ministries and agencies are prepared, to strengthen the incorporation of DRM considerations. IN01269937 ►IR Indicator 1.3 Disaster risk awareness and communication strategy formulated, approved and disseminated (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No -- No Yes Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 Disaster risk awareness and communication strategy formulated approved and disseminated that Comments: becomes ready to use. IN01269938 ►IR Indicator 1.4 Revised Guideline for Gender Mainstreaming in DRM formulated, approved and disseminated (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 4/6/2023 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) Value No -- No Yes Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 Revised Guideline for Gender Mainstreaming in DRM formulated, approved and disseminated that Comments: becomes ready to use. Component 2: Accelerating flood risk management IN01269930 ►IR Indicator 2.1.1 Length of embankment improved or constructed (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 170.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 This will measure length of embankments which are improved or constructed through physical flood risk Comments: reduction investments. IN01269933 ►IR Indicator 2.1.2 Retention facilities for flood attenuation improved or constructed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 5.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 The number of retention facilities for flood attenuation, such as retention pond and wetland, which are Comments: improved or constructed through physical flood risk reduction investments will be measured. IN01269936 ►IR Indicator 2.1.3 Beneficiaries of capacity building activities for flood risk management (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 100.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 The number of experts from the government of Ethiopia or relevant entities participated in capacity development activities, such as trainings and workshops, which are organized mainly through consultancy for sustainability of physical flood risk reduction investments and mainstreaming urban flood risk Comments: management, will be measured. Their scope may include, but not limited to, flood risk management planning, O&M, asset management, reservoir operation, emergency response and recovery, sedimentation, as well as urban flood risk assessment and management. IN01269939 IR Indicator 2.1.3a Female Beneficiaries of capacity building activities for flood risk management (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 30.00 IN01269940 ►IR Indicator 2.2.1 Priority basins with impact-based flood early warning system established (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 4/6/2023 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) Value 0.00 -- 0.00 3.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 The number of basins where an impact- based flood early warning system is established and becomes Comments: operational. Regular dissemination of warning information services during rainy seasons would be considered as evidence of the establishment of operational services IN01269941 ►IR Indicator 2.2.2 Increase in satisfaction of users on early warning and hydromet services developed or improved under the Project (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 15.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 Satisfaction of users will be measured through user surveys. The increase in the percentage points from the baseline are indicated as targets. The design of the survey will ensure gender disaggregated data Comments: collection, and make a reference to global good practices. The indicator will measure the percentage of users satisfied with early warning services. IN01269942 IR Indicator 2.2.2a Increase in satisfaction of female users on early warning and hydromet services developed or improved under the Project (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 15.00 IN01269943 ►IR Indicator 2.3.1 Sub-project sites where community-level flood preparedness activities are conducted (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 9.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 This indicator measures number of sub-project sites where community-level flood preparedness activities, such as participatory design of physical investments for flood risk reduction, local flood hazard/exposure Comments: mapping, institutionalizing flood early warning dissemination, evacuation planning, training, exercise, drills, and other relevant activities, are conducted. IN01269944 ►IR Indicator 2.3.2 Flood hazard maps produced through community participation (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 9.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2022 This indicator measures number of flood hazard maps which are produced through community Comments: participation with support of relevant government entities. IN01269945 ►IR Indicator 2.4 Diagnostic and strategic studies completed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 10.00 4/6/2023 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 This indicator measures number of completed diagnostic and strategic studies for preparation of future Comments: investments in Strategic Study Basins and selected urban areas. IN01269946 ►IR Indicator 2.5 Increase in beneficiaries who feel they are better prepared to respond to floods (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 15.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 This indicator measures the percentage of beneficiaries who feel they are prepared to respond to floods through participatory planning and implementation of flood preparedness initiatives, supported by outreach, training, and advocacy activities under the Project. This will be measured through surveys. The Comments: increase in the percentage points from the baseline are indicated as targets. The baseline survey will identify the needs and challenges (including those specific to women, physically disabled, and vulnerable groups) and assess risk perception of the beneficiaries and inform the design of activities under Component 2. IN01269947 IR Indicator 2.5a Increase in female beneficiaries who feel they are better prepared to respond to floods (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 15.00 Component 4: Project management and implementation support IN01269932 ►IR Indicator 4.1: Grievances raised by stakeholders addressed within the time specified in the project operations manual (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 100.00 Date 31-Jan-2022 -- 17-Feb-2023 30-Nov-2027 This indicator measures the percentage of grievances addressed and closed within the time specified in Comments: the project operations manual, out of the total number of grievances received. IN01269935 IR Indicator 4.1a Grievances raised by women stakeholders addressed within the time specified in the project operations manual (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 100.00 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) 4/6/2023 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Ethiopia Flood Management Project (P176327) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Not P176327 IDA-E1240 USD 300.00 300.00 0.00 0.00 301.73 0% Effective Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date Not P176327 IDA-E1240 13-Dec-2022 21-Jan-2023 -- 31-Mar-2028 31-Mar-2028 Effective Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 4/6/2023 Page 8 of 8