The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Ethiopia | Agriculture and Food Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 16 | ARCHIVED on 08-Feb-2024 | ISR59572 | Implementing Agencies: Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, Ministry of Agriculture Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 31-Mar-2015 Effectiveness Date: 31-Aug-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 12-Sep-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 29-Oct-2018 Original Closing Date: 10-Oct-2020 Revised Closing Date: 07-Jul-2024 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to increase agricultural productivity and commercialization of small holder farmers targeted by the project. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Agricultural Public Support Services:(Cost $129.00 M) Agricultural Research:(Cost $51.40 M) Small Scale Irrigation Schemes:(Cost $279.43 M) Agriculture Marketing and Value Chains:(Cost $135.07 M) Project Management, Capacity Building, Monitoring and Evaluation and Learning:(Cost $71.90 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Project continues to make good progress and is rated Satisfactory on progress towards the PDO and Moderately Satisfactory on implementation progress, with no other ratings below Moderately Satisfactory. Project implementation in the reporting period has faced several challenges. The ongoing conflict and insecurity in several parts of the country has interrupted Project activities, limited travels for monitoring and supervision, and destabilized markets for agricultural inputs and outputs. Weak capacity of contractors has led to contract management issues. However, a great improvement was noted with regards to availability of construction materials such as cement and various equipment, primarily due to the efforts made by the leadership of the Ministry of Agriculture to resolve supply chain bottlenecks. Project implementation in the reporting period was focused on Small-Scale Irrigation (Component 3) as many of the targets for the other components have been met or exceeded. The Life of Project (LOP) targets for Small Scale Irrigation (SSI) is to support the provision of irrigation water and related services on 53,117 hectares of land, which includes development of new schemes, upgrading and rehabilitation of existing 2/8/2024 Page 1 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) schemes, and micro-irrigation and household irrigation (MHHI) systems. To date the Project has provided 58,823 hectares of land with irrigation and water related services, exceeding the LOP target by 10.7%: (i) 10,476 hectares of new SSI schemes have been completed, achieving 69% of the target (an improvement from the 57% achieved during the last mission in May 2023; (ii) 29,149 hectares of rehabilitation/upgrading existing schemes have been completed, meeting 93.5% of the target (compared with 90% in May 2023); while, 19,199 hectares of MHHI systems have been completed, which represents 287% of the target (compared with 273% in May 2023). The Project will close on July 7, 2024. To ensure successful completion of ongoing activities, the Project will focus on finalizing the ongoing procurement activities, ensuring that all ongoing SSI sub-projects are completed and handed over to beneficiaries before the closing date, and conducting the endline survey to prepare the project completion report before the closing date. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Low Low Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Substantial Substantial Substantial Stakeholders Substantial Moderate Moderate Other Low Substantial Substantial Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes To increase agriculture productivity and commercialization of small holder farmers targeted IN01390060 ►Percentage increase in yield for selected crops in targeted households benefiting directly from the project- Cereals/pulses ( baseline 15.30 quintals per ha) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 18.00 18.00 21.80 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390061 2/8/2024 Page 2 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Female beneficiaries (baseline 13.70 quintals per ha) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 20.00 20.00 22.90 IN01390062 ►Percentage increase in yield for selected crops in targeted households benefiting directly from the project- Vegetables/Fruits (baseline 67.42 quintals per ha) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 45.00 45.00 48.60 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390063 Female beneficiaries (baseline 20.23 quintals per ha) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 37.00 37.00 55.00 IN01390064 ►Percentage increase in yield for selected livestock products in targeted households benefiting directly from the project - Milk (Baseline 3.90 liters day/cow) (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 39.00 39.00 41.24 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390065 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 6.00 6.00 10.52 IN01390066 ►Percentage increase in yield for selected livestock products in targeted households benefiting directly from the project - Eggs (Baseline 4.20 eggs /week/chicken) (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 39.00 39.00 45.50 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390067 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 76.00 76.00 85.25 IN01390068 ►Percentage increase in yield for selected livestock products in targeted households benefiting directly from the project - Honey (Baseline 6 kg/beehives/year) (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 78.00 78.00 85.75 2/8/2024 Page 3 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390069 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 240.00 240.00 285.81 IN01390070 ►Percentage increase in real revenue from selected crops in targeted household benefiting directly from the project - Cereals/Pulses (Baseline 6279 Birr) (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 114.00 114.00 128.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390071 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 43.90 43.90 54.00 IN01390072 ►Percentage increase in real revenue from selected crops in targeted household benefiting directly from the project - Vegetables/Fruits (Baseline 8038 Birr) (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 76.00 76.00 90.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390073 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 21.00 21.00 29.00 IN01390074 ►Percentage increase in real revenue from selected livestock products in targeted household benefiting directly from the project - Milk (Baseline 49 Birr) (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 204.00 204.00 214.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390075 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 333.00 333.00 348.00 IN01390076 ►Percentage increase in real revenue from selected livestock products in targeted household benefiting directly from the project - Honey (Baseline 112 Birr) (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom) 2/8/2024 Page 4 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 45.00 45.00 54.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390077 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 11.00 11.00 35.00 IN01390078 ►Percentage increase in real revenue from selected livestock products in targeted household benefiting directly from the project - Eggs (Baseline 62 Birr) (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 42.00 42.00 44.40 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 07-Jul-2024 IN01390079 Female beneficiaries (Percentage) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 47.00 47.00 49.20 IN01390080 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,348,576.00 2,520,672.00 1,597,730.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 30-Jun-2022 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390081 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 37.20 37.00 40.00 Overall Comments PDO PDO indicators of yields and real revenues of different commodities were updated in June 2020 using the mid-line survey. It will be updated once the endline survey is completed. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Agricultural Public Support Services IN01390082 2/8/2024 Page 5 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) ►Percentage of farmers using public agricultural services (male farmers) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 26.90 54.38 54.38 50.56 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390090 Percentage of farmers using public agricultural services ( female farmers) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.10 100.00 19.00 40.56 IN01390096 ►Number of technologies promoted to public extension services (total and disaggregated by gender sensitive, nutrition and climate smart) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 525.00 525.00 280.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390097 Climate Smart (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 117.00 117.00 20.00 IN01390103 Nutrition (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 124.00 124.00 80.00 IN01390109 Gender sensitive (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 102.00 102.00 101.00 IN01390114 ►Percentage increase in crop diversity in targeted households benefiting directly from the project (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 26.50 1.00 1.00 39.75 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390116 ►Clients who have adopted an improved agr. technology promoted by the project (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,636,674.00 1,636,674.00 1,530,000.00 2/8/2024 Page 6 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390119 Clients who adopted an improved agr. technology promoted by project – female (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 578,750.00 578,750.00 608,800.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390120 ►Number of gender sensitive technologies demonstrated in the project area (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 418.00 418.00 101.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 Agricultural Research IN01390084 ►Collaborative research sub-projects under implementation/completed - Total FREGs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,490.00 1,490.00 700.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390087 Collaborative research sub-projects under implementation/completed - Total Women FREgs (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 55.00 55.00 280.00 IN01390095 Collaborative research sub-projects - under implementation - Total FREGs (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390099 Collaborative research sub-projects - under implementation of Total Women FREGs (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390106 Collaborative research sub-projects - Completed for Total FREGs (Number, Custom Breakdown) 2/8/2024 Page 7 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,490.00 1,490.00 700.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390107 Collaborative research sub-projects - completed for Total Women FREGs (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 55.00 55.00 280.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390112 ►Volume of breeder seeds and pre-basic seeds for criops produced by research centers (quintals/cumulative) (Metric ton, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 45,464.50 45,464.50 6,290.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390115 ►Number of demand-driven improved agricultural technologies under research (total and disaggregated by gender sensitive, nutrition and climate smart technologies) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 912.00 912.00 140.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390117 Gender sensitive (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 370.00 370.00 40.00 IN01390118 Nutrition (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 203.00 203.00 40.00 IN01390121 Climate smart (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 113.00 113.00 40.00 Small Scale Irrigation IN01390086 ►Water users provided with new/improved irrigation and drainage services (number) (Number, Custom) 2/8/2024 Page 8 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 147,959.00 157,894.00 190,000.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390089 Water users provided with irrigation and drainage services - female (number) (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 35,341.00 32,235.00 78,000.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390092 ►Percentage of functional water user associations managing effectively irrigation and drainage infrastructures (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 69.00 69.00 70.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390101 ►Area provided with irrigation and drainage services (ha) (Hectare(Ha), Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 55,115.00 58,823.00 55,000.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390102 Area provided with irrigation and drainage services - new schemes (Hectare(Ha (Hectare(Ha), Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 8,635.00 10,476.00 15,238.50 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390110 Area provided with irrigation and drainage services - Improved (ha) (Hectare(Ha), Corporate Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 8,067.00 25,756.00 29,149.00 31,184.50 Date 12-Sep-2019 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390113 Area provided with irrigation and drainage services – micro/HH irrigation schemes (Hectare(Ha), Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 20,724.00 19,199.00 6,693.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 2/8/2024 Page 9 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Agriculture Marketing and Value Chains IN01390085 ►Percentage of CIGs undertaking a viable business activity (disaggregated female) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 63.00 63.00 65.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390088 Percentage of CIGs undertaking a viable business activity (disaggregated youth) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 61.00 61.00 50.00 IN01390094 ►Percentage increase in volume of seeds supplied through diversified channels (disaggregated per supplier)- Total (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 11.95 11.95 15.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390098 Private agents (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 11.50 11.50 15.00 IN01390105 Farmers Groups (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 9.85 9.85 15.00 IN01390108 Cooperatives (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 14.50 14.50 15.00 IN01390111 ►Number of commercial partnerships or market contracts signed between producer groups or cooperatives (supported by the project) anddomestic/international agribusiness actors (processors, wholesal (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 47.00 47.00 45.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 2/8/2024 Page 10 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Project Management, Capacity Building and Monitoring and Evaluation IN01390083 ►Percentage of trainings delivered using AGP agreed capacity development approach (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 85.00 85.00 90.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390091 ►Percentage of GRM addressed from the total claim received (Addressed/received*100). (New Indicator) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 96.00 96.00 96.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390093 ►Percentage of PAPs whose land have been affected by AGP II and received compensation (in kind or in cash); (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390100 ►Percentage of subprojects for which environmental mitigation measures have been implemented (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 IN01390104 ►Annual progress reports meets World Bank quality and timely delivery requirements (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 25-Jan-2015 09-May-2023 06-Dec-2023 07-Jul-2024 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) 2/8/2024 Page 11 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P148591 IDA-56050 Effective USD 350.00 350.00 0.00 337.22 7.81 98% P148591 IDA-D7220 Effective USD 80.00 80.00 0.00 59.79 14.54 80% P148591 TF-A4876 Closed USD 73.60 73.60 0.00 73.60 0.00 100% P148591 TF-A7195 Closed USD 27.00 27.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100% P148591 TF-B5971 Closed USD 5.00 5.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 100% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P148591 IDA-56050 Effective 31-Mar-2015 07-May-2015 31-Aug-2015 10-Oct-2020 07-Jul-2024 P148591 IDA-D7220 Effective 15-Sep-2020 07-Oct-2020 04-Nov-2020 15-Jun-2023 07-Jul-2024 P148591 TF-A4876 Closed 29-Jan-2018 29-Jan-2018 29-Jan-2018 10-Oct-2020 31-Oct-2023 P148591 TF-A7195 Closed 18-Jun-2018 18-Jun-2018 18-Jun-2018 30-Sep-2020 30-Sep-2020 P148591 TF-B5971 Closed 26-Jun-2021 03-Jul-2021 25-Aug-2021 15-Jun-2023 15-Jun-2023 Cumulative Disbursements 2/8/2024 Page 12 of 13 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Second Agricultural Growth Project (P148591) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 21-Apr-2017 ,Level 2 Approved on 22-Mar-2018 ,Level 2 Approved on 15-Jun-2020 ,Level 2 Approved on 14-Jun-2023 Related Project(s) P168074-AGP2 - Additional Financing ,P176564-Second Additional Financing for the Second Agriculture Growth Project 2/8/2024 Page 13 of 13